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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Fox Factory Holding Corp (FOXF) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D ▲ Bullish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Top 35% of 5184 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 66.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $674M small-cap · #2 of 5 peers
Summary

Fox Factory Holding Corp (FOXF) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Fox Factory Holding Corp outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Fox Factory Holding Corp is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $674M. It ranks number 2 by market capitalization among the 5 Motorcycles, Bicycles & Parts issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For FOXF, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 66.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 49.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, FOXF included.

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Price

FOXF price chart and AI forecast

FOXF
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How FOXF ranks among 5184 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-07-03

Fox Factory Holding Corp (FOXF) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Motorcycles, Bicycles & Parts peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricFOXFIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $674M $318M 2/5
P/B Ratio 1.01x 1.01x 3/5
EPS $-13.05 – –
Book Value/Share $15.87 – –
Revenue/Share $33.09 – –
FCF/Share $1.75 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricFOXFIndustry medianRank
ROE -81.7% – –
ROA -33.3% – –
ROIC -36.5% – –
Gross Margin 7.5% – –
Operating Margin -27.5% – –
Net Margin -29.6% – –
EBT Margin -31.2% – –
Tax Rate 5.1% – –

Financial Health

MetricFOXFIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 3.10x 3.10x 3/5
Quick Ratio 1.55x 1.70x 4/5
D/E Ratio 1.45x 1.45x 3/5
Financial Leverage 2.45x 2.45x 3/5
Interest Coverage 1.5x – –
Working Capital $518M $57M 2/5

Cash Flow

MetricFOXFIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $66M – –
Free Cash Flow $73M – –
Capital Spending $7M – –
OCF Growth YoY -52.9% – –
FCF Growth YoY -57.6% – –
FCF/Sales 5.3% – –
CapEx/Sales 0.5% – –

Operational Efficiency

MetricFOXFIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.85x – –
Receivables Turnover 7.0x – –
Inventory Turnover 3.4x – –
Fixed Assets Turnover 6.6x – –
Days Sales Outstanding 52 days – –
Days Inventory 109 days – –
Payables Period 38 days – –
Cash Conversion Cycle 123 days – –

Income Statement

MetricFOXFIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $1.39B – –
Operating Income -$508M – –
Net Income -$545M – –
R&D Expense $88M – –
SG&A Expense $389M – –
Cost of Goods Sold $1.29B – –

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricFOXFIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 42M – –
Net Income Growth -4657.1% – –
EPS Growth -8256.2% – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$764M46.7% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$61M3.7% of assets
Accounts Receivable$199M12.1% of assets
Inventory$383M23.4% of assets
Total Liabilities$970M59.3% of assets
Short-term Debt$111M6.8% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

FOXF quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Motorcycles, Bicycles & Parts

Fox Factory Holding Corp (FOXF) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Fox Factory Holding Corp (Motorcycles, Bicycles & Parts): 5 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
FOXF Fox Factory Holding Corp ▲ $674M – 1.0x
HOG Harley-Davidson, Inc. ▼ $2.78B 16.9x 0.9x
LVWR Livewire Group, Inc. ▶ $318M – 26.7x
LEAT Leatt Corp ▶ $68M 23.2x 1.5x
LOBO Lobo Technologies Ltd. ▶ $7M – 0.8x

Where FOXF sits on the market map

Manufacturing · Motorcycles, Bicycles & Parts
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News

Fox Factory Holding Corp (FOXF) stock news

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FAQ

Fox Factory Holding Corp (FOXF) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Fox Factory Holding Corp (FOXF) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Fox Factory Holding Corp outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Fox Factory Holding Corp stock predictions?

For FOXF, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 66.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 49.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Fox Factory Holding Corp forecasts updated?

Fox Factory Holding Corp forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Fox Factory Holding Corp's industry peers?

5 issuers in our coverage, FOXF included, share the SEC industry code Motorcycles, Bicycles & Parts. The largest are: Harley-Davidson, Inc. (HOG), Livewire Group, Inc. (LVWR), Leatt Corp (LEAT), Lobo Technologies Ltd. (LOBO).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.