Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. (BRCB) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq
Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. (BRCB) stock forecast summary
On Oct. 16, 2026, BRCB is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.
Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $179M. It ranks number 7 by market capitalization among the 10 Retail-Eating & Drinking Places issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For BRCB, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 47.0%, measured on 178 forecast dates between 2025-11-12 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 37.0%, measured on 221 forecast dates between 2025-11-12 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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How BRCB ranks among 5172 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. (BRCB) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Retail-Eating & Drinking Places peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | BRCB | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $179M | 7/10 |
| P/E Ratio | 134.49x | 1/5 |
| P/B Ratio | 3.28x | 5/6 |
| EPS | $0.06 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $2.46 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $14.35 | – |
| FCF/Share | $-2.10 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | BRCB | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 2.8% | – |
| ROA | 0.4% | 4/6 |
| ROIC | 2.2% | 4/5 |
| Gross Margin | 29.6% | – |
| Operating Margin | 2.4% | 5/7 |
| Net Margin | 0.5% | 4/6 |
| EBT Margin | -3.4% | 5/7 |
| Tax Rate | -6.3% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | BRCB | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.71x | 7/9 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.62x | 5/6 |
| D/E Ratio | 5.18x | 2/6 |
| Financial Leverage | 7.18x | 2/5 |
| Interest Coverage | 5.9x | 5/10 |
| Working Capital | -$12M | 7/8 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | BRCB | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $21M | 5/8 |
| Free Cash Flow | -$47M | 6/6 |
| Capital Spending | -$68M | 2/6 |
| FCF/Sales | -14.6% | 6/6 |
| CapEx/Sales | 21.3% | 1/6 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | BRCB | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.81x | 2/5 |
| Receivables Turnover | 64.9x | 2/5 |
| Inventory Turnover | 66.2x | – |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 2.5x | 3/6 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 6 days | 4/5 |
| Days Inventory | 6 days | – |
| Payables Period | 16 days | 2/5 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | -5 days | – |
Income Statement
| Metric | BRCB | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $319M | 6/6 |
| Operating Income | $8M | 5/8 |
| Net Income | $2M | 4/7 |
| SG&A Expense | $60M | – |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $224M | 4/5 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | BRCB | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 22M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $29M | 7.3% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $16M | 4.1% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $5M | 1.3% of assets |
| Inventory | $3M | 0.9% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $283M | 72.1% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $31M | 7.8% of assets |
BRCB quarterly financials and insider trading
Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. (BRCB) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. (Retail-Eating & Drinking Places): 10 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| BRCB Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. | ▶ | $179M |
| SBUX Starbucks Corp | ▶ | $111.17B |
| LKNCY Luckin Coffee Inc. | ▶ | $10.51B |
| BROS Dutch Bros Inc. | ▼ | $7.19B |
| SHAK Shake Shack Inc. | ▶ | $3.00B |
| WEN Wendy's Co | ▲ | $1.28B |
| CNNE Cannae Holdings, Inc. | ▶ | $688M |
| EAIQ Eyeonix Aiq, Inc. | ▼ | $33M |
| SDOT Sadot Group Inc. | ▼ | $11M |
| KITL Kisses From Italy Inc. | ▲ | $510K |
Where BRCB sits on the market map
Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. (BRCB) stock news
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Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. (BRCB) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. (BRCB) stock forecast?
On Oct. 16, 2026, BRCB is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.
How accurate are Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. stock predictions?
For BRCB, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 47.0%, measured on 178 forecast dates between 2025-11-12 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 37.0%, measured on 221 forecast dates between 2025-11-12 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. forecasts updated?
Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc.'s industry peers?
10 issuers in our coverage, BRCB included, share the SEC industry code Retail-Eating & Drinking Places. The largest are: Starbucks Corp (SBUX), Luckin Coffee Inc. (LKNCY), Dutch Bros Inc. (BROS), Shake Shack Inc. (SHAK), Wendy's Co (WEN), Cannae Holdings, Inc. (CNNE).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.