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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16
B&G Foods, Inc. (BGS) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Rating · 90D
▲ Bullish
Exact rating locked
90-day forecast
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30-day forecast
Alpha
Rank in coverage
Top 35%
of 5171 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D
21.0%
Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap
$186M
small-cap · #11 of 21 peers
Summary
B&G Foods, Inc. (BGS) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks B&G Foods, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
B&G Foods, Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $186M. It ranks number 11 by market capitalization among the 21 Food and Kindred Products issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For BGS, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 21.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 25.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, BGS included.
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BGS price chart and AI forecast
Cross-section · 2026-10-16
How BGS ranks among 5171 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Fundamentals · 2026-07-04
B&G Foods, Inc. (BGS) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Food and Kindred Products peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | BGS | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $186M | 11/21 |
| P/B Ratio | 0.47x | 13/14 |
| EPS | $-0.66 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $4.86 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | BGS | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | -15.8% | 3/7 |
| ROA | -1.9% | 4/10 |
| ROIC | 4.1% | 6/13 |
| Gross Margin | 21.9% | 13/17 |
| Operating Margin | 4.8% | 6/16 |
| Net Margin | -2.8% | 4/9 |
| EBT Margin | -3.2% | 9/17 |
| Tax Rate | 14.3% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | BGS | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.62x | 8/18 |
| Quick Ratio | 1.09x | 6/16 |
| D/E Ratio | 7.50x | 3/16 |
| Financial Leverage | 8.50x | 4/16 |
| Interest Coverage | 0.5x | 7/16 |
| Working Capital | $460M | 1/18 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | BGS | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $37M | 9/19 |
| OCF Growth YoY | -76.3% | 9/10 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | BGS | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Inventory Turnover | 4.5x | 9/14 |
| Days Inventory | 81 days | 6/14 |
| Payables Period | 26 days | 10/13 |
Income Statement
| Metric | BGS | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Income | $108M | 7/17 |
| Net Income | -$62M | 9/10 |
| SG&A Expense | $240M | 9/14 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $1.77B | 7/19 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | BGS | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 81M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $1.21B | 35.9% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $592M | 17.6% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $133M | 4.0% of assets |
| Inventory | $391M | 11.6% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $2.96B | 88.2% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $622M | 18.5% of assets |
Quarterly Financial Reports
BGS quarterly financials and insider trading
Industry Peers · Food and Kindred Products
B&G Foods, Inc. (BGS) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as B&G Foods, Inc. (Food and Kindred Products): 22 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| BGS B&G Foods, Inc. | ▲ | $186M |
| MDLZ Mondelez International, Inc. | ▼ | $82.47B |
| CAG Conagra Brands Inc. | ▼ | $6.91B |
| CPB Campbell's Co | ▲ | $5.93B |
| NOMD Nomad Foods Ltd | ▶ | $1.67B |
| FLO Flowers Foods Inc | ▼ | $1.30B |
| BRBR Bellring Brands, Inc. | ▶ | $1.10B |
| SMPL Simply Good Foods Co | ▼ | $985M |
| OFRM Once Upon A Farm, Pbc | ▲ | $729M |
| VITL Vital Farms, Inc. | ▲ | $367M |
| OTLY Oatly Group Ab | ▲ | $353M |
| BYND Beyond Meat, Inc. | ▲ | $118M |
| GWLL Goldenwell Biotech, Inc. | ▶ | $59M |
| SOWG Sow Good Inc. | ▼ | $42M |
| BOF Branchout Food Inc. | ▲ | $34M |
| LSF Laird Superfood, Inc. | ▲ | $30M |
| BRLS Borealis Foods Inc. | ▶ | $23M |
| HAIN Hain Celestial Group Inc | ▼ | $21M |
| STKH Steakholder Foods Ltd. | ▼ | $16M |
| CHSN Chanson International Holding | ▼ | $2M |
| TRWD Tradewinds Universal | ▼ | $660K |
| NXMH Next Meats Holdings, Inc. | ▲ | N/A |
Where BGS sits on the market map
Manufacturing · Food and Kindred Products
News
B&G Foods, Inc. (BGS) stock news
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FAQ
B&G Foods, Inc. (BGS) stock forecast FAQ
What is the B&G Foods, Inc. (BGS) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks B&G Foods, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are B&G Foods, Inc. stock predictions?
For BGS, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 21.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 25.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are B&G Foods, Inc. forecasts updated?
B&G Foods, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are B&G Foods, Inc.'s industry peers?
22 issuers in our coverage, BGS included, share the SEC industry code Food and Kindred Products. The largest are: Mondelez International, Inc. (MDLZ), Conagra Brands Inc. (CAG), Campbell's Co (CPB), Nomad Foods Ltd (NOMD), Flowers Foods Inc (FLO), Bellring Brands, Inc. (BRBR).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.