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Stock comparison · Signal date 2026-11-06

MSBI vs OBK: stock comparison and AI forecast

Midland States Bancorp, Inc. (MSBI) and Origin Bancorp, Inc. (OBK) compared on price performance, valuation, profitability and the daily AI forecast. · Alpha · vs market

Share
Nasdaq · State Commercial Banks

MSBI Midland States Bancorp, Inc.

Price
$31.72 +11.9% · 6M
Market Cap
$660M
P/E Ratio
–
Size
small-cap
AI Forecast
Full analysis →
TXSE · State Commercial Banks

OBK Origin Bancorp, Inc.

Price
$53.24 +14.2% · 6M
Market Cap
$1.64B
P/E Ratio
11.0x
Size
small-cap
AI Forecast
Full analysis →
Model output

Which one does the AI model favor?

Intratio's model scores both stocks every trading day. Sign in to see their current direction; the exact ratings and forecasts come with a plan or a free follow slot.

6M · 2026-05-07 → 2026-11-06

Six-month price performance

Closing prices rebased to 100 at the start of the window.

95100105110115120
MSBI +11.9% OBK +14.2%
MSBI · OBK

Key facts

  • OBK is 2.5 times larger than MSBI by market capitalization ($1.64B against $660M).
  • Over the last six months OBK returned +14.2% and MSBI +11.9%.
  • OBK turns 31.6% of its revenue into net income, against -16.2% for MSBI.
  • MSBI carries 11.83 times debt per unit of equity, against 7.00 times for OBK.
  • MSBI yields 4.21% in dividends and OBK 1.52%.
  • Both companies share the SEC industry classification State Commercial Banks.
Fundamentals

Fundamentals side by side

Trailing twelve months.

Valuation & Market

MetricMSBIOBK
Market Cap$660M$1.64B
P/E Ratio–10.98x
P/B Ratio1.24x1.30x
Dividend Yield4.21%1.52%
EPS$-4.59$4.85
Book Value/Share$25.54$40.96
Revenue/Share$21.02$13.53
FCF/Share$3.63$4.83

Profitability & Margins

MetricMSBIOBK
ROE-13.3%8.1%
ROA-1.0%1.0%
Net Margin-16.2%31.6%
EBT Margin-10.7%51.0%
Tax Rate-50.7%21.4%

Financial Health

MetricMSBIOBK
D/E Ratio11.83x7.00x
Financial Leverage12.83x8.00x

Cash Flow

MetricMSBIOBK
Operating Cash Flow$78M$170M
Free Cash Flow$76M$149M
Capital Spending-$2M-$21M
OCF Growth YoY-63.1%16.7%
FCF Growth YoY-43.0%9.8%
FCF/Sales17.3%35.7%
CapEx/Sales0.5%5.0%

Operational Efficiency

MetricMSBIOBK
Asset Turnover0.06x0.04x
Fixed Assets Turnover5.3x3.1x

Income Statement

MetricMSBIOBK
Total Revenue$437M$417M
Net Income-$71M$102M

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricMSBIOBK
Dividends Per Share$1.34$0.81
Payout Ratio–16.7%
Shares Outstanding21M31M
Net Income Growth-237.9%19.3%
EPS Growth-568.4%152.6%
FAQ

MSBI vs OBK: stock comparison and AI forecast

Which is bigger, MSBI or OBK?

OBK is 2.5 times larger than MSBI by market capitalization ($1.64B against $660M).

Which stock performed better over the last six months, MSBI or OBK?

Over the last six months OBK returned +14.2% and MSBI +11.9%.

Which one does Intratio's AI model rank higher, MSBI or OBK?

Intratio's model scores both stocks every trading day. Sign in to see their current direction; the exact ratings and forecasts come with a plan or a free follow slot.

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This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.