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Model output · Signal date 2026-11-06

Bok Financial Corp (BOKF) Stock Forecast Nov. 6, 2026

Analysis updated on Nov. 6, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D Unlock rating and forecasts
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage of 5150 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 23.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $7.87B mid-cap · #19 of 60 peers
Summary

Bok Financial Corp (BOKF) stock forecast summary

Our AI scores Bok Financial Corp every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

Bok Financial Corp is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $7.87B. It ranks number 19 by market capitalization among the 60 National Commercial Banks issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For BOKF, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 23.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 27.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +3.1%, buy ≥ +1.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-11-06 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, BOKF included.

Price

BOKF price chart and AI forecast

BOKF
Cross-section · 2026-11-06

How BOKF ranks among 5150 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-09-30

Bok Financial Corp (BOKF) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the National Commercial Banks peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricBOKFIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $7.87B $2.79B 19/60
P/E Ratio 11.73x 11.98x 33/59
P/B Ratio 1.33x 1.28x 27/59
Dividend Yield 1.94% 2.88% 41/52
EPS $11.04 – –
Book Value/Share $97.33 – –
Revenue/Share $37.75 – –
FCF/Share $11.85 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricBOKFIndustry medianRank
ROE 11.3% 10.9% 24/55
ROA 1.2% 1.2% 23/49
Net Margin 29.2% 30.1% 33/54
EBT Margin 37.3% 37.9% 33/59
Tax Rate 21.9% – –

Financial Health

MetricBOKFIndustry medianRank
D/E Ratio 8.14x 8.13x 29/60
Financial Leverage 9.14x 9.14x 26/52

Cash Flow

MetricBOKFIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $916M $274M 17/60
Free Cash Flow $720M $218M 12/43
Capital Spending -$196M -$17M 40/43
OCF Growth YoY -39.7% 21.1% 51/55
FCF Growth YoY -47.2% 26.5% 40/42
FCF/Sales 31.4% 33.8% 27/43
CapEx/Sales 8.5% 2.3% 4/43

Operational Efficiency

MetricBOKFIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.04x 0.04x 10/49
Fixed Assets Turnover 3.8x 4.7x 35/52

Income Statement

MetricBOKFIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $2.29B $723M 16/57
Net Income $669M $236M 17/55

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricBOKFIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $2.52 – –
Payout Ratio 22.8% 35.6% 42/52
Shares Outstanding 61M – –
Net Income Growth 24.7% 14.0% 17/54
EPS Growth 31.4% 17.5% 21/57

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Cash & Short-term Investments$1.27B2.3% of assets
Total Liabilities$48.16B89.1% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

BOKF quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · National Commercial Banks

Bok Financial Corp (BOKF) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Bok Financial Corp (National Commercial Banks): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
BOKF Bok Financial Corp $7.87B 11.7x 1.3x
JPM Jpmorgan Chase & Co $889.14B 14.0x 2.4x
BAC Bank Of America Corp /De/ $341.01B 9.7x 1.2x
WFC Wells Fargo & Company/Mn $254.56B 12.0x 1.5x
C Citigroup Inc $213.01B 17.0x 1.0x
UBS Ubs Group Ag $159.66B 9.7x –
COF Capital One Financial Corp $123.84B 11.2x 1.1x
MFG Mizuho Financial Group Inc $117.17B 2.0x 1.7x
USB Us Bancorp \De\ $92.63B 11.6x 1.4x
PNC Pnc Financial Services Group, Inc. $90.46B 12.1x 1.5x
TFC Truist Financial Corp $59.18B 10.4x 1.0x
HBAN Huntington Bancshares Inc /Md/ $31.18B 11.8x 1.0x
RF Regions Financial Corp $24.12B 12.1x 1.3x
KEY Keycorp /New/ $22.37B 12.9x 1.2x
FHN First Horizon Corp $10.92B 13.5x 1.2x
UMBF Umb Financial Corp $10.23B 10.1x 1.3x
CFR Cullen/Frost Bankers, Inc. $9.65B 14.4x 2.4x
ZION Zions Bancorporation, National Association /Ut/ $9.48B 8.0x 1.2x
ONB Old National Bancorp /In/ $9.43B 9.4x 1.1x
VLY Valley National Bancorp $7.78B 12.9x 1.0x
FNB Fnb Corp/Pa/ $6.32B 11.3x 0.9x
FULT Fulton Financial Corp $4.54B 11.2x 1.3x
WSFS Wsfs Financial Corp $4.03B 12.4x 1.5x
BANF Bancfirst Corp /Ok/ $3.87B 15.3x 1.9x
WSBC Wesbanco Inc $3.70B 12.1x 0.9x
NIC Nicolet Bankshares Inc $3.60B 21.1x 1.6x
FFBC First Financial Bancorp /Oh/ $3.42B 12.2x 1.2x
SFNC Simmons First National Corp $3.36B 17.0x 1.0x
PRK Park National Corp /Oh/ $3.25B 15.8x 1.9x
BANC Banc Of California, Inc. $2.84B – 0.9x
NBTB Nbt Bancorp Inc $2.75B 13.2x 1.8x
TRMK Trustmark Corp $2.59B 9.2x 1.2x
FRME First Merchants Corp $2.56B 9.8x 1.0x
NWBI Northwest Bancshares, Inc. $2.24B 12.4x 1.2x
WAFD Wafd Inc $2.18B 8.0x 0.7x
FCF First Commonwealth Financial Corp /Pa/ $2.11B 13.7x 1.4x
CHCO City Holding Co $1.99B 15.5x 2.5x
TBBK Bancorp, Inc. $1.97B 7.0x 2.9x
DCOM Dime Commercial Bancshares, Inc. /Ny/ $1.85B 12.0x 1.2x
FSUN Firstsun Capital Bancorp $1.81B 19.0x 1.5x
OCFC Oceanfirst Financial Corp $1.75B 17.4x 1.1x
HOPE Hope Bancorp Inc $1.68B 24.9x 0.8x
NBHC National Bank Holdings Corp $1.66B 26.0x 1.0x
BFC Bank First Corp $1.64B 18.5x 2.0x
CASH Pathward Financial, Inc. $1.58B 9.4x 1.9x
BHRB Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. $1.41B 11.6x 1.2x
WABC Westamerica Bancorporation $1.38B 12.9x 1.8x
AMTB Amerant Bancorp Inc. $1.16B 19.0x 1.4x
FMCB Farmers & Merchants Bancorp $1.00B 10.4x 1.5x
CAC Camden National Corp $980M 10.1x 1.4x
HAFC Hanmi Financial Corp $969M 11.4x 1.2x
ALRS Alerus Financial Corp $842M 41.2x 1.5x
SMBK Smartfinancial Inc. $813M 14.7x 1.4x
FISI Financial Institutions Inc $783M 10.3x 1.4x
SHBI Shore Bancshares Inc $749M 9.3x 1.2x
PFIS Peoples Financial Services Corp. $723M 11.9x 1.4x
BCAL California Bancorp \ Ca $701M 11.6x 1.2x
CBNK Capital Bancorp Inc $691M 10.2x 1.6x
CARE Carter Bankshares, Inc. $636M 4.3x 1.2x
SFST Southern First Bancshares Inc $563M 10.8x 1.2x

Where BOKF sits on the market map

Finance · National Commercial Banks
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News

Bok Financial Corp (BOKF) stock news

source: WTOP News

TULSA, Okla. (AP) — TULSA, Okla. (AP) — BOK Financial Corp. (BOKF) on Monday reported third-quarter profit of $159.9 million. The Tulsa, Oklahoma-based bank said it had earnings of $2.64 per share.

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FAQ

Bok Financial Corp (BOKF) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Bok Financial Corp (BOKF) stock forecast?

Our AI scores Bok Financial Corp every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

How accurate are Bok Financial Corp stock predictions?

For BOKF, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 23.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 27.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Bok Financial Corp forecasts updated?

Bok Financial Corp forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 6, 2026.

Which companies are Bok Financial Corp's industry peers?

60 issuers in our coverage, BOKF included, share the SEC industry code National Commercial Banks. The largest are: Jpmorgan Chase & Co (JPM), Bank Of America Corp /De/ (BAC), Wells Fargo & Company/Mn (WFC), Citigroup Inc (C), Ubs Group Ag (UBS), Capital One Financial Corp (COF).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.