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Model output · Signal date 2026-11-06

Aspen Aerogels Inc (ASPN) Stock Forecast Nov. 6, 2026

Analysis updated on Nov. 6, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D Unlock rating and forecasts
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage of 5150 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 30.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $407M small-cap · #3 of 5 peers
Summary

Aspen Aerogels Inc (ASPN) stock forecast summary

Our AI scores Aspen Aerogels Inc every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

Aspen Aerogels Inc is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $407M. It ranks number 3 by market capitalization among the 5 Wholesale-Lumber & Other Construction Materials issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For ASPN, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 30.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 15.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +3.1%, buy ≥ +1.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-11-06 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, ASPN included.

Price

ASPN price chart and AI forecast

ASPN
Cross-section · 2026-11-06

How ASPN ranks among 5150 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-09-30

Aspen Aerogels Inc (ASPN) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Wholesale-Lumber & Other Construction Materials peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricASPNIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $407M $407M 3/5
P/B Ratio 2.21x – –
EPS $-1.00 – –
Book Value/Share $2.22 – –
Revenue/Share $2.58 – –
FCF/Share $0.24 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricASPNIndustry medianRank
ROIC -46.7% – –
Gross Margin 2.4% 8.0% 4/5
Operating Margin -59.3% -7.5% 4/5
EBT Margin -60.4% -12.1% 4/5
Tax Rate -0.7% – –

Financial Health

MetricASPNIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 2.10x – –
Quick Ratio 1.86x – –
D/E Ratio 1.14x 1.14x 3/5
Financial Leverage 2.14x 2.18x 4/5
Interest Coverage -3.5x -3.1x 4/5
Working Capital $135M – –

Cash Flow

MetricASPNIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $30M – –
Free Cash Flow $20M – –
Capital Spending -$10M – –
OCF Growth YoY -42.1% – –
FCF Growth YoY 642.9% – –
FCF/Sales 9.3% – –
CapEx/Sales 4.8% – –

Operational Efficiency

MetricASPNIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.54x – –
Receivables Turnover 3.4x – –
Inventory Turnover 7.1x – –
Fixed Assets Turnover 2.6x – –
Days Sales Outstanding 106 days – –
Days Inventory 51 days – –
Payables Period 65 days – –
Cash Conversion Cycle 92 days – –

Income Statement

MetricASPNIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $214M – –
Operating Income -$127M -$10M 4/5
R&D Expense $11M – –
SG&A Expense $98M – –
Cost of Goods Sold $209M $209M 3/5

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricASPNIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 83M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$257M65.1% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$146M37.0% of assets
Accounts Receivable$62M15.8% of assets
Inventory$29M7.4% of assets
Total Liabilities$210M53.2% of assets
Short-term Debt$85M21.5% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

ASPN quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Wholesale-Lumber & Other Construction Materials

Aspen Aerogels Inc (ASPN) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Aspen Aerogels Inc (Wholesale-Lumber & Other Construction Materials): 5 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
ASPN Aspen Aerogels Inc $407M – 2.2x
QXO Qxo, Inc. $11.99B – 1.2x
BCC Boise Cascade Co $2.45B 20.7x 1.2x
CAPS Capstone Holding Corp. $1M – 0.1x
OLOX Olenox Industries Inc. $1M – –

Where ASPN sits on the market map

Trade & Services · Wholesale-Lumber & Other Construction Materials
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News

Aspen Aerogels Inc (ASPN) stock news

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FAQ

Aspen Aerogels Inc (ASPN) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Aspen Aerogels Inc (ASPN) stock forecast?

Our AI scores Aspen Aerogels Inc every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

How accurate are Aspen Aerogels Inc stock predictions?

For ASPN, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 30.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 15.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Aspen Aerogels Inc forecasts updated?

Aspen Aerogels Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 6, 2026.

Which companies are Aspen Aerogels Inc's industry peers?

5 issuers in our coverage, ASPN included, share the SEC industry code Wholesale-Lumber & Other Construction Materials. The largest are: Qxo, Inc. (QXO), Boise Cascade Co (BCC), Capstone Holding Corp. (CAPS), Olenox Industries Inc. (OLOX).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.