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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Criteo S.A. (CRTO) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5172 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 18.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $752M small-cap · #3 of 6 peers
Summary

Criteo S.A. (CRTO) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Criteo S.A. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Criteo S.A. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $752M. It ranks number 3 by market capitalization among the 6 Services-Advertising Agencies issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For CRTO, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 18.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 5.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, CRTO included.

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Price

CRTO price chart and AI forecast

CRTO
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How CRTO ranks among 5172 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Criteo S.A. (CRTO) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Services-Advertising Agencies peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricCRTOIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $752M $713M 3/6
P/E Ratio 6.53x – –
P/B Ratio 0.67x – –
EPS $2.35 – –
Book Value/Share $23.01 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricCRTOIndustry medianRank
ROIC 13.5% 2.2% 1/5
Gross Margin 43.8% 35.4% 2/6
Operating Margin 6.3% 2.1% 1/6
EBT Margin 6.3% 1.3% 1/6
Tax Rate 28.2% – –

Financial Health

MetricCRTOIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 1.29x 0.90x 2/6
D/E Ratio 0.75x – –
Financial Leverage 1.78x – –
Interest Coverage 15.1x 5.4x 2/5
Working Capital $195M -$42M 1/6

Cash Flow

MetricCRTOIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $366M $44M 3/7
OCF Growth YoY 19.3% – –

Income Statement

MetricCRTOIndustry medianRank
Operating Income $180M $5M 3/7
R&D Expense $364M – –
SG&A Expense $869M – –
Cost of Goods Sold $930M $508M 3/6

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricCRTOIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 49M – –
EPS Growth -3.7% – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$873M43.4% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$252M12.5% of assets
Accounts Receivable$456M22.7% of assets
Total Liabilities$847M42.1% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

CRTO quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Services-Advertising Agencies

Criteo S.A. (CRTO) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Criteo S.A. (Services-Advertising Agencies): 7 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
CRTO Criteo S.A. ▼ $752M 6.5x 0.7x
OMC Omnicom Group Inc. ▼ $22.10B – 2.3x
WPP Wpp Plc ▶ $5.93B 39.7x –
GRPN Groupon, Inc. ▲ $674M – –
SWAG Stran & Company, Inc. ▲ $25M – 0.8x
SPTY Specificity, Inc. ▼ $5M – –
STCB Starco Brands, Inc. ▶ N/A – –

Where CRTO sits on the market map

Trade & Services · Services-Advertising Agencies
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News

Criteo S.A. (CRTO) stock news

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FAQ

Criteo S.A. (CRTO) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Criteo S.A. (CRTO) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Criteo S.A. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Criteo S.A. stock predictions?

For CRTO, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 18.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 5.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Criteo S.A. forecasts updated?

Criteo S.A. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Criteo S.A.'s industry peers?

7 issuers in our coverage, CRTO included, share the SEC industry code Services-Advertising Agencies. The largest are: Omnicom Group Inc. (OMC), Wpp Plc (WPP), Groupon, Inc. (GRPN), Stran & Company, Inc. (SWAG), Specificity, Inc. (SPTY), Starco Brands, Inc. (STCB).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.