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Model output · Signal date 2026-11-06

Caterpillar Inc (CAT) Stock Forecast Nov. 6, 2026

Analysis updated on Nov. 6, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D Unlock rating and forecasts
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage of 5150 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 16.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $256.79B mega-cap · #1 of 6 peers
Summary

Caterpillar Inc (CAT) stock forecast summary

Our AI scores Caterpillar Inc every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

Caterpillar Inc is a mega-cap company with a market capitalization of $256.79B. It ranks number 1 by market capitalization among the 6 Construction Machinery & Equip issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For CAT, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 16.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 13.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +3.1%, buy ≥ +1.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-11-06 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, CAT included.

Price

CAT price chart and AI forecast

CAT
Cross-section · 2026-11-06

How CAT ranks among 5150 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-09-30

Caterpillar Inc (CAT) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Construction Machinery & Equip peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricCATIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $256.79B $845M 1/6
P/E Ratio 21.92x 30.19x 4/5
P/B Ratio 11.95x 1.53x 1/6
Dividend Yield 1.11% 1.45% 4/5
EPS $25.48 – –
Book Value/Share $46.74 – –
Revenue/Share $169.19 – –
FCF/Share $24.53 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricCATIndustry medianRank
ROE 55.1% – –
ROA 11.1% – –
ROIC 21.5% – –
Gross Margin 80.7% 29.2% 1/6
Operating Margin 18.3% 4.5% 2/5
Net Margin 15.2% – –
EBT Margin 19.6% 2.4% 2/6
Tax Rate 22.4% – –

Financial Health

MetricCATIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 1.42x 2.14x 5/5
Quick Ratio 0.88x 1.10x 5/5
D/E Ratio 3.97x 1.98x 2/6
Financial Leverage 4.97x 3.49x 2/5
Interest Coverage 1.4x – –
Working Capital $17.17B $473M 1/5

Cash Flow

MetricCATIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $14.18B $63M 1/6
Free Cash Flow $11.27B $6M 1/5
Capital Spending -$2.91B -$28M 5/5
OCF Growth YoY 22.9% -47.8% 2/5
FCF Growth YoY 26.5% – –
FCF/Sales 14.5% 0.3% 1/5
CapEx/Sales 3.7% 2.7% 1/5

Operational Efficiency

MetricCATIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.73x 0.73x 3/5
Receivables Turnover 5.8x 7.1x 4/5
Inventory Turnover 0.7x 2.4x 6/6
Fixed Assets Turnover 4.9x 7.4x 5/6
Days Sales Outstanding 63 days 52 days 2/5
Days Inventory 541 days 151 days 1/6
Payables Period 257 days – –
Cash Conversion Cycle 347 days – –

Income Statement

MetricCATIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $77.77B $1.86B 1/6
Operating Income $14.25B $49M 1/5
Net Income $11.83B – –
R&D Expense $2.31B $30M 1/5
SG&A Expense $7.51B $384M 1/6
Cost of Goods Sold $14.99B $1.41B 1/6

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricCATIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $6.21 – –
Payout Ratio 24.4% – –
Shares Outstanding 460M – –
Net Income Growth 33.2% – –
EPS Growth 30.9% -39.0% 2/5

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$57.83B54.1% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$7.93B7.4% of assets
Accounts Receivable$13.44B12.6% of assets
Inventory$22.21B20.8% of assets
Total Liabilities$85.36B79.9% of assets
Short-term Debt$30.09B28.2% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

CAT quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Construction Machinery & Equip

Caterpillar Inc (CAT) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Caterpillar Inc (Construction Machinery & Equip): 6 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
CAT Caterpillar Inc $256.79B 21.9x 12.0x
CNH Cnh Industrial N.V. $14.31B 33.0x 1.8x
AEBI Aebi Schmidt Holding Ag $867M 30.2x 1.1x
ASTE Astec Industries Inc $822M 58.5x 1.2x
CMCO Columbus Mckinnon Corp $509M – 0.4x
GENC Gencor Industries Inc $249M 14.2x 2.2x

Where CAT sits on the market map

Technology · Construction Machinery & Equip
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News

Caterpillar Inc (CAT) stock news

Caterpillar Inc. (NYSE: CAT) announced third-quarter 2026 results. “Our third-quarter results reflect the durability of our end markets, with strong order rates and a record backlog,” said Caterpillar ...

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FAQ

Caterpillar Inc (CAT) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Caterpillar Inc (CAT) stock forecast?

Our AI scores Caterpillar Inc every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

How accurate are Caterpillar Inc stock predictions?

For CAT, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 16.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 13.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Caterpillar Inc forecasts updated?

Caterpillar Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 6, 2026.

Which companies are Caterpillar Inc's industry peers?

6 issuers in our coverage, CAT included, share the SEC industry code Construction Machinery & Equip. The largest are: Cnh Industrial N.V. (CNH), Aebi Schmidt Holding Ag (AEBI), Astec Industries Inc (ASTE), Columbus Mckinnon Corp (CMCO), Gencor Industries Inc (GENC).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.