Aercap Holdings N.V. (AER) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Aercap Holdings N.V. (AER) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Aercap Holdings N.V. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Aercap Holdings N.V. is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $24.31B. It ranks number 3 by market capitalization among the 9 Services-Equipment Rental & Leasing, NEC issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For AER, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 31.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 26.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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How AER ranks among 5172 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Aercap Holdings N.V. (AER) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Services-Equipment Rental & Leasing, NEC peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | AER | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $24.31B | 3/9 |
| P/E Ratio | 4.54x | 7/7 |
| P/B Ratio | 1.33x | 7/8 |
| EPS | $32.09 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $109.80 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | AER | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 31.9% | 1/5 |
| ROA | 8.2% | – |
| Net Margin | 35.4% | 1/5 |
| EBT Margin | 40.7% | 1/7 |
| Tax Rate | 13.1% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | AER | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| D/E Ratio | 2.91x | 4/8 |
| Financial Leverage | 3.91x | 3/6 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | AER | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $10.83B | 1/7 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 3.8% | 4/6 |
Income Statement
| Metric | AER | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Net Income | $5.85B | 1/5 |
| SG&A Expense | $1.03B | 2/5 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | AER | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 167M | – |
| Net Income Growth | 142.7% | 1/5 |
| EPS Growth | 198.2% | 1/5 |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $1.38B | 1.9% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $48M | 0.1% of assets |
| Inventory | $112M | 0.2% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $53.35B | 74.5% of assets |
AER quarterly financials and insider trading
Aercap Holdings N.V. (AER) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Aercap Holdings N.V. (Services-Equipment Rental & Leasing, NEC): 9 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| AER Aercap Holdings N.V. | ▼ | $24.31B |
| URI United Rentals, Inc. | ▼ | $65.52B |
| SUNB Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc. | ▲ | $31.15B |
| EQPT Equipmentshare.Com Inc | ▲ | $3.44B |
| MGRC Mcgrath Rentcorp | ▼ | $2.76B |
| CTOS Custom Truck One Source, Inc. | ▶ | $2.07B |
| PRG Prog Holdings, Inc. | ▶ | $1.23B |
| UPBD Upbound Group, Inc. | ▶ | $954M |
| KPLT Katapult Holdings, Inc. | ▲ | $562M |
Where AER sits on the market map
Aercap Holdings N.V. (AER) stock news
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Aercap Holdings N.V. (AER) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Aercap Holdings N.V. (AER) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Aercap Holdings N.V. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Aercap Holdings N.V. stock predictions?
For AER, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 31.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 26.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Aercap Holdings N.V. forecasts updated?
Aercap Holdings N.V. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Aercap Holdings N.V.'s industry peers?
9 issuers in our coverage, AER included, share the SEC industry code Services-Equipment Rental & Leasing, NEC. The largest are: United Rentals, Inc. (URI), Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc. (SUNB), Equipmentshare.Com Inc (EQPT), Mcgrath Rentcorp (MGRC), Custom Truck One Source, Inc. (CTOS), Prog Holdings, Inc. (PRG).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.