Alico, Inc. (ALCO) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq
Alico, Inc. (ALCO) stock forecast summary
On Oct. 16, 2026, ALCO is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.
Alico, Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $275M. It ranks number 2 by market capitalization among the 5 Lessors of Real Property, NEC issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For ALCO, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 56.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 40.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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How ALCO ranks among 5172 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Alico, Inc. (ALCO) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Lessors of Real Property, NEC peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | ALCO | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $275M | 2/5 |
| P/E Ratio | 56.23x | – |
| P/B Ratio | 2.63x | – |
| Dividend Yield | 0.55% | – |
| EPS | $0.66 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $14.13 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $1.33 | – |
| FCF/Share | $-0.48 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | ALCO | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROIC | -12.3% | – |
| Gross Margin | -125.0% | – |
| Operating Margin | -239.4% | – |
| EBT Margin | -12.9% | – |
| Tax Rate | 159.3% | – |
The effective tax rate is outside the normal band, which points to a large non-recurring tax item in the trailing twelve months; headline net income, net margin and P/E are affected by it.
Financial Health
| Metric | ALCO | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 7.96x | – |
| Quick Ratio | 7.93x | – |
| D/E Ratio | 0.90x | – |
| Financial Leverage | 1.90x | – |
| Interest Coverage | 2.0x | – |
| Working Capital | $51M | – |
Cash Flow
| Metric | ALCO | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | -$380K | – |
| Free Cash Flow | -$4M | – |
| Capital Spending | -$3M | – |
| OCF Growth YoY | -103.5% | – |
| FCF Growth YoY | -170.0% | – |
| FCF/Sales | -36.1% | – |
| CapEx/Sales | 32.2% | – |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | ALCO | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.05x | – |
| Receivables Turnover | 16.6x | – |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 0.1x | – |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 22 days | – |
Income Statement
| Metric | ALCO | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $10M | – |
| Operating Income | -$24M | – |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | ALCO | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $0.20 | – |
| Payout Ratio | 30.3% | – |
| Shares Outstanding | 7M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $58M | 29.1% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $56M | 28.0% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $590K | 0.3% of assets |
| Inventory | $190K | 0.1% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $94M | 47.2% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $6M | 3.2% of assets |
ALCO quarterly financials and insider trading
Alico, Inc. (ALCO) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Alico, Inc. (Lessors of Real Property, NEC): 5 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
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Alico, Inc. (ALCO) stock news
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Alico, Inc. (ALCO) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Alico, Inc. (ALCO) stock forecast?
On Oct. 16, 2026, ALCO is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.
How accurate are Alico, Inc. stock predictions?
For ALCO, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 56.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 40.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Alico, Inc. forecasts updated?
Alico, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Alico, Inc.'s industry peers?
5 issuers in our coverage, ALCO included, share the SEC industry code Lessors of Real Property, NEC. The largest are: Gladstone Commercial Corp (GOOD), Capital Properties Inc /Ri/ (CPTP), Star Holdings (STHO), Regional Health Properties, Inc (RHEP).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.