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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Brilliant Earth Group, Inc. (BRLT) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D ▲ Bullish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Top 35% of 5184 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 2.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $150M small-cap
Summary

Brilliant Earth Group, Inc. (BRLT) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Brilliant Earth Group, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Brilliant Earth Group, Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $150M.

For BRLT, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 2.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 28.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, BRLT included.

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Price

BRLT price chart and AI forecast

BRLT
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How BRLT ranks among 5184 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Brilliant Earth Group, Inc. (BRLT) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months.

Valuation & Market

MetricBRLTIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $150M – –
P/B Ratio 12.32x – –
EPS $-0.23 – –
Book Value/Share $0.12 – –
Revenue/Share $4.41 – –
FCF/Share $0.03 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricBRLTIndustry medianRank
ROIC -8.4% – –
Gross Margin 56.5% – –
Operating Margin -2.0% – –
EBT Margin 0.0% – –
Tax Rate -481450.0% – –

The effective tax rate is outside the normal band, which points to a large non-recurring tax item in the trailing twelve months; headline net income, net margin and P/E are affected by it.

Financial Health

MetricBRLTIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 1.58x – –
Quick Ratio 0.97x – –
D/E Ratio 10.16x – –
Financial Leverage 16.19x – –
Interest Coverage -0.0x – –
Working Capital $51M – –

Cash Flow

MetricBRLTIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $6M – –
Free Cash Flow $3M – –
Capital Spending -$4M – –
OCF Growth YoY -64.4% – –
FCF Growth YoY -77.2% – –
FCF/Sales 0.6% – –
CapEx/Sales 0.8% – –

Operational Efficiency

MetricBRLTIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 2.28x – –
Inventory Turnover 3.7x – –
Fixed Assets Turnover 24.8x – –
Days Inventory 99 days – –
Payables Period 53 days – –

Income Statement

MetricBRLTIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $449M – –
Operating Income -$9M – –
Cost of Goods Sold $196M – –

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricBRLTIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 102M – –
EPS Growth -2400.0% – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$139M
Cash & Short-term Investments$75M55.3% of assets
Inventory$53M39.3% of assets
Total Liabilities$123M91.0% of assets
Short-term Debt$60M44.4% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

BRLT quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Jewelry, Silverware & Plated Ware

Brilliant Earth Group, Inc. (BRLT) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Brilliant Earth Group, Inc. (Jewelry, Silverware & Plated Ware): 1 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
BRLT Brilliant Earth Group, Inc. ▲ $150M – 12.3x

Where BRLT sits on the market map

Manufacturing · Jewelry, Silverware & Plated Ware
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News

Brilliant Earth Group, Inc. (BRLT) stock news

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FAQ

Brilliant Earth Group, Inc. (BRLT) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Brilliant Earth Group, Inc. (BRLT) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Brilliant Earth Group, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Brilliant Earth Group, Inc. stock predictions?

For BRLT, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 2.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 28.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Brilliant Earth Group, Inc. forecasts updated?

Brilliant Earth Group, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.