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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Energy Focus, Inc/De (EFOI) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D Neutral Alpha
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Middle 30% of 5184 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 34.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $17M small-cap · #5 of 7 peers
Summary

Energy Focus, Inc/De (EFOI) stock forecast summary

On Oct. 16, 2026, EFOI is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5184 stocks scored that day.

Energy Focus, Inc/De is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $17M. It ranks number 5 by market capitalization among the 7 Electric Lighting & Wiring Equipment issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For EFOI, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 34.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 20.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

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Price

EFOI price chart and AI forecast

EFOI
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How EFOI ranks among 5184 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Energy Focus, Inc/De (EFOI) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Electric Lighting & Wiring Equipment peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricEFOIIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $17M $92M 5/7
P/B Ratio 4.96x 4.04x 2/6
EPS $-0.23 – –
Book Value/Share $0.52 – –
Revenue/Share $1.02 – –
FCF/Share $-0.27 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricEFOIIndustry medianRank
ROE -46.2% -4.7% 4/5
ROA -19.0% -10.3% 4/6
ROIC -46.1% 5.5% 5/6
Gross Margin 4.6% 29.9% 4/5
Operating Margin -23.7% -11.1% 4/6
Net Margin -23.8% -12.3% 4/6
EBT Margin -23.8% -11.9% 4/6

Financial Health

MetricEFOIIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 1.54x 1.54x 4/7
Quick Ratio 0.96x 1.25x 6/6
D/E Ratio 1.44x 1.37x 3/6
Financial Leverage 2.44x 2.37x 3/6
Interest Coverage -119.8x -1.3x 5/6
Working Capital $3M $11M 6/7

Cash Flow

MetricEFOIIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow -$2M $260K 5/6
Free Cash Flow -$2M – –
Capital Spending -$50K – –
FCF/Sales -26.4% – –
CapEx/Sales 0.8% – –

Operational Efficiency

MetricEFOIIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.80x 0.99x 4/5
Receivables Turnover 2.5x 6.4x 4/5
Inventory Turnover 2.2x 5.1x 5/5
Fixed Assets Turnover 80.2x 15.4x 2/5
Days Sales Outstanding 144 days 57 days 2/5
Days Inventory 163 days 72 days 1/5

Income Statement

MetricEFOIIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $6M $96M 5/5
Operating Income -$2M $595K 5/6
Net Income -$2M -$600K 5/6
R&D Expense $450K – –
SG&A Expense $1M $85M 5/5
Cost of Goods Sold $6M $67M 5/5

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricEFOIIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 6M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$7M90.8% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$1M13.5% of assets
Accounts Receivable$3M31.4% of assets
Inventory$3M34.0% of assets
Total Liabilities$5M58.9% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

EFOI quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Electric Lighting & Wiring Equipment

Energy Focus, Inc/De (EFOI) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Energy Focus, Inc/De (Electric Lighting & Wiring Equipment): 7 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
EFOI Energy Focus, Inc/De ▶ $17M – 5.0x
AYI Acuity Inc. (De) ▼ $9.08B 20.1x 3.2x
LYTS Lsi Industries Inc ▼ $735M 29.4x 2.0x
SKYX Skyx Platforms Corp. ▲ $130M – 9.5x
OESX Orion Energy Systems, Inc. ▲ $92M – 4.9x
CAPC Capstone Companies, Inc. ▼ $3M – –
CCTG Ccsc Technology International Holdings Ltd ▼ $2M – 0.2x

Where EFOI sits on the market map

Manufacturing · Electric Lighting & Wiring Equipment
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News

Energy Focus, Inc/De (EFOI) stock news

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FAQ

Energy Focus, Inc/De (EFOI) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Energy Focus, Inc/De (EFOI) stock forecast?

On Oct. 16, 2026, EFOI is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5184 stocks scored that day.

How accurate are Energy Focus, Inc/De stock predictions?

For EFOI, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 34.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 20.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Energy Focus, Inc/De forecasts updated?

Energy Focus, Inc/De forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Energy Focus, Inc/De's industry peers?

7 issuers in our coverage, EFOI included, share the SEC industry code Electric Lighting & Wiring Equipment. The largest are: Acuity Inc. (De) (AYI), Lsi Industries Inc (LYTS), Skyx Platforms Corp. (SKYX), Orion Energy Systems, Inc. (OESX), Capstone Companies, Inc. (CAPC), Ccsc Technology International Holdings Ltd (CCTG).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.