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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Unusual Machines, Inc. (UMAC) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5171 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 0.0% Spearman, 271 dates
Market Cap $815M small-cap · #10 of 21 peers
Summary

Unusual Machines, Inc. (UMAC) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Unusual Machines, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Unusual Machines, Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $815M. It ranks number 10 by market capitalization among the 21 Radio & Tv Broadcasting & Communications Equipment issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its Current Ratio of 53.82x is the highest of the 21 peers that report one. Its D/E Ratio of 0.02x is the lowest of the 18 peers that report one.

For UMAC, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 0.0%, measured on 271 forecast dates between 2024-03-22 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -1.0%, measured on 314 forecast dates between 2024-03-22 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

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Price

UMAC price chart and AI forecast

UMAC
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How UMAC ranks among 5171 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Unusual Machines, Inc. (UMAC) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Radio & Tv Broadcasting & Communications Equipment peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricUMACIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $815M $709M 10/21
P/B Ratio 2.10x 2.72x 10/16
EPS $-0.58 – –
Book Value/Share $7.77 – –
Revenue/Share $0.64 – –
FCF/Share $-1.17 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricUMACIndustry medianRank
ROIC -7.6% -5.2% 11/19
Gross Margin 34.8% 43.4% 11/15
Operating Margin -93.5% -5.8% 14/17
EBT Margin -30.1% 4.3% 13/17
Tax Rate 0.5% – –

Financial Health

MetricUMACIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 53.82x 2.34x 1/21
Quick Ratio 50.64x 1.93x 1/20
D/E Ratio 0.02x 0.78x 18/18
Financial Leverage 1.02x 1.79x 19/19
Interest Coverage -252.4x -3.1x 14/16
Working Capital $364M $216M 8/20

Cash Flow

MetricUMACIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow -$56M $15M 19/20
Free Cash Flow -$59M $11M 13/14
Capital Spending -$2M -$13M 5/14
FCF/Sales -183.7% 6.5% 14/15
CapEx/Sales 7.2% 4.5% 5/15

Operational Efficiency

MetricUMACIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.08x 0.39x 13/16
Receivables Turnover 3.4x 3.7x 9/14
Inventory Turnover -0.1x 3.5x 19/19
Fixed Assets Turnover 11.8x 10.5x 7/17
Days Sales Outstanding 107 days 99 days 6/14
Days Inventory -2875 days 83 days 18/19
Payables Period -376 days 59 days 18/19
Cash Conversion Cycle -2393 days 86 days 12/12

Income Statement

MetricUMACIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $32M $132M 12/16
Operating Income -$30M -$6M 15/19
R&D Expense $650K $58M 18/19
SG&A Expense $65M $104M 12/20
Cost of Goods Sold -$3M $169M 19/19

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricUMACIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 50M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$371M93.2% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$230M57.8% of assets
Accounts Receivable$9M2.3% of assets
Inventory$22M5.5% of assets
Total Liabilities$9M2.4% of assets
Short-term Debt$4M1.0% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

UMAC quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Radio & Tv Broadcasting & Communications Equipment

Unusual Machines, Inc. (UMAC) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Unusual Machines, Inc. (Radio & Tv Broadcasting & Communications Equipment): 21 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
UMAC Unusual Machines, Inc. ▼ $815M – 2.1x
QCOM Qualcomm Inc/De ▶ $180.72B 19.7x 6.5x
MSI Motorola Solutions, Inc. ▼ $76.65B 36.5x 28.7x
NOK Nokia Corp ▶ $52.48B 6.6x –
UI Ubiquiti Inc. ▼ $37.41B 39.0x 26.0x
ERIC Ericsson Lm Telephone Co ▼ $35.57B 16.6x –
PL Planet Labs Pbc ▲ $4.93B – 8.7x
ONDS Ondas Inc. ▼ $3.45B – 2.2x
VISN Vistance Networks, Inc. ▶ $1.36B – –
HLIT Harmonic Inc. ▶ $1.17B – 3.2x
BKSY Blacksky Technology Inc. ▲ $709M – 3.4x
SATL Satellogic Inc. ▲ $590M – –
GILT Gilat Satellite Networks Ltd ▶ $578M 10.0x 1.2x
BKTI Bk Technologies Corp ▼ $245M 19.9x 4.7x
VUZI Vuzix Corp ▲ $182M – 8.6x
CRNT Ceragon Networks Ltd ▲ $179M 7.8x 1.0x
AIRG Airgain Inc ▲ $55M – 1.9x
WATT Energous Corp ▶ $49M – 1.2x
CMTL Comtech Telecommunications Corp /De/ ▲ $43M – 1.1x
PRKR Parkervision Inc ▶ $13M – –
KUST Kustom Entertainment, Inc. ▼ $3M – 1.2x

Where UMAC sits on the market map

Manufacturing · Radio & Tv Broadcasting & Communications Equipment
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News

Unusual Machines, Inc. (UMAC) stock news

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FAQ

Unusual Machines, Inc. (UMAC) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Unusual Machines, Inc. (UMAC) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Unusual Machines, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Unusual Machines, Inc. stock predictions?

For UMAC, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 0.0%, measured on 271 forecast dates between 2024-03-22 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -1.0%, measured on 314 forecast dates between 2024-03-22 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Unusual Machines, Inc. forecasts updated?

Unusual Machines, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Unusual Machines, Inc.'s industry peers?

21 issuers in our coverage, UMAC included, share the SEC industry code Radio & Tv Broadcasting & Communications Equipment. The largest are: Qualcomm Inc/De (QCOM), Motorola Solutions, Inc. (MSI), Nokia Corp (NOK), Ubiquiti Inc. (UI), Ericsson Lm Telephone Co (ERIC), Planet Labs Pbc (PL).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.