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Model output · Signal date 2026-11-06

Aercap Holdings N.V. (AER) Stock Forecast Nov. 6, 2026

Analysis updated on Nov. 6, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D Unlock rating and forecasts
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage of 5150 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 27.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $28.31B large-cap · #3 of 9 peers
Summary

Aercap Holdings N.V. (AER) stock forecast summary

Our AI scores Aercap Holdings N.V. every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

Aercap Holdings N.V. is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $28.31B. It ranks number 3 by market capitalization among the 9 Services-Equipment Rental & Leasing, NEC issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its P/B Ratio of 1.54x is the lowest of the 8 peers that report one.

For AER, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 27.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 10.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +3.1%, buy ≥ +1.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-11-06 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, AER included.

Price

AER price chart and AI forecast

AER
Cross-section · 2026-11-06

How AER ranks among 5150 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2025-12-31

Aercap Holdings N.V. (AER) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Services-Equipment Rental & Leasing, NEC peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricAERIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $28.31B $3.05B 3/9
P/E Ratio 5.29x 12.90x 6/6
P/B Ratio 1.54x 2.54x 8/8
EPS $32.09 – –
Book Value/Share $109.80 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricAERIndustry medianRank
ROE 31.9% 14.8% 1/5
ROA 8.2% – –
Net Margin 35.4% 16.2% 1/5
EBT Margin 40.7% 7.8% 1/7
Tax Rate 13.1% – –

Financial Health

MetricAERIndustry medianRank
D/E Ratio 2.91x 2.65x 4/8
Financial Leverage 3.91x 3.65x 3/6

Cash Flow

MetricAERIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $10.83B $331M 1/7
OCF Growth YoY 3.8% 15.4% 5/6

Income Statement

MetricAERIndustry medianRank
Net Income $5.85B $159M 1/5
SG&A Expense $1.03B $477M 2/5

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricAERIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 167M – –
Net Income Growth 142.7% 10.6% 1/5
EPS Growth 198.2% 14.8% 1/5

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Cash & Short-term Investments$1.38B1.9% of assets
Accounts Receivable$48M0.1% of assets
Inventory$112M0.2% of assets
Total Liabilities$53.35B74.4% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

AER quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Services-Equipment Rental & Leasing, NEC

Aercap Holdings N.V. (AER) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Aercap Holdings N.V. (Services-Equipment Rental & Leasing, NEC): 9 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
AER Aercap Holdings N.V. $28.31B 5.3x 1.5x
URI United Rentals, Inc. $65.36B 23.8x 6.7x
SUNB Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc. $31.57B – 4.2x
EQPT Equipmentshare.Com Inc $3.72B – 7.0x
MGRC Mcgrath Rentcorp $3.05B 19.3x 2.4x
CTOS Custom Truck One Source, Inc. $2.12B – 2.6x
PRG Prog Holdings, Inc. $1.47B 10.4x 2.5x
UPBD Upbound Group, Inc. $1.45B 15.5x 1.9x
KPLT Katapult Holdings, Inc. $939M 8.3x –

Where AER sits on the market map

Trade & Services · Services-Equipment Rental & Leasing, NEC
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News

Aercap Holdings N.V. (AER) stock news

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FAQ

Aercap Holdings N.V. (AER) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Aercap Holdings N.V. (AER) stock forecast?

Our AI scores Aercap Holdings N.V. every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

How accurate are Aercap Holdings N.V. stock predictions?

For AER, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 27.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 10.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Aercap Holdings N.V. forecasts updated?

Aercap Holdings N.V. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 6, 2026.

Which companies are Aercap Holdings N.V.'s industry peers?

9 issuers in our coverage, AER included, share the SEC industry code Services-Equipment Rental & Leasing, NEC. The largest are: United Rentals, Inc. (URI), Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc. (SUNB), Equipmentshare.Com Inc (EQPT), Mcgrath Rentcorp (MGRC), Custom Truck One Source, Inc. (CTOS), Prog Holdings, Inc. (PRG).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.