American States Water Co's Dividend Analysis
The above button links to Coinbase. Yahoo Finance is not a broker-dealer or investment adviser and does not offer securities or cryptocurrencies for sale or facilitate trading. Coinbase pays us for ...
Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16
American States Water Co (AWR) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Rating · 90D
▼ Bearish
Exact rating locked
90-day forecast
Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast
Alpha
Rank in coverage
Bottom 35%
of 5184 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D
0.0%
Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap
$3.31B
mid-cap · #4 of 12 peers
Summary
American States Water Co (AWR) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks American States Water Co outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
American States Water Co is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $3.31B. It ranks number 4 by market capitalization among the 12 Water Supply issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its ROE of 12.8% is the highest of the 11 peers that report one.
For AWR, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 0.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 22.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, AWR included.
Follow AWR freePrice
AWR price chart and AI forecast
Cross-section · 2026-10-16
How AWR ranks among 5184 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Fundamentals · 2026-06-30
American States Water Co (AWR) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Water Supply peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | AWR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $3.31B | 4/12 |
| P/E Ratio | 23.24x | 5/10 |
| P/B Ratio | 2.95x | 3/11 |
| Dividend Yield | 2.37% | 8/10 |
| EPS | $3.59 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $28.29 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $17.60 | – |
| FCF/Share | $0.52 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | AWR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 12.8% | 1/11 |
| ROA | 5.2% | 3/9 |
| ROIC | 8.7% | 1/9 |
| Gross Margin | 90.1% | – |
| Operating Margin | 31.9% | 4/10 |
| Net Margin | 20.5% | 4/10 |
| EBT Margin | 27.0% | 3/10 |
| Tax Rate | 23.9% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | AWR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.98x | 6/11 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.90x | 3/7 |
| D/E Ratio | 1.47x | 8/12 |
| Financial Leverage | 2.47x | 7/10 |
| Interest Coverage | 1.0x | 9/11 |
| Working Capital | -$5M | 6/11 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | AWR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $237M | 5/11 |
| Free Cash Flow | $21M | 2/6 |
| Capital Spending | -$216M | 5/6 |
| OCF Growth YoY | -0.5% | 9/10 |
| FCF/Sales | 3.0% | 2/6 |
| CapEx/Sales | 30.9% | 5/6 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | AWR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.25x | 2/9 |
| Receivables Turnover | 16.7x | 1/11 |
| Inventory Turnover | 3.7x | – |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 0.3x | 4/7 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 22 days | 11/11 |
| Days Inventory | 98 days | – |
| Payables Period | 421 days | – |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | -301 days | – |
Income Statement
| Metric | AWR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $697M | 5/11 |
| Operating Income | $222M | 3/11 |
| Net Income | $143M | 2/11 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $69M | – |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | AWR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $1.98 | – |
| Payout Ratio | 55.1% | 5/9 |
| Shares Outstanding | 40M | – |
| Net Income Growth | 14.7% | 2/9 |
| EPS Growth | 12.5% | 3/10 |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $226M | 8.2% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $22M | 0.8% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $42M | 1.5% of assets |
| Inventory | $19M | 0.7% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $1.65B | 59.6% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $152M | 5.5% of assets |
Quarterly Financial Reports
AWR quarterly financials and insider trading
Industry Peers · Water Supply
American States Water Co (AWR) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as American States Water Co (Water Supply): 13 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| AWR American States Water Co | ▼ | $3.31B |
| AWK American Water Works Company, Inc. | ▼ | $26.82B |
| SBS Companhia De Saneamento Basico Do Estado De Sao Paulo-Sabesp | ▲ | $21.92B |
| WTRG Essential Utilities, Inc. | ▼ | $11.59B |
| CWT California Water Service Group | ▶ | $2.87B |
| HTO H2o America | ▼ | $2.41B |
| MSEX Middlesex Water Co | ▼ | $1.03B |
| CWCO Consolidated Water Co. Ltd. | ▶ | $452M |
| ARTNA Artesian Resources Corp | ▲ | $345M |
| CDZI Cadiz Inc | ▲ | $328M |
| PCYO Pure Cycle Corp | ▼ | $266M |
| GWRS Global Water Resources, Inc. | ▶ | $230M |
| EESH Eestech, Inc. | ▼ | N/A |
Where AWR sits on the market map
Energy & Transportation · Water Supply
News
American States Water Co (AWR) stock news
AMERICAN STATES WATER CO. R (FDK.F) Q1 FY2026 earnings call transcript
American States Water reported Q1 2026 EPS of $0.76, up 8.6% year-over-year, with all segments showing growth. Management reaffirmed strong infrastructure investment plans ($185M-$225M for 2026), ...
American States Water: Q1 Earnings Snapshot
SAN DIMAS, Calif. (AP) — SAN DIMAS, Calif. (AP) — American States Water Co. (AWR) on Wednesday reported first-quarter earnings of $29.9 million. The San Dimas, California-based company said it had ...
FAQ
American States Water Co (AWR) stock forecast FAQ
What is the American States Water Co (AWR) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks American States Water Co outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are American States Water Co stock predictions?
For AWR, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 0.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 22.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are American States Water Co forecasts updated?
American States Water Co forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are American States Water Co's industry peers?
13 issuers in our coverage, AWR included, share the SEC industry code Water Supply. The largest are: American Water Works Company, Inc. (AWK), Companhia De Saneamento Basico Do Estado De Sao Paulo-Sabesp (SBS), Essential Utilities, Inc. (WTRG), California Water Service Group (CWT), H2o America (HTO), Middlesex Water Co (MSEX).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.