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Model output · Signal date 2026-11-06

American States Water Co (AWR) Stock Forecast Nov. 6, 2026

Analysis updated on Nov. 6, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D Unlock rating and forecasts
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage of 5150 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D -6.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $3.57B mid-cap · #4 of 12 peers
Summary

American States Water Co (AWR) stock forecast summary

Our AI scores American States Water Co every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

American States Water Co is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $3.57B. It ranks number 4 by market capitalization among the 12 Water Supply issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its ROE of 12.8% is the highest of the 12 peers that report one.

For AWR, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -6.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 13.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +3.1%, buy ≥ +1.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-11-06 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, AWR included.

Price

AWR price chart and AI forecast

AWR
Cross-section · 2026-11-06

How AWR ranks among 5150 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

American States Water Co (AWR) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Water Supply peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricAWRIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $3.57B $2.09B 4/12
P/E Ratio 25.06x 22.52x 4/10
P/B Ratio 3.18x 2.08x 2/11
Dividend Yield 2.20% 2.31% 8/10
EPS $3.59 – –
Book Value/Share $28.29 – –
Revenue/Share $17.60 – –
FCF/Share $0.52 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricAWRIndustry medianRank
ROE 12.8% 7.6% 1/12
ROA 5.2% 2.9% 3/10
ROIC 8.7% 4.8% 1/9
Gross Margin 90.1% – –
Operating Margin 31.9% 25.6% 4/10
Net Margin 20.5% 12.8% 5/11
EBT Margin 27.0% 23.3% 4/10
Tax Rate 23.9% – –

Financial Health

MetricAWRIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 0.98x 0.98x 6/11
Quick Ratio 0.90x 0.89x 3/7
D/E Ratio 1.47x 1.71x 8/12
Financial Leverage 2.47x 2.71x 7/10
Interest Coverage 1.0x 3.3x 9/11
Working Capital -$5M -$5M 6/11

Cash Flow

MetricAWRIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $237M $69M 5/11
Free Cash Flow $21M -$18M 2/6
Capital Spending -$216M -$48M 5/6
OCF Growth YoY -0.5% 9.3% 8/10
FCF/Sales 3.0% -18.7% 2/6
CapEx/Sales 30.9% 46.7% 5/6

Operational Efficiency

MetricAWRIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.25x 0.15x 2/9
Receivables Turnover 16.7x 11.2x 1/11
Inventory Turnover 3.7x – –
Fixed Assets Turnover 0.3x 0.3x 4/7
Days Sales Outstanding 22 days 32 days 11/11
Days Inventory 98 days – –
Payables Period 421 days – –
Cash Conversion Cycle -301 days – –

Income Statement

MetricAWRIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $697M $212M 5/11
Operating Income $222M $65M 3/11
Net Income $143M $34M 3/12
Cost of Goods Sold $69M – –

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricAWRIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $1.98 – –
Payout Ratio 55.1% 55.1% 5/9
Shares Outstanding 40M – –
Net Income Growth 14.7% 2.2% 2/10
EPS Growth 12.5% 4.3% 3/10

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$226M8.2% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$22M0.8% of assets
Accounts Receivable$42M1.5% of assets
Inventory$19M0.7% of assets
Total Liabilities$1.65B59.6% of assets
Short-term Debt$152M5.5% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

AWR quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Water Supply

American States Water Co (AWR) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as American States Water Co (Water Supply): 13 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
AWR American States Water Co $3.57B 25.1x 3.2x
AWK American Water Works Company, Inc. $29.92B 31.5x 2.5x
SBS Companhia De Saneamento Basico Do Estado De Sao Paulo-Sabesp $16.84B – –
WTRG Essential Utilities, Inc. $13.07B 23.3x 1.8x
CWT California Water Service Group $3.21B 16.5x 1.7x
HTO H2o America $3.04B 20.6x 1.4x
MSEX Middlesex Water Co $1.14B 21.8x 2.1x
CWCO Consolidated Water Co. Ltd. $436M 25.7x 1.9x
ARTNA Artesian Resources Corp $355M 15.4x 2.8x
CDZI Cadiz Inc $303M – 65.0x
PCYO Pure Cycle Corp $258M 18.8x 1.7x
GWRS Global Water Resources, Inc. $210M 91.0x 2.7x
EESH Eestech, Inc. N/A – –

Where AWR sits on the market map

Energy & Transportation · Water Supply
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News

American States Water Co (AWR) stock news

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FAQ

American States Water Co (AWR) stock forecast FAQ

What is the American States Water Co (AWR) stock forecast?

Our AI scores American States Water Co every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

How accurate are American States Water Co stock predictions?

For AWR, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -6.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 13.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are American States Water Co forecasts updated?

American States Water Co forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 6, 2026.

Which companies are American States Water Co's industry peers?

13 issuers in our coverage, AWR included, share the SEC industry code Water Supply. The largest are: American Water Works Company, Inc. (AWK), Companhia De Saneamento Basico Do Estado De Sao Paulo-Sabesp (SBS), Essential Utilities, Inc. (WTRG), California Water Service Group (CWT), H2o America (HTO), Middlesex Water Co (MSEX).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.