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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Bank First Corp (BFC) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5171 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 30.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $1.64B small-cap · #43 of 60 peers
Summary

Bank First Corp (BFC) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Bank First Corp outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Bank First Corp is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $1.64B. It ranks number 43 by market capitalization among the 60 National Commercial Banks issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For BFC, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 30.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 29.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.7%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, BFC included.

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Price

BFC price chart and AI forecast

BFC
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How BFC ranks among 5171 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Bank First Corp (BFC) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the National Commercial Banks peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricBFCIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $1.64B $2.67B 43/60
P/E Ratio 19.20x 11.82x 4/58
P/B Ratio 2.00x 1.24x 5/59
Dividend Yield 1.26% 2.93% 47/51
EPS $7.69 – –
Book Value/Share $73.91 – –
Revenue/Share $19.60 – –
FCF/Share $3.84 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricBFCIndustry medianRank
ROE 9.9% 10.6% 31/55
ROA 1.4% 1.2% 13/49
Net Margin 37.3% 29.8% 8/54
EBT Margin 46.4% 37.5% 10/59
Tax Rate 19.5% – –

Financial Health

MetricBFCIndustry medianRank
D/E Ratio 6.26x 7.94x 54/60
Financial Leverage 7.26x 8.97x 46/52

Cash Flow

MetricBFCIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $57M $231M 54/60
Free Cash Flow $43M $187M 41/43
Capital Spending -$15M -$15M 21/43
OCF Growth YoY -15.3% 32.2% 45/54
FCF Growth YoY -24.8% 36.1% 37/41
FCF/Sales 19.6% 29.8% 41/43
CapEx/Sales 6.8% 2.6% 8/43

Operational Efficiency

MetricBFCIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.04x 0.04x 9/49
Fixed Assets Turnover 2.3x 4.5x 45/52

Income Statement

MetricBFCIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $217M $694M 52/57
Net Income $81M $199M 46/55

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricBFCIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $1.86 – –
Payout Ratio 24.2% 35.7% 41/50
Shares Outstanding 11M – –
Net Income Growth 17.1% 18.4% 28/53
EPS Growth 11.0% 19.7% 36/55

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Cash & Short-term Investments$267M4.5% of assets
Total Liabilities$5.13B86.2% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

BFC quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · National Commercial Banks

Bank First Corp (BFC) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Bank First Corp (National Commercial Banks): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
BFC Bank First Corp ▼ $1.64B 19.2x 2.0x
JPM Jpmorgan Chase & Co ▲ $891.90B 14.4x 2.4x
BAC Bank Of America Corp /De/ ▲ $358.24B 9.8x 1.2x
WFC Wells Fargo & Company/Mn ▶ $250.24B 12.1x 1.4x
C Citigroup Inc ▲ $222.33B 17.8x 1.1x
UBS Ubs Group Ag ▼ $159.66B 9.7x –
MFG Mizuho Financial Group Inc ▶ $127.39B 2.2x 1.9x
COF Capital One Financial Corp ▼ $123.76B 11.7x 1.1x
USB Us Bancorp \De\ ▶ $89.42B 11.5x 1.3x
PNC Pnc Financial Services Group, Inc. ▶ $85.75B 11.8x 1.3x
TFC Truist Financial Corp ▼ $56.89B 8.9x 0.9x
HBAN Huntington Bancshares Inc /Md/ ▲ $30.85B 11.8x 1.0x
RF Regions Financial Corp ▲ $23.27B 11.6x 1.2x
KEY Keycorp /New/ ▲ $21.28B 12.4x 1.2x
FHN First Horizon Corp ▶ $10.84B 11.7x 1.2x
UMBF Umb Financial Corp ▼ $10.01B 10.8x 1.3x
ONB Old National Bancorp /In/ ▶ $9.77B 12.9x 1.2x
CFR Cullen/Frost Bankers, Inc. ▶ $9.64B 14.7x 2.1x
ZION Zions Bancorporation, National Association /Ut/ ▶ $9.20B 8.0x 1.2x
BOKF Bok Financial Corp ▶ $7.59B 11.8x 1.3x
VLY Valley National Bancorp ▲ $7.05B 11.8x 0.9x
FNB Fnb Corp/Pa/ ▶ $6.08B 10.6x 0.9x
FULT Fulton Financial Corp ▶ $4.28B 10.8x 1.2x
WSFS Wsfs Financial Corp ▶ $3.90B 12.8x 1.5x
BANF Bancfirst Corp /Ok/ ▶ $3.66B 14.7x 1.9x
WSBC Wesbanco Inc ▶ $3.55B 14.4x 0.9x
NIC Nicolet Bankshares Inc ▶ $3.45B 20.6x 1.5x
FFBC First Financial Bancorp /Oh/ ▼ $3.30B 11.8x 1.1x
SFNC Simmons First National Corp ▶ $3.22B – 0.9x
PRK Park National Corp /Oh/ ▶ $3.22B 16.0x 1.9x
BANC Banc Of California, Inc. ▲ $2.71B – 0.8x
NBTB Nbt Bancorp Inc ▶ $2.63B 13.0x 1.7x
TRMK Trustmark Corp ▶ $2.61B 11.6x 1.2x
FRME First Merchants Corp ▶ $2.29B 11.7x 0.9x
NWBI Northwest Bancshares, Inc. ▶ $2.18B 14.6x 1.1x
WAFD Wafd Inc ▲ $2.18B 8.0x 0.7x
FCF First Commonwealth Financial Corp /Pa/ ▶ $2.06B 12.8x 1.3x
TBBK Bancorp, Inc. ▶ $2.00B 7.5x 2.8x
CHCO City Holding Co ▶ $1.99B 15.5x 2.5x
FSUN Firstsun Capital Bancorp ▶ $1.77B 18.5x 1.5x
DCOM Dime Commercial Bancshares, Inc. /Ny/ ▲ $1.71B 15.7x 1.1x
HOPE Hope Bancorp Inc ▲ $1.71B 13.8x 0.8x
NBHC National Bank Holdings Corp ▶ $1.68B 14.8x 1.0x
OCFC Oceanfirst Financial Corp ▶ $1.54B 18.8x 0.9x
CASH Pathward Financial, Inc. ▶ $1.51B 9.0x 1.8x
WABC Westamerica Bancorporation ▶ $1.41B 13.4x 1.7x
BHRB Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. ▼ $1.41B 11.2x 1.2x
AMTB Amerant Bancorp Inc. ▲ $1.13B 23.4x 1.2x
FMCB Farmers & Merchants Bancorp ▶ $993M 10.3x 1.5x
CAC Camden National Corp ▲ $948M 9.9x 1.3x
HAFC Hanmi Financial Corp ▶ $923M 11.1x 1.1x
SMBK Smartfinancial Inc. ▲ $858M 15.5x 1.5x
ALRS Alerus Financial Corp ▲ $780M 44.2x 1.3x
FISI Financial Institutions Inc ▶ $775M 10.2x 1.4x
SHBI Shore Bancshares Inc ▶ $752M 12.0x 1.2x
BCAL California Bancorp \ Ca ▶ $700M 11.2x 1.2x
PFIS Peoples Financial Services Corp. ▲ $681M 12.0x 1.3x
CARE Carter Bankshares, Inc. ▶ $670M 4.9x 1.2x
CBNK Capital Bancorp Inc ▲ $645M 11.3x 1.5x
SFST Southern First Bancshares Inc ▲ $566M 11.3x 1.3x

Where BFC sits on the market map

Finance · National Commercial Banks
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News

Bank First Corp (BFC) stock news

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FAQ

Bank First Corp (BFC) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Bank First Corp (BFC) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Bank First Corp outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Bank First Corp stock predictions?

For BFC, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 30.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 29.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Bank First Corp forecasts updated?

Bank First Corp forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Bank First Corp's industry peers?

60 issuers in our coverage, BFC included, share the SEC industry code National Commercial Banks. The largest are: Jpmorgan Chase & Co (JPM), Bank Of America Corp /De/ (BAC), Wells Fargo & Company/Mn (WFC), Citigroup Inc (C), Ubs Group Ag (UBS), Mizuho Financial Group Inc (MFG).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.