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Model output · Signal date 2026-11-06

Carrier Global Corp (CARR) Stock Forecast Nov. 6, 2026

Analysis updated on Nov. 6, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D Unlock rating and forecasts
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage of 5150 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 45.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $42.86B large-cap · #2 of 7 peers
Summary

Carrier Global Corp (CARR) stock forecast summary

Our AI scores Carrier Global Corp every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

Carrier Global Corp is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $42.86B. It ranks number 2 by market capitalization among the 7 Air-Cond & Warm Air Heatg Equip & Comm & Indl Refrig Equip issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For CARR, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 45.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 14.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +3.1%, buy ≥ +1.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-11-06 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, CARR included.

Price

CARR price chart and AI forecast

CARR
Cross-section · 2026-11-06

How CARR ranks among 5150 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-09-30

Carrier Global Corp (CARR) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Air-Cond & Warm Air Heatg Equip & Comm & Indl Refrig Equip peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricCARRIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $42.86B $4.72B 2/7
P/B Ratio 4.26x 4.46x 4/6
Dividend Yield 1.84% – –
EPS $-2.62 – –
Book Value/Share $12.29 – –
Revenue/Share $27.86 – –
FCF/Share $2.91 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricCARRIndustry medianRank
ROE -17.9% -1.1% 4/6
ROA -5.4% -5.4% 4/7
ROIC -4.4% -4.4% 3/5
Operating Margin -4.8% – –
Net Margin -7.9% 8.2% 4/5
EBT Margin -6.4% 9.9% 4/5
Tax Rate -15.6% – –

Financial Health

MetricCARRIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 1.00x 2.07x 6/6
Quick Ratio 0.68x 0.85x 4/5
D/E Ratio 2.30x 1.34x 2/6
Financial Leverage 3.34x 2.34x 2/6
Interest Coverage 0.2x – –
Working Capital -$24M $213M 6/6

Cash Flow

MetricCARRIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $2.86B $87M 1/7
Free Cash Flow $2.38B $836M 1/5
Capital Spending -$481M -$154M 5/5
OCF Growth YoY 78.1% 44.6% 2/5
FCF Growth YoY 111.0% – –
FCF/Sales 10.4% – –
CapEx/Sales 2.1% – –

Operational Efficiency

MetricCARRIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.68x 0.78x 4/5
Receivables Turnover 6.5x 5.8x 1/5
Fixed Assets Turnover 7.2x 7.2x 3/5
Days Sales Outstanding 56 days 62 days 5/5

Income Statement

MetricCARRIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $22.79B $5.45B 2/5
Operating Income -$1.09B -$11M 5/5
Net Income -$1.80B -$680K 7/7
R&D Expense $605M – –
SG&A Expense $3.18B $501M 2/6

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricCARRIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $0.96 – –
Shares Outstanding 818M – –
Net Income Growth -145.2% -8.6% 5/5
EPS Growth -161.1% – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$8.88B26.4% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$1.35B4.0% of assets
Accounts Receivable$3.50B10.4% of assets
Inventory$2.84B8.5% of assets
Total Liabilities$23.17B69.0% of assets
Short-term Debt$5.64B16.8% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

CARR quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Air-Cond & Warm Air Heatg Equip & Comm & Indl Refrig Equip

Carrier Global Corp (CARR) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Carrier Global Corp (Air-Cond & Warm Air Heatg Equip & Comm & Indl Refrig Equip): 7 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
CARR Carrier Global Corp $42.86B – 4.3x
JCI Johnson Controls International Plc $82.52B 25.4x 6.1x
LII Lennox International Inc $11.70B 15.5x 8.9x
AAON Aaon, Inc. $4.72B 32.1x 4.7x
AIRJ Airjoule Technologies Corp. $175M – 0.7x
TGEN Tecogen Inc. $46M – 2.6x
QWTR Quest Water Global, Inc. $3M – –

Where CARR sits on the market map

Technology · Air-Cond & Warm Air Heatg Equip & Comm & Indl Refrig Equip
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News

Carrier Global Corp (CARR) stock news

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FAQ

Carrier Global Corp (CARR) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Carrier Global Corp (CARR) stock forecast?

Our AI scores Carrier Global Corp every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

How accurate are Carrier Global Corp stock predictions?

For CARR, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 45.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 14.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Carrier Global Corp forecasts updated?

Carrier Global Corp forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 6, 2026.

Which companies are Carrier Global Corp's industry peers?

7 issuers in our coverage, CARR included, share the SEC industry code Air-Cond & Warm Air Heatg Equip & Comm & Indl Refrig Equip. The largest are: Johnson Controls International Plc (JCI), Lennox International Inc (LII), Aaon, Inc. (AAON), Airjoule Technologies Corp. (AIRJ), Tecogen Inc. (TGEN), Quest Water Global, Inc. (QWTR).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.