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Model output · Signal date 2026-11-06

Ascend Wellness Holdings, Inc. (AAWH) Stock Forecast Nov. 6, 2026

Analysis updated on Nov. 6, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · OTC

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Rating · 90D Unlock rating and forecasts
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage of 5150 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D -10.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $75M small-cap · #12 of 28 peers
Summary

Ascend Wellness Holdings, Inc. (AAWH) stock forecast summary

Our AI scores Ascend Wellness Holdings, Inc. every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

Ascend Wellness Holdings, Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $75M. It ranks number 12 by market capitalization among the 28 Medicinal Chemicals & Botanical Products issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For AAWH, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -10.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -7.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +3.1%, buy ≥ +1.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-11-06 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, AAWH included.

Price

AAWH price chart and AI forecast

AAWH
Cross-section · 2026-11-06

How AAWH ranks among 5150 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Ascend Wellness Holdings, Inc. (AAWH) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Medicinal Chemicals & Botanical Products peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricAAWHIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $75M $30M 12/28
EPS $-0.51 – –
Revenue/Share $2.40 – –
FCF/Share $-0.03 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricAAWHIndustry medianRank
ROA -12.8% -12.8% 11/21
ROIC -1.4% -3.3% 8/18
Gross Margin 36.7% 37.0% 12/21
Operating Margin -2.2% -13.2% 9/23
Net Margin -23.3% -17.1% 14/19
EBT Margin -16.2% -13.0% 14/23
Tax Rate -43.9% – –

Financial Health

MetricAAWHIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 1.66x 1.65x 12/25
Quick Ratio 0.93x 0.82x 10/23
Interest Coverage 0.2x -0.6x 9/21
Working Capital $74M $13M 9/25

Cash Flow

MetricAAWHIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $17M -$490K 6/27
Free Cash Flow -$7M $9M 9/12
Capital Spending -$24M -$8M 11/12
OCF Growth YoY -71.5% -49.4% 7/10
FCF/Sales -1.4% 3.3% 9/12
CapEx/Sales 5.0% 2.1% 4/12

Operational Efficiency

MetricAAWHIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.55x 0.99x 11/15
Receivables Turnover 18.6x 17.7x 6/14
Inventory Turnover 3.8x 2.7x 5/19
Fixed Assets Turnover 2.0x 3.5x 11/16
Days Sales Outstanding 20 days 21 days 9/14
Days Inventory 97 days 131 days 14/18
Payables Period 33 days 52 days 15/17
Cash Conversion Cycle 84 days 104 days 11/12

Income Statement

MetricAAWHIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $488M $184M 6/17
Operating Income -$11M -$3M 17/26
Net Income -$114M -$15M 16/21
Cost of Goods Sold $309M $42M 3/22

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricAAWHIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 203M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$187M21.0% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$67M7.5% of assets
Accounts Receivable$26M3.0% of assets
Inventory$82M9.3% of assets
Total Liabilities$973M
Short-term Debt$85M9.5% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

AAWH quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Medicinal Chemicals & Botanical Products

Ascend Wellness Holdings, Inc. (AAWH) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Ascend Wellness Holdings, Inc. (Medicinal Chemicals & Botanical Products): 30 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
AAWH Ascend Wellness Holdings, Inc. $75M – –
DFTX Definium Therapeutics, Inc. $4.47B – 4.9x
TRLV Trulieve Cannabis Corp. $1.97B – 2.6x
CRON Cronos Group Inc. $1.33B – 1.2x
TLRY Tilray Brands, Inc. $432M – 0.3x
SNDL Sndl Inc. $355M – –
ACB Aurora Cannabis Inc $332M – –
CGC Canopy Growth Corp $276M – 0.6x
USNA Usana Health Sciences Inc $256M – 0.5x
GLAS Glass House Brands Inc. $196M – 2.7x
MDWD Mediwound Ltd. $171M – –
NAGE Niagen Bioscience, Inc. $164M 14.8x 2.0x
FTLF Fitlife Brands, Inc. $75M 12.3x 1.6x
CHUC Charlie's Holdings, Inc. $31M – 9.9x
BTMD Biote Corp. $30M 2.5x –
MRMD Marimed Inc. $26M – 0.6x
HYEX Healthy Extracts Inc. $21M – –
MTEX Mannatech Inc $16M 6.6x –
ADIA Adia Med, Inc. $9M – –
GLUC Glucose Health, Inc. $9M – –
BON Bon Natural Life Ltd $7M – –
NAII Natural Alternatives International Inc $7M – 0.1x
PLSH Panacea Life Sciences Holdings, Inc. $6M – –
AIBT Aibotics, Inc. $3M – –
CYAN Cyanotech Corp $3M – 0.4x
IMCC Im Cannabis Corp. $980K – –
NPHC Nutra Pharma Corp $720K – –
MEHA Functional Brands Inc. $140K – –
NTRR Neutra Corp. N/A – –
SNYRQ Synergy Chc Corp. N/A – –

Where AAWH sits on the market map

Life Sciences · Medicinal Chemicals & Botanical Products
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News

Ascend Wellness Holdings, Inc. (AAWH) stock news

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FAQ

Ascend Wellness Holdings, Inc. (AAWH) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Ascend Wellness Holdings, Inc. (AAWH) stock forecast?

Our AI scores Ascend Wellness Holdings, Inc. every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

How accurate are Ascend Wellness Holdings, Inc. stock predictions?

For AAWH, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -10.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -7.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Ascend Wellness Holdings, Inc. forecasts updated?

Ascend Wellness Holdings, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 6, 2026.

Which companies are Ascend Wellness Holdings, Inc.'s industry peers?

30 issuers in our coverage, AAWH included, share the SEC industry code Medicinal Chemicals & Botanical Products. The largest are: Definium Therapeutics, Inc. (DFTX), Trulieve Cannabis Corp. (TRLV), Cronos Group Inc. (CRON), Tilray Brands, Inc. (TLRY), Sndl Inc. (SNDL), Aurora Cannabis Inc (ACB).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.