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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16
Duke Energy Corp (DUK) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Rating · 90D
▼ Bearish
Exact rating locked
90-day forecast
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30-day forecast
Alpha
Rank in coverage
Bottom 35%
of 5184 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D
33.0%
Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap
$94.46B
large-cap · #1 of 16 peers
Summary
Duke Energy Corp (DUK) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Duke Energy Corp outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Duke Energy Corp is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $94.46B. It ranks number 1 by market capitalization among the 16 Electric & Other Services Combined issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For DUK, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 33.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 0.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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DUK price chart and AI forecast
Cross-section · 2026-10-16
How DUK ranks among 5184 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Fundamentals · 2026-03-31
Duke Energy Corp (DUK) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Electric & Other Services Combined peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | DUK | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $94.46B | 1/16 |
| P/E Ratio | 18.63x | 10/15 |
| P/B Ratio | 1.73x | 10/16 |
| Dividend Yield | 3.54% | 4/12 |
| EPS | $6.52 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $70.03 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $42.65 | – |
| FCF/Share | $-4.24 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | DUK | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 9.4% | 8/15 |
| ROA | 2.6% | 8/16 |
| ROIC | 5.1% | 6/17 |
| Operating Margin | 27.2% | 2/14 |
| Net Margin | 15.5% | 5/13 |
| EBT Margin | 18.1% | 4/14 |
| Tax Rate | 13.0% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | DUK | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.66x | 10/17 |
| D/E Ratio | 2.60x | 7/16 |
| Financial Leverage | 3.64x | 7/16 |
| Interest Coverage | 0.8x | 14/17 |
| Working Capital | -$6.89B | 17/17 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | DUK | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $11.66B | 1/17 |
| Free Cash Flow | -$3.30B | 8/10 |
| Capital Spending | -$14.96B | 10/10 |
| OCF Growth YoY | -3.0% | 12/15 |
| FCF/Sales | -9.9% | 5/9 |
| CapEx/Sales | 45.1% | 5/9 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | DUK | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.17x | 11/13 |
Income Statement
| Metric | DUK | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $33.17B | 1/13 |
| Operating Income | $9.01B | 1/17 |
| Net Income | $5.14B | 1/16 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | DUK | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $4.30 | – |
| Payout Ratio | 66.0% | 3/12 |
| Shares Outstanding | 778M | – |
| Net Income Growth | 7.8% | 7/15 |
| EPS Growth | 8.1% | 5/15 |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $13.45B | 6.9% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $2.14B | 1.1% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $141.57B | 72.2% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $15.60B | 8.0% of assets |
Quarterly Financial Reports
DUK quarterly financials and insider trading
Industry Peers · Electric & Other Services Combined
Duke Energy Corp (DUK) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Duke Energy Corp (Electric & Other Services Combined): 17 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| DUK Duke Energy Corp | ▼ | $94.46B |
| XEL Xcel Energy Inc | ▼ | $47.67B |
| EXC Exelon Corp | ▼ | $43.95B |
| ED Consolidated Edison Inc | ▼ | $40.52B |
| PEG Public Service Enterprise Group Inc | ▼ | $35.63B |
| WEC Wec Energy Group, Inc. | ▼ | $35.42B |
| AEE Ameren Corp | ▼ | $29.37B |
| PCG Pg&E Corp | ▶ | $28.83B |
| CMS Cms Energy Corp | ▼ | $21.54B |
| NI Nisource Inc. | ▼ | $20.47B |
| EVRG Evergy, Inc. | ▼ | $19.18B |
| LNT Alliant Energy Corp | ▼ | $17.56B |
| AVA Avista Corp | ▼ | $3.07B |
| UTL Unitil Corp | ▼ | $986M |
| GNE Genie Energy Ltd. | ▼ | $434M |
| GRDX Gridai Technologies Corp. | ▼ | $30M |
| CPWR Ocean Thermal Energy Corp | ▲ | N/A |
Where DUK sits on the market map
Energy & Transportation · Electric & Other Services Combined
News
Duke Energy Corp (DUK) stock news
Dividend Raise Might Change The Case For Investing In Duke Energy Stock (DUK)
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FAQ
Duke Energy Corp (DUK) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Duke Energy Corp (DUK) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Duke Energy Corp outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Duke Energy Corp stock predictions?
For DUK, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 33.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 0.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Duke Energy Corp forecasts updated?
Duke Energy Corp forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Duke Energy Corp's industry peers?
17 issuers in our coverage, DUK included, share the SEC industry code Electric & Other Services Combined. The largest are: Xcel Energy Inc (XEL), Exelon Corp (EXC), Consolidated Edison Inc (ED), Public Service Enterprise Group Inc (PEG), Wec Energy Group, Inc. (WEC), Ameren Corp (AEE).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.