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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Deckers Outdoor Corp (DECK) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5171 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 32.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $11.69B large-cap
Summary

Deckers Outdoor Corp (DECK) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Deckers Outdoor Corp outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Deckers Outdoor Corp is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $11.69B.

For DECK, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 32.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 4.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, DECK included.

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Price

DECK price chart and AI forecast

DECK
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How DECK ranks among 5171 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Deckers Outdoor Corp (DECK) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Rubber & Plastics Footwear peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricDECKIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $11.69B – –
P/E Ratio 12.19x – –
P/B Ratio 5.08x – –
EPS $7.03 – –
Book Value/Share $16.87 – –
Revenue/Share $40.52 – –
FCF/Share $8.19 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricDECKIndustry medianRank
ROE 44.1% – –
ROA 26.2% – –
ROIC 44.7% – –
Gross Margin 57.8% – –
Operating Margin 22.7% – –
Net Margin 18.4% – –
EBT Margin 23.8% – –
Tax Rate 22.6% – –

Financial Health

MetricDECKIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 2.75x – –
Quick Ratio 1.99x – –
D/E Ratio 0.68x – –
Financial Leverage 1.68x – –
Interest Coverage 110.4x – –
Working Capital $1.86B – –

Cash Flow

MetricDECKIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $1.19B – –
Free Cash Flow $1.12B – –
Capital Spending -$76M – –
OCF Growth YoY 23.3% – –
FCF Growth YoY 27.0% – –
FCF/Sales 20.2% – –
CapEx/Sales 1.4% – –

Operational Efficiency

MetricDECKIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 1.43x – –
Receivables Turnover 14.6x – –
Inventory Turnover 2.9x – –
Fixed Assets Turnover 16.4x – –
Days Sales Outstanding 25 days – –
Days Inventory 126 days – –

Income Statement

MetricDECKIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $5.53B – –
Operating Income $1.25B – –
Net Income $1.01B – –
SG&A Expense $1.94B – –
Cost of Goods Sold $2.33B – –

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricDECKIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 136M – –
Net Income Growth 2.5% – –
EPS Growth 8.0% – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$2.92B75.5% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$1.60B41.4% of assets
Accounts Receivable$378M9.8% of assets
Inventory$808M20.9% of assets
Total Liabilities$1.57B40.5% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

DECK quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Rubber & Plastics Footwear

Deckers Outdoor Corp (DECK) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Deckers Outdoor Corp (Rubber & Plastics Footwear): 5 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
DECK Deckers Outdoor Corp ▼ $11.69B 12.2x 5.1x
NKE Nike, Inc. ▼ $55.15B 17.8x 4.3x
ONON On Holding Ag ▼ $11.61B – –
CROX Crocs, Inc. ▶ $5.90B 10.9x 4.3x
SLTN Silverton Energy, Inc. ▼ N/A – –

Where DECK sits on the market map

Manufacturing · Rubber & Plastics Footwear
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News

Deckers Outdoor Corp (DECK) stock news

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FAQ

Deckers Outdoor Corp (DECK) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Deckers Outdoor Corp (DECK) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Deckers Outdoor Corp outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Deckers Outdoor Corp stock predictions?

For DECK, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 32.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 4.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Deckers Outdoor Corp forecasts updated?

Deckers Outdoor Corp forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Deckers Outdoor Corp's industry peers?

5 issuers in our coverage, DECK included, share the SEC industry code Rubber & Plastics Footwear. The largest are: Nike, Inc. (NKE), On Holding Ag (ONON), Crocs, Inc. (CROX), Silverton Energy, Inc. (SLTN).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.