Here’s Why Hilton Grand Vacations (HGV) is Facing Temporary Sales Friction
Main Capital, a boutique investment firm, recently released its third-quarter 2026 investor letter. The Fund returned −9.1%, ...
Model output · Signal date 2026-11-06
Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (HGV) Stock Forecast Nov. 6, 2026
Analysis updated on Nov. 6, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Rating · 90D
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90-day forecast
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30-day forecast
Alpha
Rank in coverage
of 5150 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D
46.0%
Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap
$3.33B
mid-cap
Summary
Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (HGV) stock forecast summary
Our AI scores Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.
Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $3.33B.
For HGV, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 46.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 13.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +3.1%, buy ≥ +1.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-11-06 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, HGV included.
Price
HGV price chart and AI forecast
Cross-section · 2026-11-06
How HGV ranks among 5150 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Fundamentals · 2026-09-30
Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (HGV) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Hotels, Rooming Houses, Camps & Other Lodging Places peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | HGV | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $3.33B | – |
| P/E Ratio | 10.20x | – |
| P/B Ratio | 2.55x | – |
| EPS | $4.31 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $17.24 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $78.30 | – |
| FCF/Share | $6.24 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | HGV | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 31.9% | – |
| ROA | 3.5% | – |
| Net Margin | 7.0% | – |
| EBT Margin | 10.2% | – |
| Tax Rate | 28.3% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | HGV | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| D/E Ratio | 7.91x | – |
| Financial Leverage | 9.03x | – |
Cash Flow
| Metric | HGV | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $516M | – |
| Free Cash Flow | $473M | – |
| Capital Spending | -$43M | – |
| OCF Growth YoY | 116.8% | – |
| FCF Growth YoY | 173.4% | – |
| FCF/Sales | 8.0% | – |
| CapEx/Sales | 0.7% | – |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | HGV | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.50x | – |
| Receivables Turnover | 21.7x | – |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 6.4x | – |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 17 days | – |
Income Statement
| Metric | HGV | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $5.94B | – |
| Net Income | $417M | – |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | HGV | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 76M | – |
| Net Income Growth | 686.8% | – |
| EPS Growth | 857.8% | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $227M | 1.9% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $274M | 2.4% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $10.34B | 88.8% of assets |
Quarterly Financial Reports
HGV quarterly financials and insider trading
Industry Peers · Hotels, Rooming Houses, Camps & Other Lodging Places
Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (HGV) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (Hotels, Rooming Houses, Camps & Other Lodging Places): 4 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
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Real Estate & Construction · Hotels, Rooming Houses, Camps & Other Lodging Places
News
Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (HGV) stock news
Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (HGV) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript
I would now like to turn the call over to Mark Melnyk, Senior Vice President of Investor Relations. Please go ahead, sir. Thank you, operator, and welcome to the Hilton Grand Vacations First Quarter ...
What To Expect From Hilton Grand Vacations Inc (HGV) Q3 2025 Earnings
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FAQ
Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (HGV) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (HGV) stock forecast?
Our AI scores Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.
How accurate are Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. stock predictions?
For HGV, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 46.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 13.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. forecasts updated?
Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 6, 2026.
Which companies are Hilton Grand Vacations Inc.'s industry peers?
4 issuers in our coverage, HGV included, share the SEC industry code Hotels, Rooming Houses, Camps & Other Lodging Places. The largest are: Target Hospitality Corp. (TH), Civeo Corp (CVEO), Modulink Inc. (MDLK).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.