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Model output · Signal date 2026-11-06

Energy Recovery, Inc. (ERII) Stock Forecast Nov. 6, 2026

Analysis updated on Nov. 6, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D Unlock rating and forecasts
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage of 5150 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 17.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $343M small-cap · #9 of 14 peers
Summary

Energy Recovery, Inc. (ERII) stock forecast summary

Our AI scores Energy Recovery, Inc. every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

Energy Recovery, Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $343M. It ranks number 9 by market capitalization among the 14 Special Industry Machinery, NEC issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its Gross Margin of 61.5% is the highest of the 13 peers that report one.

For ERII, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 17.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 31.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +3.1%, buy ≥ +1.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-11-06 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, ERII included.

Price

ERII price chart and AI forecast

ERII
Cross-section · 2026-11-06

How ERII ranks among 5150 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-09-30

Energy Recovery, Inc. (ERII) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Special Industry Machinery, NEC peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricERIIIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $343M $1.17B 9/14
P/E Ratio 29.18x 29.52x 6/10
P/B Ratio 2.08x 2.08x 7/13
EPS $0.23 – –
Book Value/Share $3.23 – –
Revenue/Share $2.39 – –
FCF/Share $0.63 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricERIIIndustry medianRank
ROIC 0.5% 5.2% 9/13
Gross Margin 61.5% 43.4% 1/13
Operating Margin 0.6% 8.5% 9/13
EBT Margin 3.1% 8.0% 9/13
Tax Rate -34.1% – –

Financial Health

MetricERIIIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 7.22x 3.44x 2/13
Quick Ratio 5.01x 2.69x 2/13
D/E Ratio 0.16x 0.39x 12/13
Financial Leverage 1.16x 1.36x 12/13
Interest Coverage 4240.0x 16.1x 1/13
Working Capital $124M $328M 8/13

Cash Flow

MetricERIIIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $35M $35M 7/13
Free Cash Flow $32M $9M 4/10
Capital Spending -$3M -$7M 5/10
OCF Growth YoY 70.3% 18.7% 4/11
FCF Growth YoY 62.8% 22.9% 2/6
FCF/Sales 26.5% 8.7% 2/10
CapEx/Sales 2.3% 2.3% 5/10

Operational Efficiency

MetricERIIIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.64x 0.60x 5/11
Receivables Turnover 11.5x 4.7x 3/11
Inventory Turnover 1.1x 2.1x 12/13
Fixed Assets Turnover 10.4x 8.9x 3/10
Days Sales Outstanding 32 days 77 days 9/11
Days Inventory 342 days 172 days 2/13
Payables Period 59 days 54 days 4/12
Cash Conversion Cycle 314 days 133 days 1/10

Income Statement

MetricERIIIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $122M $614M 7/11
Operating Income $780K $7M 9/13
R&D Expense $12M $68M 8/11
SG&A Expense $55M $105M 8/13
Cost of Goods Sold $47M $294M 9/13

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricERIIIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 51M – –
EPS Growth -28.1% 11.8% 7/9

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$144M75.1% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$42M22.2% of assets
Accounts Receivable$11M5.6% of assets
Inventory$44M23.0% of assets
Total Liabilities$27M13.9% of assets
Short-term Debt$12M6.4% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

ERII quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Special Industry Machinery, NEC

Energy Recovery, Inc. (ERII) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Energy Recovery, Inc. (Special Industry Machinery, NEC): 14 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
ERII Energy Recovery, Inc. $343M 29.2x 2.1x
ASML Asml Holding Nv $549.12B 64.5x 23.8x
LRCX Lam Research Corp $250.38B 29.9x 18.0x
ACMR Acm Research, Inc. $3.11B 21.2x 1.6x
ACLS Axcelis Technologies Inc $3.06B 23.4x 2.8x
VECO Veeco Instruments Inc $2.03B 52.8x 2.2x
CRCT Cricut, Inc. $1.84B 23.1x 4.6x
AZTA Azenta, Inc. $1.72B – 1.1x
NANO Forge Nano Holdings, Inc. $634M – –
ASYS Amtech Systems Inc $200M 57.1x 1.7x
SOTK Sono Tek Corp $68M 43.4x 3.3x
TRT Trio-Tech International $47M – 1.1x
CVV Cvd Equipment Corp $25M 2.8x 0.7x
GLGI Greystone Logistics, Inc. $4M – 0.5x

Where ERII sits on the market map

Technology · Special Industry Machinery, NEC
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News

Energy Recovery, Inc. (ERII) stock news

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FAQ

Energy Recovery, Inc. (ERII) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Energy Recovery, Inc. (ERII) stock forecast?

Our AI scores Energy Recovery, Inc. every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

How accurate are Energy Recovery, Inc. stock predictions?

For ERII, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 17.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 31.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Energy Recovery, Inc. forecasts updated?

Energy Recovery, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 6, 2026.

Which companies are Energy Recovery, Inc.'s industry peers?

14 issuers in our coverage, ERII included, share the SEC industry code Special Industry Machinery, NEC. The largest are: Asml Holding Nv (ASML), Lam Research Corp (LRCX), Acm Research, Inc. (ACMR), Axcelis Technologies Inc (ACLS), Veeco Instruments Inc (VECO), Cricut, Inc. (CRCT).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.