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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Cme Group Inc. (CME) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D ▲ Bullish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Top 35% of 5172 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 27.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $105.79B large-cap · #1 of 12 peers
Summary

Cme Group Inc. (CME) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Cme Group Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Cme Group Inc. is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $105.79B. It ranks number 1 by market capitalization among the 12 Security & Commodity Brokers, Dealers, Exchanges & Services issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its Net Margin of 63.9% is the highest of the 8 peers that report one.

For CME, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 27.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 7.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

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Price

CME price chart and AI forecast

CME
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How CME ranks among 5172 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Cme Group Inc. (CME) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Security & Commodity Brokers, Dealers, Exchanges & Services peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricCMEIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $105.79B $6.20B 1/12
P/E Ratio 24.93x 24.93x 4/7
P/B Ratio 3.99x 4.38x 6/9
Dividend Yield 13.68% 1.06% 1/6
EPS $11.79 – –
Book Value/Share $73.67 – –
Revenue/Share $18.81 – –
FCF/Share $11.70 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricCMEIndustry medianRank
ROE 16.3% 16.9% 6/8
ROA 2.2% 2.9% 6/8
ROIC 12.3% 10.8% 2/6
Operating Margin 65.1% 34.7% 1/7
Net Margin 63.9% 16.4% 1/8
EBT Margin 82.6% 8.3% 1/9
Tax Rate 23.4% – –

Financial Health

MetricCMEIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 1.02x 1.09x 5/7
D/E Ratio 6.34x 3.31x 3/11
Financial Leverage 7.34x 4.32x 3/11
Interest Coverage 15.8x 13.1x 3/6
Working Capital $2.91B $1.49B 1/7

Cash Flow

MetricCMEIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $4.31B $1.96B 2/9
Free Cash Flow $4.21B $1.95B 2/7
Capital Spending -$96M -$96M 4/7
OCF Growth YoY 2.7% 7.9% 4/6
FCF Growth YoY 2.6% 13.9% 4/5
FCF/Sales 62.2% 37.0% 1/7
CapEx/Sales 1.4% 1.7% 5/7

Operational Efficiency

MetricCMEIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.03x 0.48x 7/7
Receivables Turnover 9.0x – –
Fixed Assets Turnover 19.3x 18.9x 3/6
Days Sales Outstanding 41 days – –

Income Statement

MetricCMEIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $6.77B $6.77B 4/7
Operating Income $4.41B $1.76B 2/7
Net Income $4.33B $1.18B 1/8

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricCMEIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $40.21 – –
Payout Ratio 341.1% 25.8% 1/6
Shares Outstanding 360M – –
Net Income Growth 14.9% 30.4% 6/7
EPS Growth 14.1% 35.9% 6/7

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$161.63B83.0% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$2.14B1.1% of assets
Accounts Receivable$753M0.4% of assets
Total Liabilities$168.16B86.4% of assets
Short-term Debt$158.65B81.5% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

CME quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Security & Commodity Brokers, Dealers, Exchanges & Services

Cme Group Inc. (CME) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Cme Group Inc. (Security & Commodity Brokers, Dealers, Exchanges & Services): 12 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
CME Cme Group Inc. ▲ $105.79B 24.9x 4.0x
ICE Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. ▼ $90.70B 22.8x 3.1x
NDAQ Nasdaq, Inc. ▼ $52.53B 29.4x 4.4x
CBOE Cboe Global Markets, Inc. ▶ $32.89B 24.6x 5.9x
LPLA Lpl Financial Holdings Inc. ▶ $25.27B 25.8x 4.4x
SNEX Stonex Group Inc. ▶ $6.89B 10.8x 2.4x
BGC Bgc Group, Inc. ▲ $5.51B 33.1x 5.0x
MRX Marex Group Ltd ▲ $5.05B – –
TOP Top Financial Group Ltd ▼ $1.65B – 45.0x
WTF Waton Financial Ltd ▼ $134M – –
STEX Streamex Corp. ▶ $76M – 0.5x
SOS Sos Ltd ▼ $4M – –

Where CME sits on the market map

Finance · Security & Commodity Brokers, Dealers, Exchanges & Services
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News

Cme Group Inc. (CME) stock news

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FAQ

Cme Group Inc. (CME) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Cme Group Inc. (CME) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Cme Group Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Cme Group Inc. stock predictions?

For CME, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 27.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 7.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Cme Group Inc. forecasts updated?

Cme Group Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Cme Group Inc.'s industry peers?

12 issuers in our coverage, CME included, share the SEC industry code Security & Commodity Brokers, Dealers, Exchanges & Services. The largest are: Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (ICE), Nasdaq, Inc. (NDAQ), Cboe Global Markets, Inc. (CBOE), Lpl Financial Holdings Inc. (LPLA), Stonex Group Inc. (SNEX), Bgc Group, Inc. (BGC).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.