Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. (ARI) Stock Forecast Nov. 9, 2026
Analysis updated on Nov. 9, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · NYSE
Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. (ARI) stock forecast summary
Our AI scores Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.
Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $297M. It ranks number 60 by market capitalization among the 60 Real Estate Investment Trusts issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its P/B Ratio of 0.24x is the lowest of the 57 peers that report one. Its P/E Ratio of 2.90x is the lowest of the 54 peers that report one.
For ARI, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -15.0%, measured on 358 forecast dates between 2022-08-22 and 2026-08-11 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -7.0%, measured on 401 forecast dates between 2022-08-22 and 2026-10-09. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +6.4%, buy ≥ +4.3%, sell < +2.2%, strong sell < +0.6% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-11-09 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, ARI included.
ARI price chart and AI forecast
How ARI ranks among 4012 stocks
90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. (ARI) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Real Estate Investment Trusts peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | ARI | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $297M | 60/60 |
| P/E Ratio | 2.90x | 54/54 |
| P/B Ratio | 0.24x | 57/57 |
| EPS | $0.80 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $9.79 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $1.86 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | ARI | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 10.5% | 17/50 |
| ROA | 6.2% | 10/51 |
| Net Margin | 55.5% | 5/49 |
| EBT Margin | 55.6% | 7/45 |
| Tax Rate | 0.3% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | ARI | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| D/E Ratio | 0.70x | 48/57 |
| Financial Leverage | 1.70x | 47/56 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | ARI | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $86M | 59/60 |
| OCF Growth YoY | -56.7% | 58/59 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | ARI | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.11x | 43/55 |
Income Statement
| Metric | ARI | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $238M | 56/56 |
| Net Income | $132M | 45/51 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | ARI | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 128M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $1.24B | 58.4% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $881M | 41.6% of assets |
ARI quarterly financials and insider trading
Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. (ARI) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. (Real Estate Investment Trusts): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| ARI Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. | $297M | |
| WELL Welltower Inc. | $179.74B | |
| PLD Prologis, Inc. | $117.93B | |
| EQIX Equinix Inc | $100.25B | |
| AMT American Tower Corp /Ma/ | $87.55B | |
| SPG Simon Property Group Inc. | $73.91B | |
| PSA Public Storage | $63.05B | |
| DLR Digital Realty Trust, Inc. | $59.83B | |
| O Realty Income Corp | $55.86B | |
| VMRK Vivmark Residential | $50.66B | |
| VTR Ventas, Inc. | $46.93B | |
| CCI Crown Castle Inc. | $37.70B | |
| EXR Extra Space Storage Inc. | $34.64B | |
| IRM Iron Mountain Inc | $31.71B | |
| VICI Vici Properties Inc. | $27.30B | |
| SBAC Sba Communications Corp | $20.10B | |
| ESS Essex Property Trust, Inc. | $17.49B | |
| KIM Kimco Realty Corp | $17.12B | |
| HST Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc. | $17.10B | |
| LAMR Lamar Advertising Co/New | $15.80B | |
| WY Weyerhaeuser Co | $15.11B | |
| WPC W. P. Carey Inc. | $14.97B | |
| NLY Annaly Capital Management Inc | $14.77B | |
| OHI Omega Healthcare Investors Inc | $14.60B | |
| SUI Sun Communities Inc | $14.36B | |
| MAA Mid America Apartment Communities Inc. | $13.92B | |
| REG Regency Centers Corp | $13.69B | |
| AHR American Healthcare Reit, Inc. | $13.40B | |
| ELS Equity Lifestyle Properties Inc | $12.67B | |
| UDR Udr, Inc. | $12.09B | |
| AMH American Homes 4 Rent | $11.81B | |
| GLPI Gaming & Leisure Properties, Inc. | $11.63B | |
| EGP Eastgroup Properties Inc | $10.42B | |
| BXP Bxp, Inc. | $10.38B | |
| CUBE Cubesmart | $10.27B | |
| FRT Federal Realty Investment Trust | $9.72B | |
| BRX Brixmor Property Group Inc. | $9.21B | |
| ADC Agree Realty Corp | $9.09B | |
| CTRE Caretrust Reit, Inc. | $9.03B | |
| LINE Lineage, Inc. | $8.91B | |
| RHP Ryman Hospitality Properties, Inc. | $8.33B | |
| REXR Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc. | $8.02B | |
| NNN Nnn Reit, Inc. | $7.89B | |
| ARE Alexandria Real Estate Equities, Inc. | $7.80B | |
| STAG Stag Industrial, Inc. | $7.20B | |
| FR First Industrial Realty Trust Inc | $7.13B | |
| MAC Macerich Co | $7.04B | |
| VNO Vornado Realty Trust | $6.69B | |
| HR Healthcare Realty Trust Inc | $6.58B | |
| RYN Rayonier Inc | $6.36B | |
| EPRT Essential Properties Realty Trust, Inc. | $6.16B | |
| OUT Outfront Media Inc. | $5.42B | |
| SBRA Sabra Health Care Reit, Inc. | $5.37B | |
| PECO Phillips Edison & Company, Inc. | $5.25B | |
| KRG Kite Realty Group Trust | $5.17B | |
| RITM Rithm Capital Corp. | $5.15B | |
| CUZ Cousins Properties Inc | $4.87B | |
| HHH Howard Hughes Holdings Inc. | $4.64B | |
| COLD Americold Realty Trust | $4.57B | |
| EPR Epr Properties | $4.56B |
Where ARI sits on the market map
Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. (ARI) stock news
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Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. (ARI) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. (ARI) stock forecast?
Our AI scores Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.
How accurate are Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. stock predictions?
For ARI, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -15.0%, measured on 358 forecast dates between 2022-08-22 and 2026-08-11 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -7.0%, measured on 401 forecast dates between 2022-08-22 and 2026-10-09. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. forecasts updated?
Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 9, 2026.
Which companies are Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc.'s industry peers?
60 issuers in our coverage, ARI included, share the SEC industry code Real Estate Investment Trusts. The largest are: Welltower Inc. (WELL), Prologis, Inc. (PLD), Equinix Inc (EQIX), American Tower Corp /Ma/ (AMT), Simon Property Group Inc. (SPG), Public Storage (PSA).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.