Amrep Corp. (AXR) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Amrep Corp. (AXR) stock forecast summary
On Oct. 16, 2026, AXR is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5171 stocks scored that day.
Amrep Corp. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $108M. It ranks number 3 by market capitalization among the 6 Land Subdividers & Developers (No Cemeteries) issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For AXR, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -21.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -5.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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How AXR ranks among 5171 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Amrep Corp. (AXR) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Land Subdividers & Developers (No Cemeteries) peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | AXR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $108M | 3/6 |
| P/E Ratio | 18.58x | – |
| P/B Ratio | 1.21x | 2/5 |
| EPS | $1.09 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $16.69 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $7.71 | – |
| FCF/Share | $-0.07 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | AXR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Margin | 8.1% | 5/7 |
| EBT Margin | 10.4% | 4/7 |
| Tax Rate | 24.8% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | AXR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| D/E Ratio | 0.10x | 4/5 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | AXR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | -$280K | 4/7 |
| Free Cash Flow | -$370K | – |
| Capital Spending | -$90K | – |
| OCF Growth YoY | -103.1% | – |
| FCF Growth YoY | -104.3% | – |
| FCF/Sales | -0.9% | – |
| CapEx/Sales | 0.2% | – |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | AXR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 19.4x | – |
Income Statement
| Metric | AXR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $41M | 3/5 |
| Operating Income | $6M | 4/7 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | AXR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 5M | – |
| EPS Growth | -56.0% | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $49M | 49.9% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $8M | 8.7% of assets |
AXR quarterly financials and insider trading
Amrep Corp. (AXR) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Amrep Corp. (Land Subdividers & Developers (No Cemeteries)): 7 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
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Amrep Corp. (AXR) stock news
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Amrep Corp. (AXR) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Amrep Corp. (AXR) stock forecast?
On Oct. 16, 2026, AXR is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5171 stocks scored that day.
How accurate are Amrep Corp. stock predictions?
For AXR, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -21.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -5.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Amrep Corp. forecasts updated?
Amrep Corp. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Amrep Corp.'s industry peers?
7 issuers in our coverage, AXR included, share the SEC industry code Land Subdividers & Developers (No Cemeteries). The largest are: St Joe Co (JOE), Stratus Properties Inc (STRS), Kaanapali Land Llc (KANP), International Land Alliance Inc. (ILAL), Portsmouth Square Inc (PRSI), Community Redevelopment Inc. (CRDV).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.