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Model output · Signal date 2026-11-06

Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. (CHEF) Stock Forecast Nov. 6, 2026

Analysis updated on Nov. 6, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D Unlock rating and forecasts
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage of 5150 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 53.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $4.51B mid-cap · #2 of 6 peers
Summary

Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. (CHEF) stock forecast summary

Our AI scores Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $4.51B. It ranks number 2 by market capitalization among the 6 Wholesale-Groceries, General Line issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For CHEF, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 53.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 21.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +3.1%, buy ≥ +1.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-11-06 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, CHEF included.

Price

CHEF price chart and AI forecast

CHEF
Cross-section · 2026-11-06

How CHEF ranks among 5150 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-09-25

Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. (CHEF) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Wholesale-Groceries, General Line peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricCHEFIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $4.51B $1.40B 2/6
P/E Ratio 38.87x 33.80x 2/5
P/B Ratio 6.57x 2.55x 2/6
EPS $2.67 – –
Book Value/Share $15.80 – –
Revenue/Share $103.66 – –
FCF/Share $4.18 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricCHEFIndustry medianRank
ROE 14.9% – –
ROA 4.9% – –
ROIC 11.6% 6.7% 2/5
Gross Margin 24.7% 19.1% 3/6
Operating Margin 4.1% 1.0% 2/6
Net Margin 2.3% – –
EBT Margin 3.3% 0.6% 2/6
Tax Rate 30.6% – –

Financial Health

MetricCHEFIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 2.21x 2.75x 4/5
Quick Ratio 1.35x – –
D/E Ratio 2.03x 2.25x 4/6
Financial Leverage 3.03x 3.25x 4/6
Interest Coverage 8.4x 2.6x 1/6
Working Capital $571M $159M 2/5

Cash Flow

MetricCHEFIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $215M $115M 3/6
Free Cash Flow $182M $182M 3/5
Capital Spending -$34M -$34M 3/5
OCF Growth YoY 67.5% – –
FCF Growth YoY 109.5% – –
FCF/Sales 4.0% 1.6% 1/5
CapEx/Sales 0.7% 0.5% 1/5

Operational Efficiency

MetricCHEFIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 2.16x 3.69x 5/5
Receivables Turnover 11.3x – –
Inventory Turnover 8.4x – –
Fixed Assets Turnover 12.8x – –
Days Sales Outstanding 32 days – –
Days Inventory 43 days – –
Payables Period 27 days – –
Cash Conversion Cycle 48 days – –

Income Statement

MetricCHEFIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $4.51B $4.51B 3/5
Operating Income $186M $100M 3/6
Net Income $102M – –
SG&A Expense $917M – –
Cost of Goods Sold $3.39B $3.12B 3/6

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricCHEFIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 43M – –
Net Income Growth 37.3% – –
EPS Growth 88.0% – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$1.04B50.0% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$165M7.9% of assets
Accounts Receivable$399M19.1% of assets
Inventory$404M19.4% of assets
Total Liabilities$1.40B67.0% of assets
Short-term Debt$217M10.4% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

CHEF quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Wholesale-Groceries, General Line

Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. (CHEF) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. (Wholesale-Groceries, General Line): 6 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
CHEF Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. $4.51B 38.9x 6.6x
PFGC Performance Food Group Co $17.28B 43.7x 3.4x
UNFI United Natural Foods Inc $2.73B 33.8x 1.7x
DIT Amcon Distributing Co $59M 32.3x 0.5x
MWYN Marwynn Holdings, Inc. $28M – 11.1x
IVFH Innovative Food Holdings Inc $9M 3.2x 1.0x

Where CHEF sits on the market map

Trade & Services · Wholesale-Groceries, General Line
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News

Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. (CHEF) stock news

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FAQ

Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. (CHEF) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. (CHEF) stock forecast?

Our AI scores Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

How accurate are Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. stock predictions?

For CHEF, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 53.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 21.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. forecasts updated?

Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 6, 2026.

Which companies are Chefs' Warehouse, Inc.'s industry peers?

6 issuers in our coverage, CHEF included, share the SEC industry code Wholesale-Groceries, General Line. The largest are: Performance Food Group Co (PFGC), United Natural Foods Inc (UNFI), Amcon Distributing Co (DIT), Marwynn Holdings, Inc. (MWYN), Innovative Food Holdings Inc (IVFH).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.