American States Water Co (AWR) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
American States Water Co (AWR) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks American States Water Co outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
American States Water Co is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $3.31B. It ranks number 4 by market capitalization among the 12 Water Supply issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its ROE of 12.8% is the highest of the 11 peers that report one.
For AWR, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 0.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 22.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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How AWR ranks among 5172 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
American States Water Co (AWR) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Water Supply peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | AWR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $3.31B | 4/12 |
| P/E Ratio | 23.24x | 5/10 |
| P/B Ratio | 2.95x | 3/11 |
| Dividend Yield | 2.37% | 8/10 |
| EPS | $3.59 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $28.29 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $17.60 | – |
| FCF/Share | $0.52 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | AWR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 12.8% | 1/11 |
| ROA | 5.2% | 3/9 |
| ROIC | 8.7% | 1/9 |
| Gross Margin | 90.1% | – |
| Operating Margin | 31.9% | 4/10 |
| Net Margin | 20.5% | 4/10 |
| EBT Margin | 27.0% | 3/10 |
| Tax Rate | 23.9% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | AWR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.98x | 6/11 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.90x | 3/7 |
| D/E Ratio | 1.47x | 8/12 |
| Financial Leverage | 2.47x | 7/10 |
| Interest Coverage | 1.0x | 9/11 |
| Working Capital | -$5M | 6/11 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | AWR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $237M | 5/11 |
| Free Cash Flow | $21M | 2/6 |
| Capital Spending | -$216M | 5/6 |
| OCF Growth YoY | -0.5% | 9/10 |
| FCF/Sales | 3.0% | 2/6 |
| CapEx/Sales | 30.9% | 5/6 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | AWR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.25x | 2/9 |
| Receivables Turnover | 16.7x | 1/11 |
| Inventory Turnover | 3.7x | – |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 0.3x | 4/7 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 22 days | 11/11 |
| Days Inventory | 98 days | – |
| Payables Period | 421 days | – |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | -301 days | – |
Income Statement
| Metric | AWR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $697M | 5/11 |
| Operating Income | $222M | 3/11 |
| Net Income | $143M | 2/11 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $69M | – |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | AWR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $1.98 | – |
| Payout Ratio | 55.1% | 5/9 |
| Shares Outstanding | 40M | – |
| Net Income Growth | 14.7% | 2/9 |
| EPS Growth | 12.5% | 3/10 |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $226M | 8.2% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $22M | 0.8% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $42M | 1.5% of assets |
| Inventory | $19M | 0.7% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $1.65B | 59.6% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $152M | 5.5% of assets |
AWR quarterly financials and insider trading
American States Water Co (AWR) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as American States Water Co (Water Supply): 13 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
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Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| AWR American States Water Co | ▼ | $3.31B |
| AWK American Water Works Company, Inc. | ▼ | $26.82B |
| SBS Companhia De Saneamento Basico Do Estado De Sao Paulo-Sabesp | ▲ | $21.92B |
| WTRG Essential Utilities, Inc. | ▼ | $11.59B |
| CWT California Water Service Group | ▶ | $2.87B |
| HTO H2o America | ▼ | $2.41B |
| MSEX Middlesex Water Co | ▼ | $1.03B |
| CWCO Consolidated Water Co. Ltd. | ▶ | $452M |
| ARTNA Artesian Resources Corp | ▲ | $345M |
| CDZI Cadiz Inc | ▲ | $328M |
| PCYO Pure Cycle Corp | ▼ | $266M |
| GWRS Global Water Resources, Inc. | ▶ | $230M |
| EESH Eestech, Inc. | ▼ | N/A |
Where AWR sits on the market map
American States Water Co (AWR) stock news
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American States Water Co (AWR) stock forecast FAQ
What is the American States Water Co (AWR) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks American States Water Co outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are American States Water Co stock predictions?
For AWR, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 0.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 22.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are American States Water Co forecasts updated?
American States Water Co forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are American States Water Co's industry peers?
13 issuers in our coverage, AWR included, share the SEC industry code Water Supply. The largest are: American Water Works Company, Inc. (AWK), Companhia De Saneamento Basico Do Estado De Sao Paulo-Sabesp (SBS), Essential Utilities, Inc. (WTRG), California Water Service Group (CWT), H2o America (HTO), Middlesex Water Co (MSEX).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.