Essex Property Trust, Inc. (ESS) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · NYSE
Essex Property Trust, Inc. (ESS) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Essex Property Trust, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Essex Property Trust, Inc. is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $17.32B. It ranks number 16 by market capitalization among the 60 Real Estate Investment Trusts issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For ESS, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 10.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 7.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.1%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, ESS included.
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How ESS ranks among 5172 stocks
90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Essex Property Trust, Inc. (ESS) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Real Estate Investment Trusts peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | ESS | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $17.32B | 16/60 |
| P/E Ratio | 41.97x | 12/55 |
| P/B Ratio | 3.25x | 14/57 |
| Dividend Yield | 3.83% | 36/54 |
| EPS | $6.42 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $82.83 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $29.98 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | ESS | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 7.8% | 26/52 |
| ROA | 3.2% | 34/55 |
| Gross Margin | 70.1% | 6/17 |
| Operating Margin | 32.5% | 17/30 |
| Net Margin | 21.5% | 30/53 |
| EBT Margin | 32.5% | 19/45 |
Financial Health
| Metric | ESS | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| D/E Ratio | 1.39x | 21/57 |
| Financial Leverage | 2.42x | 20/56 |
| Interest Coverage | 1.7x | 39/48 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | ESS | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $1.12B | 22/60 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 8.3% | 28/59 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | ESS | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.15x | 23/55 |
Income Statement
| Metric | ESS | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $1.93B | 30/56 |
| Operating Income | $627M | 19/31 |
| Net Income | $414M | 28/55 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $577M | 12/18 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | ESS | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $10.32 | – |
| Payout Ratio | 160.8% | 11/49 |
| Shares Outstanding | 64M | – |
| Net Income Growth | -48.3% | 46/49 |
| EPS Growth | -48.4% | 49/54 |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $58M | 0.5% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $7.39B | 58.1% of assets |
ESS quarterly financials and insider trading
Essex Property Trust, Inc. (ESS) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Essex Property Trust, Inc. (Real Estate Investment Trusts): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| ESS Essex Property Trust, Inc. | ▼ | $17.32B |
| WELL Welltower Inc. | ▼ | $161.18B |
| PLD Prologis, Inc. | ▶ | $116.81B |
| EQIX Equinix Inc | ▼ | $97.29B |
| AMT American Tower Corp /Ma/ | ▼ | $86.33B |
| SPG Simon Property Group Inc. | ▼ | $66.47B |
| DLR Digital Realty Trust, Inc. | ▼ | $60.44B |
| O Realty Income Corp | ▼ | $53.06B |
| PSA Public Storage | ▼ | $52.39B |
| VMRK Vivmark Residential | ▼ | $47.40B |
| VTR Ventas, Inc. | ▼ | $44.04B |
| CCI Crown Castle Inc. | ▶ | $35.00B |
| IRM Iron Mountain Inc | ▼ | $33.49B |
| EXR Extra Space Storage Inc. | ▼ | $30.74B |
| VICI Vici Properties Inc. | ▼ | $25.99B |
| SBAC Sba Communications Corp | ▼ | $19.84B |
| HST Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc. | ▶ | $16.65B |
| KIM Kimco Realty Corp | ▼ | $15.37B |
| LAMR Lamar Advertising Co/New | ▼ | $15.20B |
| WPC W. P. Carey Inc. | ▼ | $14.84B |
| SUI Sun Communities Inc | ▼ | $14.60B |
| WY Weyerhaeuser Co | ▼ | $14.13B |
| OHI Omega Healthcare Investors Inc | ▼ | $13.83B |
| NLY Annaly Capital Management Inc | ▼ | $13.74B |
| MAA Mid America Apartment Communities Inc. | ▼ | $13.65B |
| REG Regency Centers Corp | ▼ | $13.40B |
| AHR American Healthcare Reit, Inc. | ▼ | $12.41B |
| ELS Equity Lifestyle Properties Inc | ▼ | $11.87B |
| GLPI Gaming & Leisure Properties, Inc. | ▼ | $11.75B |
| UDR Udr, Inc. | ▼ | $11.32B |
| AMH American Homes 4 Rent | ▼ | $11.26B |
| EGP Eastgroup Properties Inc | ▼ | $10.56B |
| BXP Bxp, Inc. | ▼ | $9.45B |
| FRT Federal Realty Investment Trust | ▼ | $9.18B |
| CUBE Cubesmart | ▼ | $8.89B |
| CTRE Caretrust Reit, Inc. | ▼ | $8.64B |
| BRX Brixmor Property Group Inc. | ▼ | $8.49B |
| REXR Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc. | ▼ | $8.21B |
| NNN Nnn Reit, Inc. | ▼ | $7.97B |
| RHP Ryman Hospitality Properties, Inc. | ▼ | $7.95B |
| FR First Industrial Realty Trust Inc | ▼ | $7.79B |
| ADC Agree Realty Corp | ▼ | $7.71B |
| LINE Lineage, Inc. | ▶ | $7.58B |
| ARE Alexandria Real Estate Equities, Inc. | ▶ | $7.25B |
| STAG Stag Industrial, Inc. | ▼ | $6.69B |
| MAC Macerich Co | ▶ | $6.51B |
| VNO Vornado Realty Trust | ▶ | $6.15B |
| HR Healthcare Realty Trust Inc | ▼ | $6.06B |
| RYN Rayonier Inc | ▶ | $5.68B |
| EPRT Essential Properties Realty Trust, Inc. | ▼ | $5.64B |
| OUT Outfront Media Inc. | ▼ | $5.35B |
| KRG Kite Realty Group Trust | ▼ | $5.06B |
| SBRA Sabra Health Care Reit, Inc. | ▼ | $4.94B |
| PECO Phillips Edison & Company, Inc. | ▼ | $4.94B |
| RITM Rithm Capital Corp. | ▶ | $4.84B |
| STWD Starwood Property Trust, Inc. | ▶ | $4.61B |
| CUZ Cousins Properties Inc | ▶ | $4.55B |
| EPR Epr Properties | ▼ | $4.27B |
| KRC Kilroy Realty Corp | ▼ | $4.12B |
| HHH Howard Hughes Holdings Inc. | ▶ | $4.10B |
Where ESS sits on the market map
Essex Property Trust, Inc. (ESS) stock news
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Essex Property Trust, Inc. (ESS) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Essex Property Trust, Inc. (ESS) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Essex Property Trust, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Essex Property Trust, Inc. stock predictions?
For ESS, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 10.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 7.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Essex Property Trust, Inc. forecasts updated?
Essex Property Trust, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Essex Property Trust, Inc.'s industry peers?
60 issuers in our coverage, ESS included, share the SEC industry code Real Estate Investment Trusts. The largest are: Welltower Inc. (WELL), Prologis, Inc. (PLD), Equinix Inc (EQIX), American Tower Corp /Ma/ (AMT), Simon Property Group Inc. (SPG), Digital Realty Trust, Inc. (DLR).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.