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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Lincoln National Corp (LNC) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D Neutral Alpha
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Middle 30% of 5171 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D -22.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $7.63B mid-cap · #12 of 19 peers
Summary

Lincoln National Corp (LNC) stock forecast summary

On Oct. 16, 2026, LNC is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5171 stocks scored that day.

Lincoln National Corp is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $7.63B. It ranks number 12 by market capitalization among the 19 Life Insurance issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For LNC, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -22.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -11.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

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Price

LNC price chart and AI forecast

LNC
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How LNC ranks among 5171 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Lincoln National Corp (LNC) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Life Insurance peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricLNCIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $7.63B $8.70B 12/19
P/E Ratio 3.30x 7.04x 16/17
P/B Ratio 0.67x 0.89x 10/15
Dividend Yield 4.51% 2.87% 3/10
EPS $12.06 – –
Book Value/Share $59.28 – –
Revenue/Share $100.94 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricLNCIndustry medianRank
ROE 20.8% 13.2% 4/15
ROA 0.6% 0.5% 7/14
Net Margin 12.2% 8.9% 6/15
EBT Margin 14.7% 10.4% 7/18
Tax Rate 16.8% – –

Financial Health

MetricLNCIndustry medianRank
D/E Ratio 36.87x 21.46x 3/19
Financial Leverage 37.87x 23.64x 3/18

Cash Flow

MetricLNCIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow -$1.33B $2.42B 18/18
OCF Growth YoY -241.9% 3.1% 15/16

Operational Efficiency

MetricLNCIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.04x 0.08x 13/17

Income Statement

MetricLNCIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $19.32B $19.68B 10/18
Net Income $2.36B $907M 5/15

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricLNCIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $1.80 – –
Payout Ratio 14.9% 36.3% 8/9
Shares Outstanding 191M – –
Net Income Growth 107.9% 14.1% 2/13
EPS Growth 109.4% 15.3% 2/14

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Cash & Short-term Investments$10.16B2.4% of assets
Total Liabilities$418.45B97.4% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

LNC quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Life Insurance

Lincoln National Corp (LNC) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Lincoln National Corp (Life Insurance): 19 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
LNC Lincoln National Corp ▶ $7.63B 3.3x 0.7x
MFC Manulife Financial Corp ▼ $75.51B 5.1x –
MET Metlife Inc ▼ $64.03B 19.3x 2.3x
SLF Sun Life Financial Inc ▼ $44.67B 5.1x –
PUK Prudential Plc ▼ $30.75B 7.2x –
RGA Reinsurance Group Of America Inc ▼ $17.42B 11.8x 1.3x
CRBG Corebridge Financial, Inc. ▶ $15.35B 20.6x 1.4x
AEG Aegon Ltd. ▼ $13.82B – –
GL Globe Life Inc. ▼ $12.97B 11.2x 2.1x
JXN Jackson Financial Inc. ▶ $8.84B 384.1x 0.9x
PRI Primerica, Inc. ▶ $8.70B 11.4x 3.5x
VOYA Voya Financial, Inc. ▶ $8.52B 15.9x 1.8x
PFH Prudential Financial Inc ▶ $5.17B 1.4x 0.2x
ATHS Athene Holding Ltd. ▼ $4.84B 5.8x 0.3x
BHF Brighthouse Financial, Inc. ▼ $2.75B 3.8x 0.4x
FG F&G Annuities & Life, Inc. ▶ $2.56B 7.0x 0.6x
UTGN Utg Inc ▼ $182M 5.1x 0.7x
CIA Citizens, Inc. ▲ $176M 4.0x 1.0x
AAME Atlantic American Corp ▲ $21M – 0.2x

Where LNC sits on the market map

Finance · Life Insurance
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News

Lincoln National Corp (LNC) stock news

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FAQ

Lincoln National Corp (LNC) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Lincoln National Corp (LNC) stock forecast?

On Oct. 16, 2026, LNC is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5171 stocks scored that day.

How accurate are Lincoln National Corp stock predictions?

For LNC, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -22.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -11.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Lincoln National Corp forecasts updated?

Lincoln National Corp forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Lincoln National Corp's industry peers?

19 issuers in our coverage, LNC included, share the SEC industry code Life Insurance. The largest are: Manulife Financial Corp (MFC), Metlife Inc (MET), Sun Life Financial Inc (SLF), Prudential Plc (PUK), Reinsurance Group Of America Inc (RGA), Corebridge Financial, Inc. (CRBG).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.