Energy Recovery, Inc. (ERII) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · Nasdaq
Energy Recovery, Inc. (ERII) stock forecast summary
On Oct. 16, 2026, ERII is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.
Energy Recovery, Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $339M. It ranks number 8 by market capitalization among the 13 Special Industry Machinery, NEC issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its Gross Margin of 62.4% is the highest of the 14 peers that report one.
For ERII, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 23.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 40.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.1%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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How ERII ranks among 5172 stocks
90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Energy Recovery, Inc. (ERII) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Special Industry Machinery, NEC peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | ERII | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $339M | 8/13 |
| P/E Ratio | 20.78x | 8/10 |
| P/B Ratio | 1.97x | 8/13 |
| EPS | $0.32 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $3.38 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $2.45 | – |
| FCF/Share | $0.76 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | ERII | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 8.9% | 6/12 |
| ROA | 7.8% | 5/13 |
| ROIC | 7.9% | 5/13 |
| Gross Margin | 62.4% | 1/14 |
| Operating Margin | 11.4% | 5/14 |
| Net Margin | 12.3% | 6/13 |
| EBT Margin | 14.1% | 5/14 |
| Tax Rate | 12.8% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | ERII | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 8.05x | 2/13 |
| Quick Ratio | 5.99x | 2/12 |
| D/E Ratio | 0.15x | 12/13 |
| Financial Leverage | 1.15x | 12/13 |
| Interest Coverage | 4240.0x | 1/14 |
| Working Capital | $131M | 7/13 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | ERII | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $41M | 6/14 |
| Free Cash Flow | $39M | 4/10 |
| Capital Spending | -$3M | 5/10 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 98.7% | 2/11 |
| FCF Growth YoY | 91.3% | 1/6 |
| FCF/Sales | 30.9% | 2/10 |
| CapEx/Sales | 2.1% | 5/10 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | ERII | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.63x | 5/11 |
| Receivables Turnover | 8.8x | 4/10 |
| Inventory Turnover | 1.2x | 10/12 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 9.9x | 3/9 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 42 days | 7/10 |
| Days Inventory | 297 days | 3/12 |
| Payables Period | 39 days | 9/12 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 299 days | 1/9 |
Income Statement
| Metric | ERII | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $125M | 7/11 |
| Operating Income | $14M | 7/14 |
| Net Income | $15M | 7/13 |
| R&D Expense | $12M | 8/11 |
| SG&A Expense | $61M | 8/14 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $47M | 9/14 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | ERII | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 51M | – |
| Net Income Growth | -36.4% | 5/7 |
| EPS Growth | -28.9% | 7/9 |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $149M | 75.6% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $61M | 31.1% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $14M | 7.2% of assets |
| Inventory | $38M | 19.3% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $25M | 12.8% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $14M | 6.9% of assets |
ERII quarterly financials and insider trading
Energy Recovery, Inc. (ERII) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Energy Recovery, Inc. (Special Industry Machinery, NEC): 14 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| ERII Energy Recovery, Inc. | ▶ | $339M |
| ASML Asml Holding Nv | ▲ | $632.67B |
| LRCX Lam Research Corp | ▲ | $330.27B |
| ACMR Acm Research, Inc. | ▲ | $3.70B |
| ACLS Axcelis Technologies Inc | ▲ | $3.35B |
| VECO Veeco Instruments Inc | ▲ | $2.61B |
| AZTA Azenta, Inc. | ▲ | $1.49B |
| CRCT Cricut, Inc. | ▼ | $1.35B |
| ASYS Amtech Systems Inc | ▲ | $224M |
| SOTK Sono Tek Corp | ▲ | $97M |
| TRT Trio-Tech International | ▲ | $51M |
| CVV Cvd Equipment Corp | ▲ | $27M |
| GLGI Greystone Logistics, Inc. | ▶ | $7M |
| OCLN Originclear, Inc. | ▼ | N/A |
Where ERII sits on the market map
Energy Recovery, Inc. (ERII) stock news
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Energy Recovery, Inc. (ERII) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Energy Recovery, Inc. (ERII) stock forecast?
On Oct. 16, 2026, ERII is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.
How accurate are Energy Recovery, Inc. stock predictions?
For ERII, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 23.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 40.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Energy Recovery, Inc. forecasts updated?
Energy Recovery, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Energy Recovery, Inc.'s industry peers?
14 issuers in our coverage, ERII included, share the SEC industry code Special Industry Machinery, NEC. The largest are: Asml Holding Nv (ASML), Lam Research Corp (LRCX), Acm Research, Inc. (ACMR), Axcelis Technologies Inc (ACLS), Veeco Instruments Inc (VECO), Azenta, Inc. (AZTA).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.