Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · Nasdaq
On Oct. 16, 2026, SFNC is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.
Simmons First National Corp is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $3.19B. It ranks number 29 by market capitalization among the 60 National Commercial Banks issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its ROE of -10.0% is the lowest of the 55 peers that report one. Its Net Margin of -316.9% is the lowest of the 54 peers that report one.
For SFNC, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 10.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 4.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.1%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, SFNC included.
Follow SFNC free90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the National Commercial Banks peers listed below that report each metric.
| Metric | SFNC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $3.19B | 29/60 |
| P/B Ratio | 0.92x | 50/59 |
| Dividend Yield | 3.88% | 6/51 |
| EPS | $-2.92 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $24.09 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $0.76 | – |
| FCF/Share | $3.34 | – |
| Metric | SFNC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | -10.0% | 55/55 |
| ROA | -1.4% | 49/49 |
| Net Margin | -316.9% | 54/54 |
| EBT Margin | -382.5% | 59/59 |
| Tax Rate | 26.2% | – |
| Metric | SFNC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| D/E Ratio | 6.12x | 55/60 |
| Financial Leverage | 7.12x | 47/52 |
| Metric | SFNC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $524M | 22/60 |
| Free Cash Flow | $482M | 14/43 |
| Capital Spending | -$42M | 31/43 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 33.4% | 27/54 |
| FCF Growth YoY | 38.1% | 19/41 |
| FCF/Sales | 437.1% | 1/43 |
| CapEx/Sales | 38.0% | 1/43 |
| Metric | SFNC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.00x | 48/49 |
| Metric | SFNC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $110M | 56/57 |
| Net Income | -$349M | 55/55 |
| Metric | SFNC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $0.86 | – |
| Shares Outstanding | 145M | – |
| Net Income Growth | -318.1% | 53/53 |
| EPS Growth | -321.2% | 55/55 |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $589M | 2.4% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $21.29B | 86.0% of assets |
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Simmons First National Corp (National Commercial Banks): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| SFNC Simmons First National Corp | ▶ | $3.19B |
| JPM Jpmorgan Chase & Co | ▶ | $903.04B |
| BAC Bank Of America Corp /De/ | ▲ | $358.24B |
| WFC Wells Fargo & Company/Mn | ▶ | $253.62B |
| C Citigroup Inc | ▲ | $222.33B |
| UBS Ubs Group Ag | ▶ | $159.33B |
| MFG Mizuho Financial Group Inc | ▶ | $126.76B |
| COF Capital One Financial Corp | ▶ | $123.76B |
| USB Us Bancorp \De\ | ▶ | $91.50B |
| PNC Pnc Financial Services Group, Inc. | ▶ | $86.73B |
| TFC Truist Financial Corp | ▼ | $57.50B |
| HBAN Huntington Bancshares Inc /Md/ | ▲ | $30.85B |
| RF Regions Financial Corp | ▶ | $23.39B |
| KEY Keycorp /New/ | ▲ | $21.33B |
| FHN First Horizon Corp | ▶ | $10.84B |
| UMBF Umb Financial Corp | ▼ | $9.96B |
| ONB Old National Bancorp /In/ | ▶ | $9.78B |
| CFR Cullen/Frost Bankers, Inc. | ▼ | $9.64B |
| ZION Zions Bancorporation, National Association /Ut/ | ▶ | $9.25B |
| BOKF Bok Financial Corp | ▼ | $7.59B |
| VLY Valley National Bancorp | ▶ | $7.00B |
| FNB Fnb Corp/Pa/ | ▶ | $6.08B |
| FULT Fulton Financial Corp | ▼ | $4.28B |
| WSFS Wsfs Financial Corp | ▼ | $3.90B |
| BANF Bancfirst Corp /Ok/ | ▼ | $3.66B |
| WSBC Wesbanco Inc | ▶ | $3.57B |
| NIC Nicolet Bankshares Inc | ▼ | $3.43B |
| FFBC First Financial Bancorp /Oh/ | ▼ | $3.30B |
| PRK Park National Corp /Oh/ | ▼ | $3.23B |
| BANC Banc Of California, Inc. | ▲ | $2.71B |
| NBTB Nbt Bancorp Inc | ▼ | $2.64B |
| TRMK Trustmark Corp | ▶ | $2.61B |
| FRME First Merchants Corp | ▼ | $2.29B |
| NWBI Northwest Bancshares, Inc. | ▼ | $2.19B |
| WAFD Wafd Inc | ▲ | $2.16B |
| FCF First Commonwealth Financial Corp /Pa/ | ▼ | $2.06B |
| TBBK Bancorp, Inc. | ▶ | $2.02B |
| CHCO City Holding Co | ▼ | $1.99B |
| FSUN Firstsun Capital Bancorp | ▶ | $1.77B |
| HOPE Hope Bancorp Inc | ▶ | $1.72B |
| DCOM Dime Commercial Bancshares, Inc. /Ny/ | ▶ | $1.71B |
| NBHC National Bank Holdings Corp | ▶ | $1.69B |
| BFC Bank First Corp | ▼ | $1.64B |
| OCFC Oceanfirst Financial Corp | ▶ | $1.53B |
| CASH Pathward Financial, Inc. | ▶ | $1.51B |
| WABC Westamerica Bancorporation | ▼ | $1.42B |
| BHRB Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. | ▼ | $1.41B |
| AMTB Amerant Bancorp Inc. | ▶ | $1.13B |
| FMCB Farmers & Merchants Bancorp | ▼ | $1.00B |
| CAC Camden National Corp | ▶ | $948M |
| HAFC Hanmi Financial Corp | ▶ | $923M |
| SMBK Smartfinancial Inc. | ▶ | $866M |
| ALRS Alerus Financial Corp | ▲ | $780M |
| FISI Financial Institutions Inc | ▶ | $775M |
| SHBI Shore Bancshares Inc | ▶ | $753M |
| BCAL California Bancorp \ Ca | ▶ | $700M |
| PFIS Peoples Financial Services Corp. | ▶ | $684M |
| CARE Carter Bankshares, Inc. | ▼ | $670M |
| CBNK Capital Bancorp Inc | ▶ | $645M |
| SFST Southern First Bancshares Inc | ▶ | $567M |
Simmons First National Corp (SFNC) delivered strong linked-quarter improvements in net interest income, EPS, and returns while strategically remixing its loan book and cutting expenses.
Simmons First National Corporation's third quarter earnings call for 2026 has revealed a strategic shift in the company's ...
Simmons First National Corp. on Thursday (Oct. 16) reported adjusted third-quarter net income of $79 million, up 21.7% ...
On Oct. 16, 2026, SFNC is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.
For SFNC, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 10.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 4.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Simmons First National Corp forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
60 issuers in our coverage, SFNC included, share the SEC industry code National Commercial Banks. The largest are: Jpmorgan Chase & Co (JPM), Bank Of America Corp /De/ (BAC), Wells Fargo & Company/Mn (WFC), Citigroup Inc (C), Ubs Group Ag (UBS), Mizuho Financial Group Inc (MFG).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
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