Ascend Wellness Holdings, Inc. (AAWH) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · OTC
Ascend Wellness Holdings, Inc. (AAWH) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Ascend Wellness Holdings, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Ascend Wellness Holdings, Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $80M. It ranks number 12 by market capitalization among the 28 Medicinal Chemicals & Botanical Products issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For AAWH, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 30.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 9.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, AAWH included.
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How AAWH ranks among 5172 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Ascend Wellness Holdings, Inc. (AAWH) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Medicinal Chemicals & Botanical Products peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | AAWH | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $80M | 12/28 |
| EPS | $-0.51 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $2.40 | – |
| FCF/Share | $-0.03 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | AAWH | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROA | -12.8% | 12/24 |
| ROIC | -1.4% | 9/20 |
| Gross Margin | 36.7% | 13/23 |
| Operating Margin | -2.2% | 9/24 |
| Net Margin | -23.3% | 15/22 |
| EBT Margin | -16.2% | 14/25 |
| Tax Rate | -43.9% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | AAWH | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.66x | 13/28 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.93x | 11/26 |
| Interest Coverage | 0.2x | 9/22 |
| Working Capital | $74M | 10/28 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | AAWH | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $17M | 6/29 |
| Free Cash Flow | -$7M | 9/12 |
| Capital Spending | -$24M | 11/12 |
| OCF Growth YoY | -71.5% | 7/11 |
| FCF/Sales | -1.4% | 9/12 |
| CapEx/Sales | 5.0% | 2/12 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | AAWH | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.55x | 12/17 |
| Receivables Turnover | 18.6x | 7/16 |
| Inventory Turnover | 3.8x | 5/21 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 2.0x | 11/17 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 20 days | 10/16 |
| Days Inventory | 97 days | 16/20 |
| Payables Period | 33 days | 16/18 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 84 days | 11/12 |
Income Statement
| Metric | AAWH | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $488M | 6/18 |
| Operating Income | -$11M | 18/27 |
| Net Income | -$114M | 19/24 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $309M | 3/24 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | AAWH | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 203M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $187M | 21.0% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $67M | 7.5% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $26M | 3.0% of assets |
| Inventory | $82M | 9.3% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $973M | |
| Short-term Debt | $85M | 9.5% of assets |
AAWH quarterly financials and insider trading
Ascend Wellness Holdings, Inc. (AAWH) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Ascend Wellness Holdings, Inc. (Medicinal Chemicals & Botanical Products): 32 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| AAWH Ascend Wellness Holdings, Inc. | ▲ | $80M |
| DFTX Definium Therapeutics, Inc. | ▲ | $4.31B |
| TRLV Trulieve Cannabis Corp. | ▲ | $1.93B |
| CRON Cronos Group Inc. | ▶ | $1.18B |
| TLRY Tilray Brands, Inc. | ▼ | $414M |
| SNDL Sndl Inc. | ▶ | $322M |
| CGC Canopy Growth Corp | ▶ | $302M |
| GLAS Glass House Brands Inc. | ▼ | $301M |
| USNA Usana Health Sciences Inc | ▼ | $287M |
| ACB Aurora Cannabis Inc | ▶ | $253M |
| NAGE Niagen Bioscience, Inc. | ▶ | $197M |
| MDWD Mediwound Ltd. | ▶ | $152M |
| FTLF Fitlife Brands, Inc. | ▲ | $79M |
| BTMD Biote Corp. | ▲ | $35M |
| CHUC Charlie's Holdings, Inc. | ▼ | $27M |
| MRMD Marimed Inc. | ▲ | $23M |
| CFOO China Foods Holdings Ltd. | ▼ | $21M |
| MTEX Mannatech Inc | ▲ | $14M |
| ADIA Adia Med, Inc. | ▲ | $13M |
| GLUC Glucose Health, Inc. | ▼ | $9M |
| BON Bon Natural Life Ltd | ▶ | $7M |
| NAII Natural Alternatives International Inc | ▲ | $7M |
| PLSH Panacea Life Sciences Holdings, Inc. | ▲ | $6M |
| CYAN Cyanotech Corp | ▲ | $5M |
| IMCC Im Cannabis Corp. | ▼ | $2M |
| AIBT Aibotics, Inc. | ▼ | $2M |
| NPHC Nutra Pharma Corp | ▼ | $720K |
| MEHA Functional Brands Inc. | ▼ | $310K |
| CBDY Target Group Inc. | ▼ | N/A |
| HYEX Healthy Extracts Inc. | ▶ | N/A |
| NTRR Neutra Corp. | ▼ | N/A |
| SNYRQ Synergy Chc Corp. | ▼ | N/A |
Where AAWH sits on the market map
Ascend Wellness Holdings, Inc. (AAWH) stock news
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Ascend Wellness Holdings, Inc. (AAWH) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Ascend Wellness Holdings, Inc. (AAWH) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Ascend Wellness Holdings, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Ascend Wellness Holdings, Inc. stock predictions?
For AAWH, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 30.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 9.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Ascend Wellness Holdings, Inc. forecasts updated?
Ascend Wellness Holdings, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Ascend Wellness Holdings, Inc.'s industry peers?
32 issuers in our coverage, AAWH included, share the SEC industry code Medicinal Chemicals & Botanical Products. The largest are: Definium Therapeutics, Inc. (DFTX), Trulieve Cannabis Corp. (TRLV), Cronos Group Inc. (CRON), Tilray Brands, Inc. (TLRY), Sndl Inc. (SNDL), Canopy Growth Corp (CGC).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.