Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (HGV) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (HGV) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $2.75B.
For HGV, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 52.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 14.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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How HGV ranks among 5172 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (HGV) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Hotels, Rooming Houses, Camps & Other Lodging Places peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | HGV | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $2.75B | – |
| P/E Ratio | 44.86x | – |
| P/B Ratio | 2.50x | – |
| EPS | $0.79 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $14.18 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $67.88 | – |
| FCF/Share | $5.31 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | HGV | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| EBT Margin | 4.5% | – |
| Tax Rate | 29.4% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | HGV | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| D/E Ratio | 9.96x | – |
| Financial Leverage | 11.10x | – |
Cash Flow
| Metric | HGV | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $463M | – |
| Free Cash Flow | $413M | – |
| Capital Spending | -$50M | – |
| OCF Growth YoY | 57.0% | – |
| FCF Growth YoY | 71.4% | – |
| FCF/Sales | 7.8% | – |
| CapEx/Sales | 0.9% | – |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | HGV | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.43x | – |
| Receivables Turnover | 16.9x | – |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 5.9x | – |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 22 days | – |
Income Statement
| Metric | HGV | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $5.28B | – |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | HGV | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 78M | – |
| EPS Growth | 16.2% | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $272M | 2.3% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $312M | 2.6% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $10.98B | 90.9% of assets |
HGV quarterly financials and insider trading
Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (HGV) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (Hotels, Rooming Houses, Camps & Other Lodging Places): 4 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
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Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (HGV) stock news
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Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (HGV) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (HGV) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. stock predictions?
For HGV, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 52.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 14.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. forecasts updated?
Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Hilton Grand Vacations Inc.'s industry peers?
4 issuers in our coverage, HGV included, share the SEC industry code Hotels, Rooming Houses, Camps & Other Lodging Places. The largest are: Target Hospitality Corp. (TH), Civeo Corp (CVEO), Modulink Inc. (MDLK).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.