Can Constellium keep margins strong amid rising cost pressures?
Constellium SE’s CSTM cost structure remains under pressure from higher input and operating expenses. Constellium continued ...
Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16
Constellium Se (CSTM) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Rating · 90D
▼ Bearish
Exact rating locked
90-day forecast
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30-day forecast
Alpha
Rank in coverage
Bottom 35%
of 5184 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D
57.0%
Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap
$3.47B
mid-cap
Summary
Constellium Se (CSTM) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Constellium Se outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Constellium Se is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $3.47B.
For CSTM, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 57.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 50.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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CSTM price chart and AI forecast
Cross-section · 2026-10-16
How CSTM ranks among 5184 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Fundamentals · 2026-03-31
Constellium Se (CSTM) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Secondary Smelting & Refining of Nonferrous Metals peers listed below that report each metric. Statement values were filed in EUR and are shown converted to USD (flows at the trailing twelve-month average rate, balances at the balance-sheet date rate).
Valuation & Market
| Metric | CSTM | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $3.47B | – |
| P/E Ratio | 7.13x | – |
| P/B Ratio | 2.70x | – |
| EPS | $3.57 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $9.42 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $76.05 | – |
| FCF/Share | $1.46 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | CSTM | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 38.9% | – |
| ROA | 7.4% | – |
| Gross Margin | 15.1% | – |
| Net Margin | 4.9% | – |
| EBT Margin | 6.9% | – |
| Tax Rate | 29.9% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | CSTM | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.39x | – |
| Quick Ratio | 0.60x | – |
| D/E Ratio | 4.21x | – |
| Financial Leverage | 5.22x | – |
| Working Capital | $955M | – |
Cash Flow
| Metric | CSTM | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $584M | – |
| Free Cash Flow | $198M | – |
| Capital Spending | -$386M | – |
| FCF/Sales | 1.9% | – |
| CapEx/Sales | 3.7% | – |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | CSTM | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 1.53x | – |
| Receivables Turnover | 10.5x | – |
| Inventory Turnover | 4.5x | – |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 3.5x | – |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 35 days | – |
| Days Inventory | 80 days | – |
| Payables Period | 74 days | – |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 42 days | – |
Income Statement
| Metric | CSTM | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $10.35B | – |
| Net Income | $504M | – |
| R&D Expense | $59M | – |
| SG&A Expense | $407M | – |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $8.80B | – |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | CSTM | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 136M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions, converted from EUR)
| Total Current Assets | $3.38B | 50.5% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $164M | 2.4% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $978M | 14.6% of assets |
| Inventory | $1.91B | 28.6% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $5.40B | 80.6% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $675M | 10.1% of assets |
Quarterly Financial Reports
CSTM quarterly financials and insider trading
Industry Peers · Secondary Smelting & Refining of Nonferrous Metals
Constellium Se (CSTM) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Constellium Se (Secondary Smelting & Refining of Nonferrous Metals): 2 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
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Manufacturing · Secondary Smelting & Refining of Nonferrous Metals
News
Constellium Se (CSTM) stock news
Constellium shares up 36% YTD: Is it the right time to buy the stock?
Constellium SE’s CSTM shares have popped 35.8% year to date, outperforming the Zacks Metal Products – Distribution industry’s decline of 11.7% and the S&P 500’s increase of 14.5%. It is benefiting ...
Is Constellium SE (CSTM) A Good Stock To Buy Now?
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FAQ
Constellium Se (CSTM) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Constellium Se (CSTM) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Constellium Se outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Constellium Se stock predictions?
For CSTM, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 57.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 50.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Constellium Se forecasts updated?
Constellium Se forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Constellium Se's industry peers?
2 issuers in our coverage, CSTM included, share the SEC industry code Secondary Smelting & Refining of Nonferrous Metals. The largest are: Aqua Metals, Inc. (AQMS).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.