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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Birkenstock Holding Plc (BIRK) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5184 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 2.0% Spearman, 232 dates
Market Cap $6.22B mid-cap
Summary

Birkenstock Holding Plc (BIRK) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Birkenstock Holding Plc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Birkenstock Holding Plc is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $6.22B.

For BIRK, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 2.0%, measured on 232 forecast dates between 2024-12-20 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 7.0%, measured on 275 forecast dates between 2024-12-20 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, BIRK included.

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Price

BIRK price chart and AI forecast

BIRK
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How BIRK ranks among 5184 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2025-12-31

Birkenstock Holding Plc (BIRK) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Footwear, (No Rubber) peers listed below that report each metric. Statement values were filed in EUR and are shown converted to USD (flows at the trailing twelve-month average rate, balances at the balance-sheet date rate).

Valuation & Market

MetricBIRKIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $6.22B – –
P/E Ratio 8.81x – –
EPS $3.84 – –
Revenue/Share $20.80 – –
FCF/Share $2.19 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricBIRKIndustry medianRank
ROE 22.8% – –
ROA 12.8% – –
ROIC 22.0% – –
Gross Margin 54.7% – –
Operating Margin 29.7% – –
Net Margin 18.8% – –
EBT Margin 25.7% – –
Tax Rate 27.1% – –

Financial Health

MetricBIRKIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 3.13x – –
Quick Ratio 1.04x – –
D/E Ratio 0.79x – –
Financial Leverage 1.79x – –
Working Capital $996M – –

Cash Flow

MetricBIRKIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $631M – –
Free Cash Flow $403M – –
Capital Spending -$228M – –
OCF Growth YoY -21.3% – –
FCF Growth YoY 0.0% – –
FCF/Sales 10.5% – –
CapEx/Sales 6.0% – –

Operational Efficiency

MetricBIRKIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.68x – –
Receivables Turnover 28.6x – –
Inventory Turnover 1.8x – –
Fixed Assets Turnover 8.9x – –
Days Sales Outstanding 13 days – –
Days Inventory 199 days – –
Payables Period 28 days – –
Cash Conversion Cycle 184 days – –

Income Statement

MetricBIRKIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $3.82B – –
Operating Income $1.13B – –
Net Income $717M – –
Cost of Goods Sold $1.73B – –

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricBIRKIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 184M – –
Net Income Growth 76.9% – –
EPS Growth 77.5% – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions, converted from EUR)

Total Current Assets$1.46B25.2% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$269M4.6% of assets
Accounts Receivable$139M2.4% of assets
Inventory$977M16.8% of assets
Total Liabilities$2.56B44.0% of assets
Short-term Debt$331M5.7% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

BIRK quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Footwear, (No Rubber)

Birkenstock Holding Plc (BIRK) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Birkenstock Holding Plc (Footwear, (No Rubber)): 4 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
BIRK Birkenstock Holding Plc ▼ $6.22B 8.8x –
SHOO Steven Madden, Ltd. ▶ $3.31B 28.8x 3.5x
CAL Caleres Inc ▲ $448M – 0.7x
RCKY Rocky Brands, Inc. ▼ $343M 10.6x 1.3x

Where BIRK sits on the market map

Manufacturing · Footwear, (No Rubber)
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News

Birkenstock Holding Plc (BIRK) stock news

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FAQ

Birkenstock Holding Plc (BIRK) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Birkenstock Holding Plc (BIRK) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Birkenstock Holding Plc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Birkenstock Holding Plc stock predictions?

For BIRK, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 2.0%, measured on 232 forecast dates between 2024-12-20 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 7.0%, measured on 275 forecast dates between 2024-12-20 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Birkenstock Holding Plc forecasts updated?

Birkenstock Holding Plc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Birkenstock Holding Plc's industry peers?

4 issuers in our coverage, BIRK included, share the SEC industry code Footwear, (No Rubber). The largest are: Steven Madden, Ltd. (SHOO), Caleres Inc (CAL), Rocky Brands, Inc. (RCKY).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.