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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Flowers Foods Inc (FLO) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5184 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 19.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $1.30B small-cap · #5 of 21 peers
Summary

Flowers Foods Inc (FLO) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Flowers Foods Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Flowers Foods Inc is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $1.30B. It ranks number 5 by market capitalization among the 21 Food and Kindred Products issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For FLO, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 19.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 14.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

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Price

FLO price chart and AI forecast

FLO
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How FLO ranks among 5184 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-07-18

Flowers Foods Inc (FLO) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Food and Kindred Products peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricFLOIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $1.30B $186M 5/21
P/E Ratio 19.71x 17.44x 3/6
P/B Ratio 0.98x 1.81x 11/14
Dividend Yield 18.52% – –
EPS $0.31 – –
Book Value/Share $6.24 – –
Revenue/Share $24.63 – –
FCF/Share $1.44 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricFLOIndustry medianRank
ROE 4.2% -25.3% 2/7
ROA 1.3% -14.9% 3/10
ROIC 4.5% 2.0% 5/13
Gross Margin 48.6% 27.4% 2/17
Operating Margin 2.7% 1.4% 7/16
Net Margin 1.1% -4.1% 3/9
EBT Margin 1.5% -3.2% 6/17
Tax Rate 30.8% – –

Financial Health

MetricFLOIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 0.77x 1.10x 14/18
Quick Ratio 0.57x 0.63x 11/16
D/E Ratio 1.98x 1.87x 8/16
Financial Leverage 3.16x 2.96x 8/16
Interest Coverage 3.8x -0.5x 6/16
Working Capital -$232M $15M 15/18

Cash Flow

MetricFLOIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $421M -$60K 5/19
Free Cash Flow $306M $215M 4/9
Capital Spending -$115M -$115M 5/9
OCF Growth YoY -17.5% -18.2% 5/10
FCF Growth YoY -20.2% -10.8% 4/6
FCF/Sales 5.9% 6.5% 6/9
CapEx/Sales 2.2% 3.3% 7/9

Operational Efficiency

MetricFLOIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 1.25x 0.82x 3/10
Receivables Turnover 14.9x 10.9x 3/9
Inventory Turnover 12.9x 6.3x 3/14
Fixed Assets Turnover 5.6x 8.2x 7/10
Days Sales Outstanding 24 days 34 days 7/9
Days Inventory 28 days 59 days 12/14
Payables Period 45 days 37 days 5/13
Cash Conversion Cycle 8 days 41 days 7/9

Income Statement

MetricFLOIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $5.22B $2.35B 4/11
Operating Income $143M -$80K 6/17
Net Income $55M -$2M 3/10
SG&A Expense $2.08B $281M 2/14
Cost of Goods Sold $2.68B $937M 5/19

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricFLOIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $1.13 – –
Payout Ratio 364.5% – –
Shares Outstanding 212M – –
Net Income Growth -74.9% – –
EPS Growth -72.6% -52.2% 6/8

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$786M18.8% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$53M1.3% of assets
Accounts Receivable$350M8.4% of assets
Inventory$208M5.0% of assets
Total Liabilities$2.62B62.6% of assets
Short-term Debt$688M16.4% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

FLO quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Food and Kindred Products

Flowers Foods Inc (FLO) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Flowers Foods Inc (Food and Kindred Products): 22 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
FLO Flowers Foods Inc ▼ $1.30B 19.7x 1.0x
MDLZ Mondelez International, Inc. ▼ $82.47B 31.6x 3.2x
CAG Conagra Brands Inc. ▼ $6.91B – 1.1x
CPB Campbell's Co ▲ $5.93B 15.2x 1.5x
NOMD Nomad Foods Ltd ▶ $1.67B 5.0x –
BRBR Bellring Brands, Inc. ▶ $1.10B 6.9x –
SMPL Simply Good Foods Co ▼ $990M – 0.7x
OFRM Once Upon A Farm, Pbc ▲ $729M – 4.7x
VITL Vital Farms, Inc. ▲ $361M 23.3x 1.3x
OTLY Oatly Group Ab ▲ $355M – –
BGS B&G Foods, Inc. ▲ $186M – 0.5x
BYND Beyond Meat, Inc. ▲ $118M – 2.1x
GWLL Goldenwell Biotech, Inc. ▶ $59M – –
SOWG Sow Good Inc. ▼ $42M – –
BOF Branchout Food Inc. ▲ $34M – 7.5x
LSF Laird Superfood, Inc. ▲ $29M – 2.7x
BRLS Borealis Foods Inc. ▶ $23M – –
HAIN Hain Celestial Group Inc ▼ $21M – 0.1x
STKH Steakholder Foods Ltd. ▼ $15M – 3.7x
CHSN Chanson International Holding ▼ $2M – –
TRWD Tradewinds Universal ▼ $660K – 3.6x
NXMH Next Meats Holdings, Inc. ▲ N/A – –

Where FLO sits on the market map

Manufacturing · Food and Kindred Products
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News

Flowers Foods Inc (FLO) stock news

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FAQ

Flowers Foods Inc (FLO) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Flowers Foods Inc (FLO) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Flowers Foods Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Flowers Foods Inc stock predictions?

For FLO, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 19.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 14.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Flowers Foods Inc forecasts updated?

Flowers Foods Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Flowers Foods Inc's industry peers?

22 issuers in our coverage, FLO included, share the SEC industry code Food and Kindred Products. The largest are: Mondelez International, Inc. (MDLZ), Conagra Brands Inc. (CAG), Campbell's Co (CPB), Nomad Foods Ltd (NOMD), Bellring Brands, Inc. (BRBR), Simply Good Foods Co (SMPL).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.