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Model output · Signal date 2026-11-06

Graphic Packaging Holding Co (GPK) Stock Forecast Nov. 6, 2026

Analysis updated on Nov. 6, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D Unlock rating and forecasts
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage of 5150 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 11.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $3.31B mid-cap
Summary

Graphic Packaging Holding Co (GPK) stock forecast summary

Our AI scores Graphic Packaging Holding Co every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

Graphic Packaging Holding Co is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $3.31B.

For GPK, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 11.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -1.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +3.1%, buy ≥ +1.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-11-06 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, GPK included.

Price

GPK price chart and AI forecast

GPK
Cross-section · 2026-11-06

How GPK ranks among 5150 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-09-30

Graphic Packaging Holding Co (GPK) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Paperboard Containers & Boxes peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricGPKIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $3.31B – –
P/E Ratio 10.46x – –
P/B Ratio 1.03x – –
Dividend Yield 3.92% – –
EPS $1.07 – –
Book Value/Share $10.83 – –
Revenue/Share $29.18 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricGPKIndustry medianRank
ROIC 4.1% – –
Gross Margin 14.0% – –
Operating Margin 4.3% – –
EBT Margin 1.2% – –
Tax Rate 30.5% – –

Financial Health

MetricGPKIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 1.19x – –
Quick Ratio 0.52x – –
D/E Ratio 2.58x – –
Financial Leverage 3.58x – –
Interest Coverage 0.7x – –
Working Capital $480M – –

Cash Flow

MetricGPKIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $816M – –
OCF Growth YoY 0.9% – –

Operational Efficiency

MetricGPKIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.75x – –
Receivables Turnover 10.9x – –
Inventory Turnover 4.4x – –
Fixed Assets Turnover 1.6x – –
Days Sales Outstanding 34 days – –
Days Inventory 83 days – –
Payables Period 48 days – –
Cash Conversion Cycle 69 days – –

Income Statement

MetricGPKIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $8.64B – –
Operating Income $371M – –
SG&A Expense $685M – –
Cost of Goods Sold $7.43B – –

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricGPKIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $0.44 – –
Payout Ratio 41.1% – –
Shares Outstanding 296M – –
EPS Growth -27.2% – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$2.99B26.0% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$337M2.9% of assets
Accounts Receivable$794M6.9% of assets
Inventory$1.69B14.8% of assets
Total Liabilities$8.27B72.0% of assets
Short-term Debt$1.53B13.3% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

GPK quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Paperboard Containers & Boxes

Graphic Packaging Holding Co (GPK) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Graphic Packaging Holding Co (Paperboard Containers & Boxes): 4 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
GPK Graphic Packaging Holding Co $3.31B 10.5x 1.0x
PKG Packaging Corp Of America $22.17B 30.6x 4.6x
SON Sonoco Products Co $4.99B – 1.8x
DSS Dss, Inc. $5M – –

Where GPK sits on the market map

Manufacturing · Paperboard Containers & Boxes
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News

Graphic Packaging Holding Co (GPK) stock news

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FAQ

Graphic Packaging Holding Co (GPK) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Graphic Packaging Holding Co (GPK) stock forecast?

Our AI scores Graphic Packaging Holding Co every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

How accurate are Graphic Packaging Holding Co stock predictions?

For GPK, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 11.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -1.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Graphic Packaging Holding Co forecasts updated?

Graphic Packaging Holding Co forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 6, 2026.

Which companies are Graphic Packaging Holding Co's industry peers?

4 issuers in our coverage, GPK included, share the SEC industry code Paperboard Containers & Boxes. The largest are: Packaging Corp Of America (PKG), Sonoco Products Co (SON), Dss, Inc. (DSS).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.