Granite Construction Inc (GVA) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Granite Construction Inc (GVA) stock forecast summary
On Oct. 16, 2026, GVA is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.
Granite Construction Inc is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $4.81B. It ranks number 7 by market capitalization among the 14 Heavy Construction Other Than Bldg Const - Contractors issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its D/E Ratio of 5.28x is the highest of the 12 peers that report one.
For GVA, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 16.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -5.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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How GVA ranks among 5172 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Granite Construction Inc (GVA) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Heavy Construction Other Than Bldg Const - Contractors peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | GVA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $4.81B | 7/14 |
| P/B Ratio | 6.38x | 5/11 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.47% | – |
| EPS | $-3.92 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $17.20 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $108.63 | – |
| FCF/Share | $10.78 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | GVA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | -21.9% | 7/8 |
| ROA | -3.5% | 6/9 |
| ROIC | 13.3% | 3/9 |
| Gross Margin | 11.9% | 5/10 |
| Operating Margin | 6.6% | 4/10 |
| Net Margin | -3.5% | 7/10 |
| EBT Margin | -1.4% | 8/10 |
| Tax Rate | -110.0% | – |
The effective tax rate is outside the normal band, which points to a large non-recurring tax item in the trailing twelve months; headline net income, net margin and P/E are affected by it.
Financial Health
| Metric | GVA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.01x | 11/13 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.94x | – |
| D/E Ratio | 5.28x | 1/12 |
| Financial Leverage | 6.35x | 2/11 |
| Interest Coverage | 6.3x | 5/11 |
| Working Capital | $31M | 11/13 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | GVA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $605M | 3/10 |
| Free Cash Flow | $472M | 3/8 |
| Capital Spending | -$133M | 6/8 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 37.6% | 3/8 |
| FCF Growth YoY | 52.7% | 3/7 |
| FCF/Sales | 9.9% | 2/8 |
| CapEx/Sales | 2.8% | 5/8 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | GVA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.99x | 6/8 |
| Receivables Turnover | 5.4x | – |
| Inventory Turnover | 23.0x | – |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 3.6x | 8/9 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 68 days | – |
| Days Inventory | 16 days | – |
| Payables Period | 53 days | 4/9 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 31 days | – |
Income Statement
| Metric | GVA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $4.75B | 4/9 |
| Operating Income | $314M | 4/10 |
| Net Income | -$165M | 8/10 |
| SG&A Expense | $455M | 3/6 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $4.19B | 4/10 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | GVA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $0.52 | – |
| Shares Outstanding | 44M | – |
| Net Income Growth | -204.1% | 7/7 |
| EPS Growth | -219.5% | 7/7 |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $2.45B | 51.3% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $877M | 18.4% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $887M | 18.6% of assets |
| Inventory | $182M | 3.8% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $3.97B | 83.1% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $1.81B | 37.9% of assets |
GVA quarterly financials and insider trading
Granite Construction Inc (GVA) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Granite Construction Inc (Heavy Construction Other Than Bldg Const - Contractors): 14 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| GVA Granite Construction Inc | ▶ | $4.81B |
| HTHIY Hitachi Ltd | ▼ | $161.50B |
| FER Ferrovial N.V. | ▼ | $35.67B |
| J Jacobs Solutions Inc. | ▶ | $16.51B |
| STRL Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. | ▶ | $12.98B |
| FLR Fluor Corp | ▲ | $6.28B |
| MWH Solv Energy, Inc. | ▶ | $4.85B |
| ROAD Construction Partners, Inc. | ▼ | $4.62B |
| KBR Kbr, Inc. | ▶ | $4.59B |
| CDNL Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. | ▲ | $694M |
| ORN Orion Group Holdings Inc | ▶ | $340M |
| SHIM Shimmick Corp | ▲ | $100M |
| RNGE Range Impact, Inc. | ▲ | $70M |
| SLND Southland Holdings, Inc. | ▲ | $44M |
Where GVA sits on the market map
Granite Construction Inc (GVA) stock news
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Granite Construction Inc (GVA) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Granite Construction Inc (GVA) stock forecast?
On Oct. 16, 2026, GVA is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.
How accurate are Granite Construction Inc stock predictions?
For GVA, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 16.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -5.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Granite Construction Inc forecasts updated?
Granite Construction Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Granite Construction Inc's industry peers?
14 issuers in our coverage, GVA included, share the SEC industry code Heavy Construction Other Than Bldg Const - Contractors. The largest are: Hitachi Ltd (HTHIY), Ferrovial N.V. (FER), Jacobs Solutions Inc. (J), Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. (STRL), Fluor Corp (FLR), Solv Energy, Inc. (MWH).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.