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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Align Technology Inc (ALGN) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D Neutral Alpha
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Middle 30% of 5172 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 25.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $10.46B large-cap · #5 of 27 peers
Summary

Align Technology Inc (ALGN) stock forecast summary

On Oct. 16, 2026, ALGN is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.

Align Technology Inc is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $10.46B. It ranks number 5 by market capitalization among the 27 Orthopedic, Prosthetic & Surgical Appliances & Supplies issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For ALGN, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 25.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 3.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

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Price

ALGN price chart and AI forecast

ALGN
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How ALGN ranks among 5172 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Align Technology Inc (ALGN) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Orthopedic, Prosthetic & Surgical Appliances & Supplies peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricALGNIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $10.46B $76M 5/27
P/E Ratio 25.66x 22.24x 4/9
P/B Ratio 2.47x 2.28x 10/22
EPS $5.74 – –
Book Value/Share $59.58 – –
Revenue/Share $58.27 – –
FCF/Share $8.92 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricALGNIndustry medianRank
ROE 9.8% -25.0% 5/19
ROA 6.4% -12.9% 4/19
ROIC 12.1% -5.7% 6/22
Gross Margin 68.0% 50.2% 7/20
Operating Margin 13.2% -8.7% 5/21
Net Margin 10.0% -14.0% 4/17
EBT Margin 13.7% -19.3% 4/21
Tax Rate 27.3% – –

Financial Health

MetricALGNIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 1.40x 2.57x 23/25
Quick Ratio 1.28x 1.89x 17/22
D/E Ratio 0.52x 0.71x 16/24
Financial Leverage 1.52x 1.71x 16/24
Interest Coverage 518.2x -3.4x 2/21
Working Capital $754M $51M 5/25

Cash Flow

MetricALGNIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $756M -$690K 5/25
Free Cash Flow $634M $2M 3/16
Capital Spending -$122M -$2M 13/16
OCF Growth YoY 3.4% 23.0% 9/10
FCF Growth YoY 0.3% 61.6% 7/7
FCF/Sales 15.3% 1.2% 4/16
CapEx/Sales 3.0% 1.3% 5/16

Operational Efficiency

MetricALGNIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.65x 0.72x 11/18
Receivables Turnover 3.6x 5.6x 14/17
Inventory Turnover 6.2x 2.1x 3/22
Fixed Assets Turnover 3.7x 5.5x 13/19
Days Sales Outstanding 101 days 65 days 4/17
Days Inventory 59 days 171 days 20/22
Payables Period 30 days 55 days 17/19
Cash Conversion Cycle 130 days 140 days 10/15

Income Statement

MetricALGNIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $4.14B $110M 3/19
Operating Income $548M -$6M 5/25
Net Income $414M -$7M 4/19
R&D Expense $377M $20M 4/22
SG&A Expense $1.79B $126M 4/22
Cost of Goods Sold $1.32B $55M 5/22

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricALGNIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 71M – –
Net Income Growth -5.5% 13.4% 7/7
EPS Growth -3.4% 18.1% 7/8

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$2.66B41.5% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$1.10B17.2% of assets
Accounts Receivable$1.15B17.9% of assets
Inventory$212M3.3% of assets
Total Liabilities$2.19B34.0% of assets
Short-term Debt$1.80B28.0% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

ALGN quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Orthopedic, Prosthetic & Surgical Appliances & Supplies

Align Technology Inc (ALGN) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Align Technology Inc (Orthopedic, Prosthetic & Surgical Appliances & Supplies): 27 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
ALGN Align Technology Inc ▶ $10.46B 25.7x 2.5x
ISRG Intuitive Surgical Inc ▼ $150.74B 49.0x 8.3x
STE Steris Plc ▼ $21.71B 28.8x 3.0x
ZBH Zimmer Biomet Holdings, Inc. ▼ $18.12B 18.9x 1.4x
SNN Smith & Nephew Plc ▼ $12.75B 16.7x –
MSA Msa Safety Inc ▼ $6.91B 22.2x 4.9x
ESTA Establishment Labs Holdings Inc. ▲ $1.76B – 81.6x
ENOV Enovis Corp ▶ $1.13B – 0.8x
CDRE Cadre Holdings, Inc. ▼ $1.13B 26.9x 3.3x
AVR Anteris Technologies Global Corp. ▶ $590M – 2.4x
SMTI Sanara Medtech Inc. ▼ $305M – 38.4x
INGN Inogen Inc ▲ $166M – 1.0x
LAKE Lakeland Industries Inc ▲ $90M – 0.7x
NTRB Nutriband Inc. ▲ $76M – 14.2x
APT Alpha Pro Tech Ltd ▲ $57M 14.2x 0.9x
COCH Envoy Medical, Inc. ▼ $52M – –
MYO Myomo, Inc. ▲ $48M – 8.2x
MLSS Milestone Scientific Inc. ▲ $29M – 8.4x
LFWD Lifeward Ltd. ▲ $17M – 1.4x
UEEC United Health Products, Inc. ▲ $14M 5.2x –
CUPR Cuprina Holdings (Cayman) Ltd ▶ $13M – –
RGNT Regentis Biomaterials Ltd. ▶ $10M – 2.2x
CLGN Collplant Biotechnologies Ltd ▶ $7M – 1.1x
LGMK Logicmark, Inc. ▲ $1M – 0.1x
BBLG Bone Biologics Corp ▲ $1M – 0.3x
RBOT Vicarious Surgical Inc. ▼ $550K – 0.1x
FEED Envue Medical, Inc. ▼ $340K – –

Where ALGN sits on the market map

Industrial Applications and Services · Orthopedic, Prosthetic & Surgical Appliances & Supplies
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News

Align Technology Inc (ALGN) stock news

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FAQ

Align Technology Inc (ALGN) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Align Technology Inc (ALGN) stock forecast?

On Oct. 16, 2026, ALGN is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.

How accurate are Align Technology Inc stock predictions?

For ALGN, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 25.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 3.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Align Technology Inc forecasts updated?

Align Technology Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Align Technology Inc's industry peers?

27 issuers in our coverage, ALGN included, share the SEC industry code Orthopedic, Prosthetic & Surgical Appliances & Supplies. The largest are: Intuitive Surgical Inc (ISRG), Steris Plc (STE), Zimmer Biomet Holdings, Inc. (ZBH), Smith & Nephew Plc (SNN), Msa Safety Inc (MSA), Establishment Labs Holdings Inc. (ESTA).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.