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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Ubs Group Ag (UBS) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5171 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 44.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $159.66B large-cap · #5 of 60 peers
Summary

Ubs Group Ag (UBS) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Ubs Group Ag outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Ubs Group Ag is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $159.66B. It ranks number 5 by market capitalization among the 60 National Commercial Banks issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For UBS, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 44.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 21.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.7%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

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Price

UBS price chart and AI forecast

UBS
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How UBS ranks among 5171 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2025-12-31

Ubs Group Ag (UBS) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the National Commercial Banks peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricUBSIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $159.66B $2.67B 5/60
P/E Ratio 9.67x 11.82x 51/58
EPS $4.94 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricUBSIndustry medianRank
ROE 18.3% 10.6% 4/55
ROA 1.0% 1.2% 32/49
Tax Rate 14.6% – –

Financial Health

MetricUBSIndustry medianRank
D/E Ratio 16.93x 7.94x 2/60
Financial Leverage 17.93x 8.97x 2/52

Cash Flow

MetricUBSIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $57.88B $231M 2/60
OCF Growth YoY -57.6% 32.2% 53/54

Income Statement

MetricUBSIndustry medianRank
Net Income $16.52B $199M 4/55

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricUBSIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 3342M – –
Net Income Growth -75.2% 18.4% 52/53
EPS Growth -75.7% 19.7% 53/55

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Cash & Short-term Investments$231.38B
Total Liabilities$1.53T
Quarterly Financial Reports

UBS quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · National Commercial Banks

Ubs Group Ag (UBS) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Ubs Group Ag (National Commercial Banks): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
UBS Ubs Group Ag ▼ $159.66B 9.7x –
JPM Jpmorgan Chase & Co ▲ $891.90B 14.4x 2.4x
BAC Bank Of America Corp /De/ ▲ $358.24B 9.8x 1.2x
WFC Wells Fargo & Company/Mn ▶ $250.24B 12.1x 1.4x
C Citigroup Inc ▲ $222.33B 17.8x 1.1x
MFG Mizuho Financial Group Inc ▶ $127.39B 2.2x 1.9x
COF Capital One Financial Corp ▼ $123.76B 11.7x 1.1x
USB Us Bancorp \De\ ▶ $89.42B 11.5x 1.3x
PNC Pnc Financial Services Group, Inc. ▶ $85.75B 11.8x 1.3x
TFC Truist Financial Corp ▼ $56.89B 8.9x 0.9x
HBAN Huntington Bancshares Inc /Md/ ▲ $30.85B 11.8x 1.0x
RF Regions Financial Corp ▲ $23.27B 11.6x 1.2x
KEY Keycorp /New/ ▲ $21.28B 12.4x 1.2x
FHN First Horizon Corp ▶ $10.84B 11.7x 1.2x
UMBF Umb Financial Corp ▼ $10.01B 10.8x 1.3x
ONB Old National Bancorp /In/ ▶ $9.77B 12.9x 1.2x
CFR Cullen/Frost Bankers, Inc. ▶ $9.64B 14.7x 2.1x
ZION Zions Bancorporation, National Association /Ut/ ▶ $9.20B 8.0x 1.2x
BOKF Bok Financial Corp ▶ $7.59B 11.8x 1.3x
VLY Valley National Bancorp ▲ $7.05B 11.8x 0.9x
FNB Fnb Corp/Pa/ ▶ $6.08B 10.6x 0.9x
FULT Fulton Financial Corp ▶ $4.28B 10.8x 1.2x
WSFS Wsfs Financial Corp ▶ $3.90B 12.8x 1.5x
BANF Bancfirst Corp /Ok/ ▶ $3.66B 14.7x 1.9x
WSBC Wesbanco Inc ▶ $3.55B 14.4x 0.9x
NIC Nicolet Bankshares Inc ▶ $3.45B 20.6x 1.5x
FFBC First Financial Bancorp /Oh/ ▼ $3.30B 11.8x 1.1x
SFNC Simmons First National Corp ▶ $3.22B – 0.9x
PRK Park National Corp /Oh/ ▶ $3.22B 16.0x 1.9x
BANC Banc Of California, Inc. ▲ $2.71B – 0.8x
NBTB Nbt Bancorp Inc ▶ $2.63B 13.0x 1.7x
TRMK Trustmark Corp ▶ $2.61B 11.6x 1.2x
FRME First Merchants Corp ▶ $2.29B 11.7x 0.9x
NWBI Northwest Bancshares, Inc. ▶ $2.18B 14.6x 1.1x
WAFD Wafd Inc ▲ $2.18B 8.0x 0.7x
FCF First Commonwealth Financial Corp /Pa/ ▶ $2.06B 12.8x 1.3x
TBBK Bancorp, Inc. ▶ $2.00B 7.5x 2.8x
CHCO City Holding Co ▶ $1.99B 15.5x 2.5x
FSUN Firstsun Capital Bancorp ▶ $1.77B 18.5x 1.5x
DCOM Dime Commercial Bancshares, Inc. /Ny/ ▲ $1.71B 15.7x 1.1x
HOPE Hope Bancorp Inc ▲ $1.71B 13.8x 0.8x
NBHC National Bank Holdings Corp ▶ $1.68B 14.8x 1.0x
BFC Bank First Corp ▼ $1.64B 19.2x 2.0x
OCFC Oceanfirst Financial Corp ▶ $1.54B 18.8x 0.9x
CASH Pathward Financial, Inc. ▶ $1.51B 9.0x 1.8x
WABC Westamerica Bancorporation ▶ $1.41B 13.4x 1.7x
BHRB Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. ▼ $1.41B 11.2x 1.2x
AMTB Amerant Bancorp Inc. ▲ $1.13B 23.4x 1.2x
FMCB Farmers & Merchants Bancorp ▶ $993M 10.3x 1.5x
CAC Camden National Corp ▲ $948M 9.9x 1.3x
HAFC Hanmi Financial Corp ▶ $923M 11.1x 1.1x
SMBK Smartfinancial Inc. ▲ $858M 15.5x 1.5x
ALRS Alerus Financial Corp ▲ $780M 44.2x 1.3x
FISI Financial Institutions Inc ▶ $775M 10.2x 1.4x
SHBI Shore Bancshares Inc ▶ $752M 12.0x 1.2x
BCAL California Bancorp \ Ca ▶ $700M 11.2x 1.2x
PFIS Peoples Financial Services Corp. ▲ $681M 12.0x 1.3x
CARE Carter Bankshares, Inc. ▶ $670M 4.9x 1.2x
CBNK Capital Bancorp Inc ▲ $645M 11.3x 1.5x
SFST Southern First Bancshares Inc ▲ $566M 11.3x 1.3x

Where UBS sits on the market map

Finance · National Commercial Banks
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News

Ubs Group Ag (UBS) stock news

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FAQ

Ubs Group Ag (UBS) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Ubs Group Ag (UBS) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Ubs Group Ag outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Ubs Group Ag stock predictions?

For UBS, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 44.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 21.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Ubs Group Ag forecasts updated?

Ubs Group Ag forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Ubs Group Ag's industry peers?

60 issuers in our coverage, UBS included, share the SEC industry code National Commercial Banks. The largest are: Jpmorgan Chase & Co (JPM), Bank Of America Corp /De/ (BAC), Wells Fargo & Company/Mn (WFC), Citigroup Inc (C), Mizuho Financial Group Inc (MFG), Capital One Financial Corp (COF).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.