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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Gap Inc (GAP) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5184 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 28.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $8.12B mid-cap · #3 of 10 peers
Summary

Gap Inc (GAP) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Gap Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Gap Inc is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $8.12B. It ranks number 3 by market capitalization among the 10 Retail-Family Clothing Stores issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For GAP, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 28.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 16.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

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Price

GAP price chart and AI forecast

GAP
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How GAP ranks among 5184 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-08-01

Gap Inc (GAP) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Retail-Family Clothing Stores peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricGAPIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $8.12B $4.76B 3/10
P/E Ratio 7.86x 13.53x 7/7
P/B Ratio 2.06x 3.72x 6/8
Dividend Yield 3.07% 2.80% 2/5
EPS $2.94 – –
Book Value/Share $11.25 – –
Revenue/Share $43.63 – –
FCF/Share $3.35 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricGAPIndustry medianRank
ROE 31.6% 38.6% 6/8
ROA 9.7% 17.2% 6/7
ROIC 17.5% 15.2% 4/8
Gross Margin 43.3% 40.9% 4/10
Operating Margin 11.0% 11.0% 5/9
Net Margin 8.1% 9.3% 7/8
EBT Margin 11.1% 11.8% 7/10
Tax Rate 26.8% – –

Financial Health

MetricGAPIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 1.82x 1.58x 2/10
Quick Ratio 1.11x 0.74x 2/10
D/E Ratio 2.25x 1.43x 3/9
Financial Leverage 3.25x 2.40x 3/8
Interest Coverage 28.2x 32.3x 6/9
Working Capital $2.65B $497M 2/9

Cash Flow

MetricGAPIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $1.89B $716M 3/9
Free Cash Flow $1.18B $333M 3/9
Capital Spending -$713M -$264M 7/9
OCF Growth YoY 80.7% 56.1% 3/8
FCF Growth YoY 69.8% 62.8% 3/7
FCF/Sales 7.7% 6.7% 5/10
CapEx/Sales 4.7% 4.0% 4/10

Operational Efficiency

MetricGAPIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 1.19x 1.26x 9/9
Inventory Turnover 3.8x 4.0x 6/10
Fixed Assets Turnover 6.0x 7.2x 8/10
Days Inventory 96 days 92 days 5/10
Payables Period 71 days 49 days 2/10

Income Statement

MetricGAPIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $15.33B $5.75B 3/9
Operating Income $1.68B $590M 2/8
Net Income $1.25B $569M 3/7
Cost of Goods Sold $8.70B $3.42B 3/9

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricGAPIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $0.71 – –
Payout Ratio 24.1% 28.0% 5/5
Shares Outstanding 351M – –
Net Income Growth 40.3% 25.0% 2/7
EPS Growth 31.8% 3.6% 2/8

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$5.87B45.7% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$2.10B16.4% of assets
Inventory$2.30B17.9% of assets
Total Liabilities$8.90B69.3% of assets
Short-term Debt$1.52B11.9% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

GAP quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Retail-Family Clothing Stores

Gap Inc (GAP) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Gap Inc (Retail-Family Clothing Stores): 10 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
GAP Gap Inc ▼ $8.12B 7.9x 2.1x
TJX Tjx Companies Inc /De/ ▼ $162.06B 23.3x 15.2x
ROST Ross Stores, Inc. ▼ $75.68B 38.0x 11.2x
URBN Urban Outfitters Inc ▼ $7.42B 13.5x 2.6x
ANF Abercrombie & Fitch Co /De/ ▼ $6.50B 15.1x 4.9x
AEO American Eagle Outfitters Inc ▶ $3.01B 12.6x 1.7x
BKE Buckle Inc ▼ $2.40B 11.3x 4.9x
LE Lands' End, Inc. ▼ $291M – –
DXLG Destination Xl Group, Inc. ▲ $25M – 0.2x
PLCE Childrens Place, Inc. ▲ $24M – –

Where GAP sits on the market map

Trade & Services · Retail-Family Clothing Stores
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News

Gap Inc (GAP) stock news

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FAQ

Gap Inc (GAP) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Gap Inc (GAP) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Gap Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Gap Inc stock predictions?

For GAP, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 28.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 16.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Gap Inc forecasts updated?

Gap Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Gap Inc's industry peers?

10 issuers in our coverage, GAP included, share the SEC industry code Retail-Family Clothing Stores. The largest are: Tjx Companies Inc /De/ (TJX), Ross Stores, Inc. (ROST), Urban Outfitters Inc (URBN), Abercrombie & Fitch Co /De/ (ANF), American Eagle Outfitters Inc (AEO), Buckle Inc (BKE).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.