Aegon Ltd. (AEG) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Aegon Ltd. (AEG) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Aegon Ltd. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Aegon Ltd. is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $13.82B. It ranks number 7 by market capitalization among the 19 Life Insurance issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For AEG, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 37.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 24.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, AEG included.
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How AEG ranks among 5184 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Aegon Ltd. (AEG) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Life Insurance peers listed below that report each metric. Statement values were filed in EUR and are shown converted to USD (flows at the trailing twelve-month average rate, balances at the balance-sheet date rate).
Valuation & Market
| Metric | AEG | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $13.82B | 7/19 |
| EPS | $-0.02 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $58.02 | – |
| FCF/Share | $3.07 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | AEG | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Margin | -38.4% | – |
| EBT Margin | 0.8% | 17/18 |
| Tax Rate | -83.3% | – |
The effective tax rate is outside the normal band, which points to a large non-recurring tax item in the trailing twelve months; headline net income, net margin and P/E are affected by it.
Financial Health
| Metric | AEG | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| D/E Ratio | 32.70x | 6/19 |
| Financial Leverage | 33.71x | 6/18 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | AEG | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $5.32B | 7/18 |
| Free Cash Flow | $5.11B | – |
| Capital Spending | -$211M | – |
| OCF Growth YoY | 10.8% | 5/16 |
| FCF Growth YoY | 0.0% | – |
| FCF/Sales | 5.3% | – |
| CapEx/Sales | 0.2% | – |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | AEG | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.27x | 2/17 |
Income Statement
| Metric | AEG | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $96.41B | 2/18 |
| Operating Income | -$37.01B | – |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | AEG | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 1661M | – |
| EPS Growth | -101.2% | 14/14 |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions, converted from EUR)
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $3.21B | |
| Total Liabilities | $361.49B |
AEG quarterly financials and insider trading
Aegon Ltd. (AEG) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Aegon Ltd. (Life Insurance): 19 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| AEG Aegon Ltd. | ▼ | $13.82B |
| MFC Manulife Financial Corp | ▼ | $75.51B |
| MET Metlife Inc | ▼ | $64.03B |
| SLF Sun Life Financial Inc | ▼ | $44.67B |
| PUK Prudential Plc | ▼ | $30.75B |
| RGA Reinsurance Group Of America Inc | ▼ | $17.42B |
| CRBG Corebridge Financial, Inc. | ▶ | $15.35B |
| GL Globe Life Inc. | ▼ | $12.97B |
| JXN Jackson Financial Inc. | ▶ | $8.84B |
| PRI Primerica, Inc. | ▶ | $8.70B |
| VOYA Voya Financial, Inc. | ▶ | $8.52B |
| LNC Lincoln National Corp | ▶ | $7.63B |
| PFH Prudential Financial Inc | ▶ | $5.13B |
| ATHS Athene Holding Ltd. | ▶ | $4.73B |
| BHF Brighthouse Financial, Inc. | ▼ | $2.75B |
| FG F&G Annuities & Life, Inc. | ▶ | $2.56B |
| UTGN Utg Inc | ▼ | $182M |
| CIA Citizens, Inc. | ▲ | $174M |
| AAME Atlantic American Corp | ▶ | $21M |
Where AEG sits on the market map
Aegon Ltd. (AEG) stock news
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Aegon Ltd. (AEG) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Aegon Ltd. (AEG) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Aegon Ltd. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Aegon Ltd. stock predictions?
For AEG, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 37.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 24.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Aegon Ltd. forecasts updated?
Aegon Ltd. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Aegon Ltd.'s industry peers?
19 issuers in our coverage, AEG included, share the SEC industry code Life Insurance. The largest are: Manulife Financial Corp (MFC), Metlife Inc (MET), Sun Life Financial Inc (SLF), Prudential Plc (PUK), Reinsurance Group Of America Inc (RGA), Corebridge Financial, Inc. (CRBG).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.