Harmonic Inc. (HLIT) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq
Harmonic Inc. (HLIT) stock forecast summary
On Oct. 16, 2026, HLIT is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5184 stocks scored that day.
Harmonic Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $1.17B. It ranks number 9 by market capitalization among the 21 Radio & Tv Broadcasting & Communications Equipment issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For HLIT, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 21.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 16.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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How HLIT ranks among 5184 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Harmonic Inc. (HLIT) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Radio & Tv Broadcasting & Communications Equipment peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | HLIT | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $1.17B | 9/21 |
| P/B Ratio | 3.24x | 8/16 |
| EPS | $-0.43 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $3.30 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $3.16 | – |
| FCF/Share | $0.01 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | HLIT | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | -13.1% | 10/15 |
| ROA | -7.5% | 10/15 |
| ROIC | 8.9% | 9/19 |
| Gross Margin | 45.2% | 7/15 |
| Operating Margin | 12.8% | 5/17 |
| Net Margin | -13.7% | 10/14 |
| EBT Margin | 11.2% | 7/17 |
| Tax Rate | 50.6% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | HLIT | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 3.05x | 7/21 |
| Quick Ratio | 2.56x | 8/20 |
| D/E Ratio | 0.76x | 10/18 |
| Financial Leverage | 1.76x | 11/19 |
| Interest Coverage | 18.4x | 2/16 |
| Working Capital | $280M | 9/20 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | HLIT | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $10M | 11/20 |
| Free Cash Flow | $1M | 8/14 |
| Capital Spending | -$8M | 6/14 |
| OCF Growth YoY | -92.4% | 10/11 |
| FCF Growth YoY | -98.8% | 7/7 |
| FCF/Sales | 0.4% | 9/15 |
| CapEx/Sales | 2.4% | 10/15 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | HLIT | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.54x | 7/16 |
| Receivables Turnover | 3.8x | 7/14 |
| Inventory Turnover | 2.8x | 14/19 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 14.7x | 6/17 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 95 days | 8/14 |
| Days Inventory | 129 days | 4/19 |
| Payables Period | 76 days | 7/19 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 148 days | 2/12 |
Income Statement
| Metric | HLIT | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $345M | 7/16 |
| Operating Income | $44M | 8/19 |
| Net Income | -$47M | 11/14 |
| R&D Expense | $58M | 10/19 |
| SG&A Expense | $53M | 13/20 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $189M | 9/19 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | HLIT | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 109M | – |
| Net Income Growth | -168.7% | 7/7 |
| EPS Growth | -191.5% | 7/7 |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $417M | 65.9% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $232M | 36.6% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $90M | 14.2% of assets |
| Inventory | $66M | 10.5% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $272M | 43.0% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $98M | 15.4% of assets |
HLIT quarterly financials and insider trading
Harmonic Inc. (HLIT) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Harmonic Inc. (Radio & Tv Broadcasting & Communications Equipment): 21 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
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Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| HLIT Harmonic Inc. | ▶ | $1.17B |
| QCOM Qualcomm Inc/De | ▶ | $180.72B |
| MSI Motorola Solutions, Inc. | ▼ | $76.65B |
| NOK Nokia Corp | ▶ | $52.48B |
| UI Ubiquiti Inc. | ▼ | $36.37B |
| ERIC Ericsson Lm Telephone Co | ▼ | $35.57B |
| PL Planet Labs Pbc | ▲ | $4.93B |
| ONDS Ondas Inc. | ▼ | $3.45B |
| VISN Vistance Networks, Inc. | ▶ | $1.34B |
| UMAC Unusual Machines, Inc. | ▼ | $815M |
| BKSY Blacksky Technology Inc. | ▲ | $709M |
| SATL Satellogic Inc. | ▲ | $590M |
| GILT Gilat Satellite Networks Ltd | ▶ | $578M |
| BKTI Bk Technologies Corp | ▼ | $245M |
| CRNT Ceragon Networks Ltd | ▲ | $180M |
| VUZI Vuzix Corp | ▲ | $180M |
| AIRG Airgain Inc | ▲ | $53M |
| WATT Energous Corp | ▶ | $47M |
| CMTL Comtech Telecommunications Corp /De/ | ▲ | $42M |
| PRKR Parkervision Inc | ▶ | $13M |
| KUST Kustom Entertainment, Inc. | ▼ | $2M |
Where HLIT sits on the market map
Harmonic Inc. (HLIT) stock news
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Harmonic Inc. (HLIT) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Harmonic Inc. (HLIT) stock forecast?
On Oct. 16, 2026, HLIT is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5184 stocks scored that day.
How accurate are Harmonic Inc. stock predictions?
For HLIT, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 21.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 16.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Harmonic Inc. forecasts updated?
Harmonic Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Harmonic Inc.'s industry peers?
21 issuers in our coverage, HLIT included, share the SEC industry code Radio & Tv Broadcasting & Communications Equipment. The largest are: Qualcomm Inc/De (QCOM), Motorola Solutions, Inc. (MSI), Nokia Corp (NOK), Ubiquiti Inc. (UI), Ericsson Lm Telephone Co (ERIC), Planet Labs Pbc (PL).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.