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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Granite Construction Inc (GVA) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · NYSE

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Rating · 90D Neutral Total
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Total
Rank in coverage Middle 30% of 5184 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 16.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $4.81B mid-cap · #7 of 14 peers
Summary

Granite Construction Inc (GVA) stock forecast summary

On Oct. 16, 2026, GVA is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5184 stocks scored that day.

Granite Construction Inc is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $4.81B. It ranks number 7 by market capitalization among the 14 Heavy Construction Other Than Bldg Const - Contractors issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its D/E Ratio of 5.28x is the highest of the 12 peers that report one.

For GVA, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 16.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -5.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.1%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

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Price

GVA price chart and AI forecast

GVA
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How GVA ranks among 5184 stocks

90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Granite Construction Inc (GVA) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Heavy Construction Other Than Bldg Const - Contractors peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricGVAIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $4.81B $4.71B 7/14
P/B Ratio 6.38x 5.06x 5/11
Dividend Yield 0.47% – –
EPS $-3.92 – –
Book Value/Share $17.20 – –
Revenue/Share $108.63 – –
FCF/Share $10.78 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricGVAIndustry medianRank
ROE -21.9% 21.1% 7/8
ROA -3.5% 1.8% 6/9
ROIC 13.3% 4.4% 3/9
Gross Margin 11.9% 9.7% 5/10
Operating Margin 6.6% 3.0% 4/10
Net Margin -3.5% 1.7% 7/10
EBT Margin -1.4% 2.1% 8/10
Tax Rate -110.0% – –

The effective tax rate is outside the normal band, which points to a large non-recurring tax item in the trailing twelve months; headline net income, net margin and P/E are affected by it.

Financial Health

MetricGVAIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 1.01x 1.15x 11/13
Quick Ratio 0.94x – –
D/E Ratio 5.28x 2.58x 1/12
Financial Leverage 6.35x 4.14x 2/11
Interest Coverage 6.3x 6.2x 5/11
Working Capital $31M $138M 11/13

Cash Flow

MetricGVAIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $605M $195M 3/10
Free Cash Flow $472M $267M 3/8
Capital Spending -$133M -$104M 6/8
OCF Growth YoY 37.6% 24.3% 3/8
FCF Growth YoY 52.7% 14.9% 3/7
FCF/Sales 9.9% 4.6% 2/8
CapEx/Sales 2.8% 3.1% 5/8

Operational Efficiency

MetricGVAIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.99x 1.11x 6/8
Receivables Turnover 5.4x – –
Inventory Turnover 23.0x – –
Fixed Assets Turnover 3.6x 10.7x 8/9
Days Sales Outstanding 68 days – –
Days Inventory 16 days – –
Payables Period 53 days 44 days 4/9
Cash Conversion Cycle 31 days – –

Income Statement

MetricGVAIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $4.75B $3.48B 4/9
Operating Income $314M $155M 4/10
Net Income -$165M $10M 8/10
SG&A Expense $455M $276M 3/6
Cost of Goods Sold $4.19B $2.77B 4/10

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricGVAIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $0.52 – –
Shares Outstanding 44M – –
Net Income Growth -204.1% 0.0% 7/7
EPS Growth -219.5% 36.2% 7/7

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$2.45B51.3% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$877M18.4% of assets
Accounts Receivable$887M18.6% of assets
Inventory$182M3.8% of assets
Total Liabilities$3.97B83.1% of assets
Short-term Debt$1.81B37.9% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

GVA quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Heavy Construction Other Than Bldg Const - Contractors

Granite Construction Inc (GVA) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Granite Construction Inc (Heavy Construction Other Than Bldg Const - Contractors): 14 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
GVA Granite Construction Inc ▶ $4.81B – 6.4x
HTHIY Hitachi Ltd ▼ $163.76B – 10.6x
FER Ferrovial N.V. ▼ $35.67B – –
J Jacobs Solutions Inc. ▶ $16.51B 71.3x 5.1x
STRL Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. ▲ $12.98B 30.6x 9.6x
FLR Fluor Corp ▲ $6.28B – 2.3x
MWH Solv Energy, Inc. ▶ $4.85B – 9.8x
ROAD Construction Partners, Inc. ▶ $4.62B 39.2x 15.4x
KBR Kbr, Inc. ▼ $4.59B 8.9x 2.8x
CDNL Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. ▲ $694M – 2.8x
ORN Orion Group Holdings Inc ▶ $340M 38.7x 2.0x
SHIM Shimmick Corp ▲ $100M – –
RNGE Range Impact, Inc. ▲ $69M 3.3x 3.2x
SLND Southland Holdings, Inc. ▶ $40M – –

Where GVA sits on the market map

Real Estate & Construction · Heavy Construction Other Than Bldg Const - Contractors
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News

Granite Construction Inc (GVA) stock news

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FAQ

Granite Construction Inc (GVA) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Granite Construction Inc (GVA) stock forecast?

On Oct. 16, 2026, GVA is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5184 stocks scored that day.

How accurate are Granite Construction Inc stock predictions?

For GVA, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 16.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -5.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Granite Construction Inc forecasts updated?

Granite Construction Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Granite Construction Inc's industry peers?

14 issuers in our coverage, GVA included, share the SEC industry code Heavy Construction Other Than Bldg Const - Contractors. The largest are: Hitachi Ltd (HTHIY), Ferrovial N.V. (FER), Jacobs Solutions Inc. (J), Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. (STRL), Fluor Corp (FLR), Solv Energy, Inc. (MWH).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.