Simmons First National Corp (SFNC) Stock Forecast Nov. 9, 2026
Analysis updated on Nov. 9, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq
Simmons First National Corp (SFNC) stock forecast summary
Our AI scores Simmons First National Corp every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.
Simmons First National Corp is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $3.37B. It ranks number 28 by market capitalization among the 60 National Commercial Banks issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its Net Margin of 726.5% is the highest of the 54 peers that report one.
For SFNC, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 9.0%, measured on 358 forecast dates between 2022-08-22 and 2026-08-11 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 1.0%, measured on 401 forecast dates between 2022-08-22 and 2026-10-09. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +3.1%, buy ≥ +1.6%, sell < -0.3%, strong sell < -1.7% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-11-09 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, SFNC included.
SFNC price chart and AI forecast
How SFNC ranks among 4004 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Simmons First National Corp (SFNC) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the National Commercial Banks peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | SFNC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $3.37B | 28/60 |
| P/E Ratio | 17.04x | 9/59 |
| P/B Ratio | 1.01x | 48/59 |
| Dividend Yield | 3.68% | 8/52 |
| EPS | $1.37 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $23.18 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $0.25 | – |
| FCF/Share | $2.24 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | SFNC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 7.8% | 48/55 |
| ROA | 1.1% | 32/49 |
| Net Margin | 726.5% | 1/54 |
| EBT Margin | 1000.5% | 1/59 |
| Tax Rate | 16.7% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | SFNC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| D/E Ratio | 6.19x | 56/60 |
| Financial Leverage | 7.19x | 48/52 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | SFNC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $344M | 25/60 |
| Free Cash Flow | $324M | 15/43 |
| Capital Spending | -$20M | 24/43 |
| OCF Growth YoY | -17.4% | 45/55 |
| FCF Growth YoY | -14.3% | 35/42 |
| FCF/Sales | 903.6% | 1/43 |
| CapEx/Sales | 56.0% | 1/43 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | SFNC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.00x | 48/49 |
Income Statement
| Metric | SFNC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $36M | 57/57 |
| Net Income | $260M | 25/55 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | SFNC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $0.86 | – |
| Payout Ratio | 62.8% | 5/52 |
| Shares Outstanding | 145M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $760M | 3.2% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $20.72B | 86.1% of assets |
SFNC quarterly financials and insider trading
Simmons First National Corp (SFNC) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Simmons First National Corp (National Commercial Banks): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| SFNC Simmons First National Corp | $3.37B | |
| JPM Jpmorgan Chase & Co | $889.14B | |
| BAC Bank Of America Corp /De/ | $341.01B | |
| WFC Wells Fargo & Company/Mn | $251.98B | |
| C Citigroup Inc | $213.01B | |
| UBS Ubs Group Ag | $159.66B | |
| COF Capital One Financial Corp | $123.84B | |
| MFG Mizuho Financial Group Inc | $117.17B | |
| USB Us Bancorp \De\ | $92.63B | |
| PNC Pnc Financial Services Group, Inc. | $89.91B | |
| TFC Truist Financial Corp | $59.18B | |
| HBAN Huntington Bancshares Inc /Md/ | $31.18B | |
| RF Regions Financial Corp | $24.12B | |
| KEY Keycorp /New/ | $22.25B | |
| FHN First Horizon Corp | $10.92B | |
| UMBF Umb Financial Corp | $10.16B | |
| CFR Cullen/Frost Bankers, Inc. | $9.65B | |
| ZION Zions Bancorporation, National Association /Ut/ | $9.45B | |
| ONB Old National Bancorp /In/ | $9.43B | |
| BOKF Bok Financial Corp | $7.87B | |
| VLY Valley National Bancorp | $7.78B | |
| FNB Fnb Corp/Pa/ | $6.32B | |
| FULT Fulton Financial Corp | $4.54B | |
| WSFS Wsfs Financial Corp | $4.03B | |
| BANF Bancfirst Corp /Ok/ | $3.87B | |
| WSBC Wesbanco Inc | $3.70B | |
| NIC Nicolet Bankshares Inc | $3.60B | |
| FFBC First Financial Bancorp /Oh/ | $3.42B | |
| PRK Park National Corp /Oh/ | $3.20B | |
| BANC Banc Of California, Inc. | $2.84B | |
| NBTB Nbt Bancorp Inc | $2.75B | |
| TRMK Trustmark Corp | $2.59B | |
| FRME First Merchants Corp | $2.56B | |
| NWBI Northwest Bancshares, Inc. | $2.23B | |
| WAFD Wafd Inc | $2.18B | |
| FCF First Commonwealth Financial Corp /Pa/ | $2.11B | |
| CHCO City Holding Co | $1.99B | |
| TBBK Bancorp, Inc. | $1.97B | |
| DCOM Dime Commercial Bancshares, Inc. /Ny/ | $1.85B | |
| FSUN Firstsun Capital Bancorp | $1.81B | |
| OCFC Oceanfirst Financial Corp | $1.73B | |
| HOPE Hope Bancorp Inc | $1.68B | |
| NBHC National Bank Holdings Corp | $1.64B | |
| BFC Bank First Corp | $1.64B | |
| CASH Pathward Financial, Inc. | $1.58B | |
| BHRB Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. | $1.41B | |
| WABC Westamerica Bancorporation | $1.38B | |
| AMTB Amerant Bancorp Inc. | $1.16B | |
| FMCB Farmers & Merchants Bancorp | $1.00B | |
| CAC Camden National Corp | $980M | |
| HAFC Hanmi Financial Corp | $969M | |
| ALRS Alerus Financial Corp | $842M | |
| SMBK Smartfinancial Inc. | $813M | |
| FISI Financial Institutions Inc | $783M | |
| SHBI Shore Bancshares Inc | $749M | |
| PFIS Peoples Financial Services Corp. | $723M | |
| BCAL California Bancorp \ Ca | $701M | |
| CBNK Capital Bancorp Inc | $691M | |
| CARE Carter Bankshares, Inc. | $636M | |
| SFST Southern First Bancshares Inc | $563M |
Where SFNC sits on the market map
Simmons First National Corp (SFNC) stock news
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Simmons First National Corp (SFNC) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Simmons First National Corp (SFNC) stock forecast?
Our AI scores Simmons First National Corp every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.
How accurate are Simmons First National Corp stock predictions?
For SFNC, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 9.0%, measured on 358 forecast dates between 2022-08-22 and 2026-08-11 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 1.0%, measured on 401 forecast dates between 2022-08-22 and 2026-10-09. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Simmons First National Corp forecasts updated?
Simmons First National Corp forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 9, 2026.
Which companies are Simmons First National Corp's industry peers?
60 issuers in our coverage, SFNC included, share the SEC industry code National Commercial Banks. The largest are: Jpmorgan Chase & Co (JPM), Bank Of America Corp /De/ (BAC), Wells Fargo & Company/Mn (WFC), Citigroup Inc (C), Ubs Group Ag (UBS), Capital One Financial Corp (COF).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.