3 reasons ACM is risky and 1 stock to buy instead
Shareholders of AECOM would probably like to forget the past six months even happened. The stock dropped 22% and now trades ...
Analysis updated on Nov. 6, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Our AI scores Aecom every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.
Aecom is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $8.59B. It ranks number 2 by market capitalization among the 9 Services-Engineering Services issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its D/E Ratio of 4.39x is the highest of the 8 peers that report one.
For ACM, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 5.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -2.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +3.1%, buy ≥ +1.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-11-06 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, ACM included.
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Services-Engineering Services peers listed below that report each metric.
| Metric | ACM | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $8.59B | 2/9 |
| P/E Ratio | 41.20x | 4/7 |
| P/B Ratio | 3.92x | 2/7 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.75% | – |
| EPS | $1.62 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $17.04 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $119.61 | – |
| FCF/Share | $1.58 | – |
| Metric | ACM | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 13.1% | 4/5 |
| ROA | 2.4% | 5/5 |
| ROIC | 10.5% | 2/6 |
| Gross Margin | 5.7% | 5/5 |
| Operating Margin | 4.1% | 6/6 |
| Net Margin | 1.9% | – |
| EBT Margin | 3.4% | 6/6 |
| Tax Rate | 18.8% | – |
| Metric | ACM | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.06x | 7/9 |
| D/E Ratio | 4.39x | 1/8 |
| Financial Leverage | 5.48x | 1/8 |
| Interest Coverage | 1.4x | 4/8 |
| Working Capital | $340M | 3/9 |
| Metric | ACM | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $365M | 3/9 |
| Free Cash Flow | $203M | 3/5 |
| Capital Spending | -$162M | 5/5 |
| OCF Growth YoY | -60.5% | 7/7 |
| FCF Growth YoY | -75.3% | 5/5 |
| FCF/Sales | 1.3% | – |
| CapEx/Sales | 1.1% | – |
| Metric | ACM | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 1.28x | 1/5 |
| Receivables Turnover | 6.4x | 2/5 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 33.5x | 2/5 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 57 days | 4/5 |
| Payables Period | 60 days | 1/6 |
| Metric | ACM | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $15.39B | 1/5 |
| Operating Income | $631M | 1/7 |
| Net Income | $288M | 2/5 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $14.52B | 1/7 |
| Metric | ACM | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $1.16 | – |
| Payout Ratio | 71.6% | – |
| Shares Outstanding | 129M | – |
| Net Income Growth | -53.1% | 4/5 |
| EPS Growth | -69.3% | 6/6 |
| Total Current Assets | $6.35B | 52.8% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $1.01B | 8.4% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $2.39B | 19.9% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $9.63B | 80.0% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $3.63B | 30.2% of assets |
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Aecom (Services-Engineering Services): 10 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up freeShareholders of AECOM would probably like to forget the past six months even happened. The stock dropped 22% and now trades ...
AECOM shares have rebounded over the past month after a difficult stretch, which puts fresh attention on whether the current valuation lines up with what the business is earning. With the stock still ...
AECOM (NYSE: ACM), the trusted global infrastructure leader, today announced that it intends to issue its fourth quarter and full year fiscal 2026 earnings results after the U.S. market closes on ...
Our AI scores Aecom every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.
For ACM, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 5.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -2.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Aecom forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 6, 2026.
10 issuers in our coverage, ACM included, share the SEC industry code Services-Engineering Services. The largest are: Tetra Tech Inc (TTEK), Stantec Inc (STN), Vse Corp (VSEC), Willdan Group, Inc. (WLDN), Mistras Group, Inc. (MG), Hyorc Corp (HYOR).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
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