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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

American Realty Investors Inc (ARL) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▲ Bullish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Top 35% of 5184 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 6.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $267M small-cap
Summary

American Realty Investors Inc (ARL) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks American Realty Investors Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

American Realty Investors Inc is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $267M.

For ARL, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 6.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 3.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, ARL included.

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Price

ARL price chart and AI forecast

ARL
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How ARL ranks among 5184 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

American Realty Investors Inc (ARL) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Real Estate Operators (No Developers) & Lessors peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricARLIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $267M – –
P/E Ratio 22.69x – –
P/B Ratio 0.43x – –
EPS $0.73 – –
Book Value/Share $38.30 – –
Revenue/Share $3.16 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricARLIndustry medianRank
ROE 1.4% – –
ROA 0.8% – –
Operating Margin -18.3% – –
Net Margin 16.4% – –
EBT Margin -18.3% – –
Tax Rate -25.2% – –

Financial Health

MetricARLIndustry medianRank
D/E Ratio 0.45x – –
Financial Leverage 1.76x – –
Interest Coverage -0.9x – –

Cash Flow

MetricARLIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $3M – –

Operational Efficiency

MetricARLIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.05x – –

Income Statement

MetricARLIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $51M – –
Operating Income -$9M – –
Net Income $8M – –

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricARLIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 16M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Cash & Short-term Investments$11M1.2% of assets
Total Liabilities$276M30.8% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

ARL quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Real Estate Operators (No Developers) & Lessors

American Realty Investors Inc (ARL) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as American Realty Investors Inc (Real Estate Operators (No Developers) & Lessors): 3 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
ARL American Realty Investors Inc ▲ $267M 22.7x 0.4x
INVH Invitation Homes Inc. ▼ $16.05B 24.6x 1.8x
BOC Boston Omaha Corp ▼ $378M – –

Where ARL sits on the market map

Real Estate & Construction · Real Estate Operators (No Developers) & Lessors
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News

American Realty Investors Inc (ARL) stock news

source: WTOP News

DALLAS (AP) — DALLAS (AP) — American Realty Investors Inc. (ARL) on Thursday reported fourth-quarter net income of $9.8 million, after reporting a loss in the same period a year earlier. The ...

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FAQ

American Realty Investors Inc (ARL) stock forecast FAQ

What is the American Realty Investors Inc (ARL) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks American Realty Investors Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are American Realty Investors Inc stock predictions?

For ARL, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 6.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 3.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are American Realty Investors Inc forecasts updated?

American Realty Investors Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are American Realty Investors Inc's industry peers?

3 issuers in our coverage, ARL included, share the SEC industry code Real Estate Operators (No Developers) & Lessors. The largest are: Invitation Homes Inc. (INVH), Boston Omaha Corp (BOC).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.