British American Tobacco P.L.C. (BTI) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
British American Tobacco P.L.C. (BTI) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks British American Tobacco P.L.C. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
British American Tobacco P.L.C. is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $129.90B. It ranks number 2 by market capitalization among the 5 Cigarettes issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For BTI, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 2.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -11.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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How BTI ranks among 5184 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
British American Tobacco P.L.C. (BTI) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Cigarettes peers listed below that report each metric. Statement values were filed in GBP and are shown converted to USD (flows at the trailing twelve-month average rate, balances at the balance-sheet date rate).
Valuation & Market
| Metric | BTI | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $129.90B | 2/5 |
| P/E Ratio | 5.11x | – |
| EPS | $11.75 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $46.31 | – |
| FCF/Share | $12.62 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | BTI | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 43.1% | – |
| ROA | 18.1% | – |
| ROIC | 23.3% | 3/5 |
| Operating Margin | 29.1% | 3/5 |
| Net Margin | 26.1% | – |
| EBT Margin | 32.4% | 3/5 |
| Tax Rate | 18.3% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | BTI | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.87x | 4/5 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.57x | 3/5 |
| Financial Leverage | 2.37x | – |
| Working Capital | -$2.48B | 4/5 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | BTI | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $28.99B | 1/5 |
| Free Cash Flow | $27.33B | 1/5 |
| Capital Spending | -$1.66B | 5/5 |
| OCF Growth YoY | -20.8% | – |
| FCF Growth YoY | 0.0% | – |
| FCF/Sales | 27.3% | 3/5 |
| CapEx/Sales | 1.7% | 3/5 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | BTI | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.69x | 3/5 |
| Receivables Turnover | 20.0x | 2/5 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 18 days | 4/5 |
Income Statement
| Metric | BTI | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $100.26B | 1/5 |
| Operating Income | $29.15B | 1/5 |
| Net Income | $26.21B | – |
| R&D Expense | $1.43B | – |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | BTI | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 2165M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions, converted from GBP)
| Total Current Assets | $17.09B | |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $5.16B | |
| Accounts Receivable | $5.12B | |
| Inventory | $5.90B | |
| Short-term Debt | $7.00B |
BTI quarterly financials and insider trading
British American Tobacco P.L.C. (BTI) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as British American Tobacco P.L.C. (Cigarettes): 5 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
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British American Tobacco P.L.C. (BTI) stock forecast FAQ
What is the British American Tobacco P.L.C. (BTI) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks British American Tobacco P.L.C. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are British American Tobacco P.L.C. stock predictions?
For BTI, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 2.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -11.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are British American Tobacco P.L.C. forecasts updated?
British American Tobacco P.L.C. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are British American Tobacco P.L.C.'s industry peers?
5 issuers in our coverage, BTI included, share the SEC industry code Cigarettes. The largest are: Philip Morris International Inc. (PM), Altria Group, Inc. (MO), Ispire Technology Inc. (ISPR), 22nd Century Group, Inc. (XXII).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.