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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Carpenter Technology Corp (CRS) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5172 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 42.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $18.69B large-cap · #5 of 11 peers
Summary

Carpenter Technology Corp (CRS) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Carpenter Technology Corp outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Carpenter Technology Corp is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $18.69B. It ranks number 5 by market capitalization among the 11 Steel Works, Blast Furnaces & Rolling Mills (Coke Ovens) issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For CRS, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 42.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -8.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

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Price

CRS price chart and AI forecast

CRS
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How CRS ranks among 5172 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Carpenter Technology Corp (CRS) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Steel Works, Blast Furnaces & Rolling Mills (Coke Ovens) peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricCRSIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $18.69B $11.21B 5/11
P/E Ratio 35.84x 20.64x 2/6
P/B Ratio 8.39x 1.53x 1/7
Dividend Yield 0.22% 0.88% 5/5
EPS $10.52 – –
Book Value/Share $44.95 – –
Revenue/Share $63.04 – –
FCF/Share $7.31 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricCRSIndustry medianRank
ROE 25.6% 14.8% 2/8
ROA 14.8% 8.3% 2/8
Gross Margin 29.5% 15.5% 2/9
Operating Margin 21.7% 10.0% 2/7
Net Margin 17.6% 7.8% 2/7
EBT Margin 20.2% 7.8% 2/10
Tax Rate 19.3% – –

Financial Health

MetricCRSIndustry medianRank
D/E Ratio 0.72x 0.76x 7/11
Financial Leverage 1.72x 1.82x 8/11
Interest Coverage 4.3x 2.0x 2/5

Cash Flow

MetricCRSIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $605M $832M 6/10
Free Cash Flow $362M $362M 4/7
Capital Spending -$243M -$580M 3/7
OCF Growth YoY 37.4% 5.8% 3/7
FCF Growth YoY 34.5% – –
FCF/Sales 11.6% 4.5% 1/8
CapEx/Sales 7.8% 7.0% 4/8

Operational Efficiency

MetricCRSIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.81x 1.08x 10/10

Income Statement

MetricCRSIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $3.12B $6.81B 6/9
Operating Income $702M $702M 4/7
Net Income $570M $1.13B 6/8
SG&A Expense $254M $531M 7/10

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricCRSIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $0.81 – –
Payout Ratio 7.7% – –
Shares Outstanding 50M – –
Net Income Growth 37.7% 54.4% 4/5
EPS Growth 41.8% 59.6% 5/7

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Liabilities$1.61B42.0% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

CRS quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Steel Works, Blast Furnaces & Rolling Mills (Coke Ovens)

Carpenter Technology Corp (CRS) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Carpenter Technology Corp (Steel Works, Blast Furnaces & Rolling Mills (Coke Ovens)): 11 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
CRS Carpenter Technology Corp ▼ $18.69B 35.8x 8.4x
NUE Nucor Corp ▶ $58.15B 19.4x 2.6x
MT Arcelormittal ▼ $47.99B 5.8x –
STLD Steel Dynamics Inc ▲ $34.48B 21.9x 3.7x
TS Tenaris Sa ▼ $30.88B – –
TX Ternium S.A. ▼ $11.21B – –
CMC Commercial Metals Co ▼ $7.19B 11.1x 1.5x
SXC Suncoke Energy, Inc. ▲ $870M – 1.5x
MTUS Metallus Inc. ▶ $852M 228.4x 1.2x
TWI Titan International Inc ▶ $429M – 0.9x
ASTL Algoma Steel Group Inc. ▲ $423M – –

Where CRS sits on the market map

Manufacturing · Steel Works, Blast Furnaces & Rolling Mills (Coke Ovens)
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News

Carpenter Technology Corp (CRS) stock news

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FAQ

Carpenter Technology Corp (CRS) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Carpenter Technology Corp (CRS) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Carpenter Technology Corp outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Carpenter Technology Corp stock predictions?

For CRS, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 42.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -8.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Carpenter Technology Corp forecasts updated?

Carpenter Technology Corp forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Carpenter Technology Corp's industry peers?

11 issuers in our coverage, CRS included, share the SEC industry code Steel Works, Blast Furnaces & Rolling Mills (Coke Ovens). The largest are: Nucor Corp (NUE), Arcelormittal (MT), Steel Dynamics Inc (STLD), Tenaris Sa (TS), Ternium S.A. (TX), Commercial Metals Co (CMC).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.