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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Incyte Corp (INCY) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D Neutral Alpha
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Middle 30% of 5171 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 28.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $22.20B large-cap · #2 of 15 peers
Summary

Incyte Corp (INCY) stock forecast summary

On Oct. 16, 2026, INCY is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5171 stocks scored that day.

Incyte Corp is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $22.20B. It ranks number 2 by market capitalization among the 15 Services-Commercial Physical & Biological Research issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its Net Margin of 26.7% is the highest of the 10 peers that report one.

For INCY, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 28.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 12.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

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Price

INCY price chart and AI forecast

INCY
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How INCY ranks among 5171 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-03-31

Incyte Corp (INCY) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Services-Commercial Physical & Biological Research peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricINCYIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $22.20B $446M 2/15
P/E Ratio 15.97x – –
P/B Ratio 3.95x 3.25x 5/10
EPS $7.08 – –
Book Value/Share $28.64 – –
Revenue/Share $27.31 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricINCYIndustry medianRank
ROE 25.5% -8.4% 2/9
ROA 19.5% -15.2% 2/11
ROIC 27.5% 10.3% 4/11
Gross Margin 92.5% 33.0% 1/7
Operating Margin 30.1% -125.8% 1/13
Net Margin 26.7% -60.4% 1/10
EBT Margin 33.1% -114.8% 1/13
Tax Rate 19.3% – –

Financial Health

MetricINCYIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 3.68x 0.78x 4/16
Quick Ratio 3.60x 2.50x 3/6
D/E Ratio 0.31x 1.02x 8/11
Financial Leverage 1.31x 2.33x 8/10
Interest Coverage 213.7x -2.7x 2/13
Working Capital $3.99B -$1M 1/15

Cash Flow

MetricINCYIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $1.52B -$280K 2/15
OCF Growth YoY 296.4% -2.1% 1/5

Operational Efficiency

MetricINCYIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.73x 0.65x 4/8
Receivables Turnover 5.1x 5.6x 5/7
Inventory Turnover 3.5x – –
Fixed Assets Turnover 7.4x 4.5x 4/9
Days Sales Outstanding 72 days 65 days 3/7
Days Inventory 105 days – –
Payables Period 207 days 109 days 2/6
Cash Conversion Cycle -31 days – –

Income Statement

MetricINCYIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $5.36B $1.41B 2/8
Operating Income $1.61B -$390K 2/15
Net Income $1.43B -$455K 1/12
R&D Expense $2.13B $17M 1/7
SG&A Expense $1.38B $41M 2/12
Cost of Goods Sold $403M $4M 3/8

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricINCYIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 196M – –
Net Income Growth 6631.4% – –
EPS Growth 3440.0% – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$5.48B74.7% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$3.46B47.2% of assets
Accounts Receivable$1.05B14.3% of assets
Inventory$116M1.6% of assets
Total Liabilities$1.72B23.4% of assets
Short-term Debt$1.26B17.2% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

INCY quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Services-Commercial Physical & Biological Research

Incyte Corp (INCY) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Incyte Corp (Services-Commercial Physical & Biological Research): 16 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
INCY Incyte Corp ▶ $22.20B 16.0x 4.0x
IQV Iqvia Holdings Inc. ▼ $45.37B 33.2x 7.3x
MEDP Medpace Holdings, Inc. ▼ $17.26B 36.3x 39.8x
CRL Charles River Laboratories International, Inc. ▶ $14.33B – 5.1x
ICLR Icon Plc ▶ $13.13B 36.8x 1.4x
ABSI Absci Corp ▲ $1.42B – 7.1x
OABI Omniab, Inc. ▲ $667M – 2.6x
NRC Nrc Health ▲ $446M – –
MXCT Maxcyte, Inc. ▲ $134M – 0.9x
ONMD Onemednet Corp ▲ $28M – –
VSBC Vitaspring Biomedical Co. Ltd. ▼ $7M – –
BIAF Bioaffinity Technologies, Inc. ▼ $5M – 1.4x
BUDZ Weed, Inc. ▲ $3M – –
ISPC Ispecimen Inc. ▼ $3M – 1.5x
FOXO Foxo Technologies Inc. ▼ $180K – –
CBIH Cannabis Bioscience International Holdings, Inc. ▼ N/A – –

Where INCY sits on the market map

Industrial Applications and Services · Services-Commercial Physical & Biological Research
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News

Incyte Corp (INCY) stock news

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FAQ

Incyte Corp (INCY) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Incyte Corp (INCY) stock forecast?

On Oct. 16, 2026, INCY is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5171 stocks scored that day.

How accurate are Incyte Corp stock predictions?

For INCY, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 28.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 12.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Incyte Corp forecasts updated?

Incyte Corp forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Incyte Corp's industry peers?

16 issuers in our coverage, INCY included, share the SEC industry code Services-Commercial Physical & Biological Research. The largest are: Iqvia Holdings Inc. (IQV), Medpace Holdings, Inc. (MEDP), Charles River Laboratories International, Inc. (CRL), Icon Plc (ICLR), Absci Corp (ABSI), Omniab, Inc. (OABI).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.