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Model output · Signal date Oct. 16, 2026

Daily Signals

2758 companies scored · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · 30D 90D

Signal date 2026-10-16 Cut-offs from the 2026-10-16 run
Companies scored 2758 IC ≥ 0 · market cap ≥ $100M
Median forecast -0.41% Alpha · 90D
Long–short spread +5.20% Strong Buy minus Strong Sell, mean
Median IC 0.27 Spearman · 90D
Rating changes ▲ 278 ▼ 463 vs the previous run
Cross-section

Distribution of the day's forecasts

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Signals · All

395 companies

Sorted by market cap ↓ · forecast rankings are part of the paid plans

# Ticker Sector IC Mkt cap Rating 30D 90D Δ
201 SPNTSiriusPoint Ltd Finance 0.51 $2.9B Neutral -0.40% -0.86% ▲ 1
202 PFSPROVIDENT FINANCIAL SERVICES INC Finance 0.34 $2.9B Unlock rating and forecasts
203 BHFBrighthouse Financial, Inc. Finance 0.28 $2.7B Unlock rating and forecasts
204 SKWDSkyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc. Finance 0.16 $2.7B Unlock rating and forecasts
205 BANCBANC OF CALIFORNIA, INC. Finance 0.19 $2.7B Unlock rating and forecasts
206 BOHBANK OF HAWAII CORP Finance 0.26 $2.7B Neutral -0.40% -0.86% ·
207 NBTBNBT BANCORP INC Finance 0.34 $2.6B Neutral -0.36% -0.76% ·
208 APAMArtisan Partners Asset Management Inc. Finance 0.20 $2.6B Unlock rating and forecasts
209 TRMKTRUSTMARK CORP Finance 0.37 $2.6B Neutral -0.21% -0.40% ▼ 1
210 FBKFB Financial Corp Finance 0.08 $2.6B Neutral -0.15% -0.26% ·
211 FGF&G Annuities & Life, Inc. Finance 0.56 $2.6B Neutral -0.11% -0.17% ·
212 GCMGGCM Grosvenor Inc. Finance 0.00 $2.5B Unlock rating and forecasts
213 CUBICustomers Bancorp, Inc. Finance 0.31 $2.5B Neutral -0.41% -0.89% ·
214 FBNCFIRST BANCORP /NC/ Finance 0.20 $2.5B Neutral +0.09% +0.21% ·
215 HCIHCI Group, Inc. Finance 0.02 $2.5B Neutral -0.31% -0.61% ·
216 EEFTEURONET WORLDWIDE, INC. Finance 0.46 $2.4B Neutral -0.31% -0.61% ·
217 BUSEFIRST BUSEY CORP /NV/ Finance 0.14 $2.4B Neutral -0.01% +0.01% ·
218 SYBTStock Yards Bancorp, Inc. Finance 0.19 $2.4B Neutral -0.32% -0.65% ·
219 CLOVCLOVER HEALTH INVESTMENTS, CORP. /DE Finance 0.16 $2.4B Unlock rating and forecasts
220 NTBBank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Ltd Finance 0.05 $2.3B Unlock rating and forecasts
221 BBTBeacon Financial Corp Finance 0.06 $2.3B Neutral -0.17% -0.30% ·
222 FRMEFIRST MERCHANTS CORP Finance 0.31 $2.3B Neutral -0.33% -0.66% ·
223 MBINMerchants Bancorp Finance 0.35 $2.2B Neutral -0.13% -0.22% ·
224 OFGOFG BANCORP Finance 0.10 $2.2B Unlock rating and forecasts
225 AGMFEDERAL AGRICULTURAL MORTGAGE CORP Finance 0.37 $2.2B Unlock rating and forecasts
226 EFSCENTERPRISE FINANCIAL SERVICES CORP Finance 0.07 $2.2B Neutral -0.18% -0.33% ·
227 WAFDWAFD INC Finance 0.20 $2.2B Unlock rating and forecasts
228 ECPGENCORE CAPITAL GROUP INC Finance 0.49 $2.2B Unlock rating and forecasts
229 HTHHilltop Holdings Inc. Finance 0.12 $2.1B Neutral -0.15% -0.27% ·
230 PLGOPelagos Insurance Capital Ltd Finance 0.06 $2.1B Neutral -0.36% -0.75% ·
231 TBBKBancorp, Inc. Finance 0.28 $2.0B Neutral +0.02% +0.08% ▼ 1
232 PRCHPorch Group, Inc. Finance 0.29 $2.0B Unlock rating and forecasts
233 GABCGERMAN AMERICAN BANCORP, INC. Finance 0.05 $1.9B Neutral -0.15% -0.27% ·
234 RBCAAREPUBLIC BANCORP INC /KY/ Finance 0.09 $1.8B Neutral -0.09% -0.15% ·
235 FSUNFIRSTSUN CAPITAL BANCORP Finance 0.03 $1.8B Neutral -0.03% -0.03% ·
236 HOPEHOPE BANCORP INC Finance 0.09 $1.7B Neutral +0.09% +0.20% ·
237 DCOMDime Commercial Bancshares, Inc. /NY/ Finance 0.34 $1.7B Unlock rating and forecasts
238 NBHCNational Bank Holdings Corp Finance 0.22 $1.7B Neutral -0.17% -0.30% ·
239 BYBYLINE BANCORP, INC. Finance 0.21 $1.7B Neutral -0.32% -0.63% ·
240 HAPNHappen, Inc. Finance 0.14 $1.7B Neutral -0.17% -0.31% ·
241 TCBKTRICO BANCSHARES / Finance 0.03 $1.7B Neutral -0.13% -0.23% ▼ 1
242 GSHDGoosehead Insurance, Inc. Finance 0.40 $1.7B Unlock rating and forecasts
243 CNOBConnectOne Bancorp, Inc. Finance 0.08 $1.7B Neutral -0.08% -0.12% ·
244 BFCBank First Corp Finance 0.30 $1.6B Unlock rating and forecasts
245 QCRHQCR HOLDINGS INC Finance 0.11 $1.6B Neutral -0.41% -0.90% ▲ 1
246 LOBLive Oak Bancshares, Inc. Finance 0.24 $1.6B Unlock rating and forecasts
247 STCSTEWART INFORMATION SERVICES CORP Finance 0.40 $1.6B Neutral -0.10% -0.16% ▼ 1
248 OBKOrigin Bancorp, Inc. Finance 0.46 $1.6B Neutral -0.37% -0.79% ·
249 OCFCOCEANFIRST FINANCIAL CORP Finance 0.24 $1.5B Neutral -0.27% -0.53% ·
250 SAFTSAFETY INSURANCE GROUP INC Finance 0.16 $1.5B Unlock rating and forecasts
201–250 of 395 Previous Next
Since the previous run

Rating changes

▲ 278▼ 463
Which companies were upgraded or downgraded is part of the paid plans.
Next step

Unlock the full ranking

Every company's rating, its 30- and 90-day forecasts, the forecast and IC-weighted rankings, the daily rating changes and CSV export.

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Methodology

Ratings are relative: the forecasts of the latest complete daily run (2026-10-16) are ranked and cut at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles, so Strong Sell is the bottom 15%, Sell the next 20%, Neutral the middle 30%, Buy the next 20% and Strong Buy the top 15%. Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. IC is the company's Spearman information coefficient between its past forecasts and the realised returns at the selected horizon; IC-weighted ranking multiplies each forecast by its IC (negative IC counts as zero). Δ is the rating move since the company's previous signal, in rating steps. Each company shows its latest signal, including one from a run still in progress; every signal is rated against the cut-offs above. Quantitative research output, not investment advice.