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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Urban Outfitters Inc (URBN) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5172 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 32.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $7.42B mid-cap · #4 of 10 peers
Summary

Urban Outfitters Inc (URBN) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Urban Outfitters Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Urban Outfitters Inc is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $7.42B. It ranks number 4 by market capitalization among the 10 Retail-Family Clothing Stores issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its D/E Ratio of 0.79x is the lowest of the 9 peers that report one.

For URBN, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 32.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 16.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

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Price

URBN price chart and AI forecast

URBN
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How URBN ranks among 5172 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-07-31

Urban Outfitters Inc (URBN) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Retail-Family Clothing Stores peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricURBNIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $7.42B $4.76B 4/10
P/E Ratio 13.53x 13.53x 4/7
P/B Ratio 2.60x 3.72x 5/8
EPS $6.40 – –
Book Value/Share $33.32 – –
Revenue/Share $75.56 – –
FCF/Share $3.45 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricURBNIndustry medianRank
ROE 19.9% 38.6% 7/8
ROA 11.1% 17.2% 5/7
ROIC 18.4% 15.2% 3/8
Gross Margin 37.5% 40.9% 7/10
Operating Margin 11.3% 11.0% 4/9
Net Margin 8.8% 9.3% 5/8
EBT Margin 11.1% 11.8% 6/10
Tax Rate 21.0% – –

Financial Health

MetricURBNIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 1.58x 1.58x 5/10
Quick Ratio 0.91x 0.74x 4/10
D/E Ratio 0.79x 1.43x 9/9
Financial Leverage 1.79x 2.40x 8/8
Interest Coverage 32.3x 32.3x 5/9
Working Capital $670M $497M 4/9

Cash Flow

MetricURBNIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $716M $716M 5/9
Free Cash Flow $295M $333M 6/9
Capital Spending -$421M -$264M 6/9
OCF Growth YoY 21.3% 56.1% 7/8
FCF Growth YoY -26.0% 62.8% 7/7
FCF/Sales 4.6% 6.7% 7/10
CapEx/Sales 6.5% 4.0% 1/10

Operational Efficiency

MetricURBNIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 1.26x 1.26x 5/9
Receivables Turnover 62.9x 46.5x 4/8
Inventory Turnover 5.2x 4.0x 3/10
Fixed Assets Turnover 3.9x 7.2x 10/10
Days Sales Outstanding 6 days 9 days 5/8
Days Inventory 70 days 92 days 8/10
Payables Period 34 days 49 days 9/10
Cash Conversion Cycle 42 days 54 days 6/8

Income Statement

MetricURBNIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $6.47B $5.75B 4/9
Operating Income $731M $590M 4/8
Net Income $569M $569M 4/7
SG&A Expense $1.70B $1.64B 4/8
Cost of Goods Sold $4.05B $3.42B 4/9

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricURBNIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 86M – –
Net Income Growth 19.7% 25.0% 6/7
EPS Growth 11.1% 3.6% 4/8

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$1.82B35.6% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$599M11.7% of assets
Accounts Receivable$103M2.0% of assets
Inventory$779M15.2% of assets
Total Liabilities$2.27B44.3% of assets
Short-term Debt$781M15.3% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

URBN quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Retail-Family Clothing Stores

Urban Outfitters Inc (URBN) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Urban Outfitters Inc (Retail-Family Clothing Stores): 10 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
URBN Urban Outfitters Inc ▼ $7.42B 13.5x 2.6x
TJX Tjx Companies Inc /De/ ▼ $162.06B 23.3x 15.2x
ROST Ross Stores, Inc. ▼ $75.68B 38.0x 11.2x
GAP Gap Inc ▼ $8.12B 7.9x 2.1x
ANF Abercrombie & Fitch Co /De/ ▼ $6.50B 15.1x 4.9x
AEO American Eagle Outfitters Inc ▶ $3.01B 12.6x 1.7x
BKE Buckle Inc ▼ $2.40B 11.3x 4.9x
LE Lands' End, Inc. ▼ $291M – –
DXLG Destination Xl Group, Inc. ▲ $25M – 0.2x
PLCE Childrens Place, Inc. ▲ $24M – –

Where URBN sits on the market map

Trade & Services · Retail-Family Clothing Stores
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News

Urban Outfitters Inc (URBN) stock news

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FAQ

Urban Outfitters Inc (URBN) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Urban Outfitters Inc (URBN) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Urban Outfitters Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Urban Outfitters Inc stock predictions?

For URBN, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 32.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 16.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Urban Outfitters Inc forecasts updated?

Urban Outfitters Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Urban Outfitters Inc's industry peers?

10 issuers in our coverage, URBN included, share the SEC industry code Retail-Family Clothing Stores. The largest are: Tjx Companies Inc /De/ (TJX), Ross Stores, Inc. (ROST), Gap Inc (GAP), Abercrombie & Fitch Co /De/ (ANF), American Eagle Outfitters Inc (AEO), Buckle Inc (BKE).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.